The good teams in the NFL are starting to separate themselves, as well in the Super Bowl LII odds. Go take a look at the standings entering Week 11. Every division leader but Kansas City in the AFC West has won at least four straight games – and the Chiefs were the last time to lose in 2017!
Here’s a look at updated odds to win Super Bowl LII among some interesting teams.
Updated Super Bowl LII Odds – November 14th Edition
“This is a Super Bowl-level team.”
— NFL (@NFL) November 13, 2017
New England Patriots
- Super Bowl LII Odds: +280
The Patriots remain as the betting favorite even though Philadelphia has the NFL’s best record at 8-1. But after a slow start, the Patriots have started to find their next gear. They won big at Denver on Sunday night to improve to 7-2 and a two-game lead in the AFC East. Sunday’s win was the 86th regular-season road victory for Tom Brady. That’s a new NFL record. It was the 270th victory including playoffs for Bill Belichick. That draws him into a third-place tie with Tom Landry on the all-time list. Only Don Shula (347) and George Halas (324) have more wins.
Whether the Pats get home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs likely will be determined Week 15 in Pittsburgh. The Pats do have a tough game this week in Mexico City vs. Oakland. Instead of flying all the way home and then to Mexico City later this week, the Patriots are spending the week at the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs to get used to altitude.
Kansas City Chiefs
- Super Bowl LII Odds: +800
The Chiefs as noted above were the last team to lose this year but since that 5-0 start have dropped three of four. They come out of their bye week with what should be an easy win at the terrible New York Giants. If the Chiefs don’t make a move up the AFC ladder over their final seven games, they can’t blame their schedule.
Their next three games are against the Giants (who just lost to the previously winless 49ers), the Bills (who just lost at home by 37 points) and the Jets (who were just beaten by the Bucs, losers of their previous five games). Five of the Chiefs’ remaining seven opponents lost on Sunday. The other two didn’t play. In their seven remaining regular-season games, the Chiefs are set to face four opponents in the bottom 10 in the NFL in scoring and none in the top 10. That’s good news for a defense that has been struggling.
New Orleans Saints
- Super Bowl LII Odds: +800
Is it time to take this team for real? The Saints are the first time in NFL history to follow a 0-2 start with seven wins in a row. The Saints look like one of the best teams in the league in a year in which Drew Brees is shouldering less of the workload than ever before. New Orleans scored 47 points during Sunday’s blowout win in Buffalo, and Brees threw for just 184 yards without any passing touchdowns. In each of the Saints’ two 40-plus point outbursts against the Bills and Lions, Brees has failed to make it to 200 yards passing. This is a team on the running game now.
Since Week 3, only two other teams have run it more, and only one has more rushing yards. The Saints’ 14 TDs on the ground are an NFL-high over that span, with only one other team in double digits. When Brees does throw, the Saints are making it as easy as possible. The future Hall of Famer is being pressured on just 16.2 percent of his dropbacks, the lowest rate of his career.
- Super Bowl LII Odds: +2000
I believe the Jags are the best value on the board at that price. They have a Super Bowl caliber defense, one that leads the NFL in sacks and against the pass. They have a great running back in rookie Leonard Fournette. Now if they could just get decent play out of QB Blake Bortles. He completed 28 of 51 passes for 273 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions while adding 34 yards on five carries in Sunday’s 20-17 overtime win over the Chargers.
Bortles came in riding a season-best two-game streak without an interception, but he was picked off on two of his season-high 51 passing attempts. Both of Bortles’ interceptions came with his team trailing by three points with under two minutes to play in regulation, but Los Angeles still managed to blow its late lead. Jacksonville and Tennessee are fighting for the AFC South lead.
The Titans are likely to lose Thursday night in Pittsburgh. With games against Cleveland, Arizona and Indianapolis in the next three weeks, the Jaguars have a chance to take control of the division. The Jags’ seven remaining games include matchups against a trio of teams that have three or fewer wins: the Browns, Colts and 49ers. Wins in those three games, as well as in a Week 17 showdown against the Titans, could be enough to win the division.