Week 11 NFL Betting Takeaways

Posted by Henry Watkins on Tuesday,November 15, 2016 12:49, EDT in

A fantastic Monday night showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots capped of what was an incredibly exciting Week 10 of the football season. There is little time to take a breath, though, as it’s only a couple of days before Week 11 kicks off with an NFC South match-up between the Saints and the Panthers on Thursday night. These next few days are when we start to look at the live odds to see what the bookies think is going to happen this weekend. The early betting lines are out, so let’s dig a little deeper to see what we can take away from those odds.

In Depth Analysis On The Week 11 NFL Betting Takeaways

 

 

A Lot of Game are Too Close to Call

As it stands now, there are a total of 5 games that the bookies have as being what we might say are a little too close to call. This 5 games feature point spreads that are 3.5 points or less, with the game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Minnesota Vikings being the tightest, listed as a PICK play. These odds aren’t particularly surprising when you look at the standings, as there are a lot of teams hovering around the 5-4 mark. There has been a great deal of parity in the NFL this season, which is why those big spreads are not coming around as often.

The Bookies Love the Home Teams

If you like wagering on the home team to win, then Week 11 is sure to make you happy. There are currently 9 games on the board where the home team has been listed as the betting odds favorite. Again, this is not that surprising when you look at the standings and see that 22 of the teams in the NFL have a home record that is .500 or better. It’s tough to win on the road in this league, but there is some value to be found by going with the road teams, especially when playing ATS. Keep an eye open for team that have done well on the road, and who are listed as underdogs by a number that seems a little inflated.

 

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Scoring is Down?

The point totals listed by the bookies only show 4 games where the total is set at 50 points or higher. There is currently only 1 team in the NFL, the Atlanta Falcons, who are averaging over 30 points per game. There are another couple who are getting close to that mark, but the rest are all hovering around 25-27 points or lower. We also currently have 7 teams that are averaging less than 20 PPG, and a couple of those teams, the Texans and the Vikings, have winning records. There seem to be a lot of teams who are taking the “defense win championships” mantra quite seriously this year.

Keep in mind that all of the odds discussed here may well change as the week progresses, so be sure to check back in regularly to keep up to date with the live odds across the NFL.