If you look at the standings in the NFL right now, you see a very distinct separation starting to take place. There are a few teams starting to open up what looks to be unassailable division leads, while the bottom dwellers are getting close to being officially eliminated from playoff contention. In between that group are a bunch of teams fighting for Wild Card scraps. The majority of the games from this point forward in the season are going to have some sort of playoff implications, starting with the top NFL Week 11 betting matchups.
Can the teams sitting outside make a move on the teams that look comfortable right now? That’s just one of the things we need to consider when putting together our ATS picks for Week 11, so let’s look at the latest NFL lines and some of the games where I believe we can make some money this weekend.
NFL Week 11 Betting Odds & Top Against the Spread Picks
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Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) over Tennessee Titans
The Steelers are on a 4-game winning streak that has taken them to 7-2 and a very comfortable lead in the AFC North. The Tennessee Titans are also winning, with their most recent 3-game streak all coming via wins against the other 3 teams in the AFC North. The Titans have won all of those games by 4 points or less, and look to be in a little tougher against a Steelers team that is playing some great defense right now. I like the Steelers to shut down the Titans offense, and I also like them to play a litter better on offense this week, covering the spread in the process.Latest NFL Week 11 Betting Trends
- Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games
- Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
- Steelers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
- Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Detroit Lions (-3) over Chicago Bears
The Detroit Lions are one of those teams with an eye on the Wild Card, especially since it’s beginning to look as though the Vikings are going to pull away and win the North. Detroit has won back to back games, and while they don’t do a very good job of blowing out the opposition, they are finding a way to get the job done. The Lion are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Chicago, but the Bears are sliding and struggling to score right now, which is why I like the Lions to turn that trend on its head with a win and a cover.Latest NFL Week 11 Betting Trends
- Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Chicago
- Lions are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
- Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home
Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5) over New York Giants
After getting off to a 5-0 start at the beginning of the season to command the AFC West and more, the Chiefs have started to stumble a little, losing 3 of their last 4 games. The bye week came at the right time for this group, and I think they are going to come out strong for the final weeks of the season. The Chiefs have what looks to be a pretty straightforward return to action this weekend against a Giants team that is in total disarray this year. The Giants have just one win on the season and look like a team that has given up on their coach. I like the Chiefs to win this one going away.Latest NFL Week 11 Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games
- Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the road
- New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home
- Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Green Bay Packers (+2) over Baltimore Ravens
I always look for picks that are a little on the iffy side when putting together my picks for the week, and I often comes down to a hunch that put me one way or another on a game. The Green Bay Packers have been struggling since Aaron Rodgers went down with injury, but they finally got a win with backup QB Brett Hundley under center last weekend. I think that win will build his confidence, and I like the Packers to pick up another win against a Ravens team that is in desperation mode at the moment.Latest NFL Week 11 Betting Trends
- Ravens are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games
- Ravens are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
- Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
- Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
