NFL Week 11 Upset Betting Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on Wednesday,November 16, 2016 4:59, EST in

If you’re looking for some Week 11 NFL underdogs that are barking like nobody’s business, then you’re in for a treat as I offer up a trio of dogs that all look like they’re going to jump up an ‘bite’ their favored opponents this coming weekend. Now, let’s find out the the NFL odds for this week.

NFL Week 11 Upset Betting Picks

Miami at L.A. Rams

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, November 20, 2016
Where: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
TV: FOX
NFL Odds: L.A. Rams -1

Analysis: There’s not a lot of sense in beating around the bush with my Week 11 pick on this matchup since I fully expect the streaking Miami Dolphins to march into the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum – and walk out with a nice victory over a Rams team that can barely score the ball these days. The Rams have been held to 10 points or less in three straight games while Miami has scored 27 points or more in each of their last four games. The Dolphins have the big edge at quarterback with Ryan Tannehill being much better than L.A. counterpart Case Keenum and now have a gifted running back in Jay Ajayi that looks every bit as talented as the Rams’ Todd Gurley, who, by the way, has been pretty much on lockdown all season long. The Dolphins win outright to cover the spread as a strange 1-point road dog.

NFL Pick: Miami +1 Point

New Orleans +4 at Carolina

When: 8:25 PM ET, Thursday, November 17, 2016
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: FOX

Analysis: Drew Brees and company came up just short against Denver in their heartbreaking 25-23 loss to the Broncos this past Sunday, but they managed to cover the spread as 3-point underdogs just as I predicted and I believe they’re going to do the same to a Carolina Panthers team that just can’t find any consistency this season. The Panthers have lost five of their last seven games and had their modest two-game winning streak halted in their 20-17 collapse of a loss against Kansas City this past weekend. If nothing else, the Saints can put up points on any team in the league thanks to future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees. The Saints are 6-0 ATS over their last six games while Carolina has gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their NFC South division rivals and 1-5- 1 ATS in their last seven games overall. New Orleans cover the NFL betting line, likely by winning outright.

NFL Pick: New Orleans +4 Points

Philadelphia +6.5 at Seattle

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, November 20, 2016
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
TV: CBS

Analysis: The Philadelphia Eagles picked up an impressive 24-15 win over the red-hot Atlanta Falcons this past weekend and I believe they’re going to cover the spread at the very least against Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks in their Week 11 NFC clash. While I’m not picking Philly to beat Seattle outright, I think they will find a way to keep the final score closer to a field goal finish than a touchdown loss. Philadelphia has a gifted young quarterback in rookie Carson Wentz and a stout defense that limits its opponents to just 17.8 points per game. I know Seattle has won two in row over Buffalo and New England while scoring an identical 31 points in each affair, but gains, Philadelphia has a really solid defense and enough offensive firepower to make this a tight contest that goes down to the wire. Philly is 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, but Seattle is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against their NFC conference rivals. Seattle wins outright, but the narrow ATS cover goes to Philadelphia!

NFL Pick: Philadelphia +6.5 Points