It has been a long year with several ups and downs and it’s only right that we be thankful for making it this far, when we celebrate our Thanksgiving Weekend, starting on Thursday. For football betting enthusiasts, there are of course more reasons to be happy about the weekend, given that all the bye weeks are completed, so we have a packed online sportsbooks slate of games to choose from in our free NFL picks. Looking to have a piece of the ATS NFL odds action? Hoping you are b‘coz we have a reel of enticing picks, specially prepared to help complement your sumptuous meals and family fun-time this weekend.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2015
Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions, ATS Pick: Lions (PK)
Generally speaking based on the stats that have been posted by these two teams this year, there isn’t a team with a clear advantage to win or cover the spread, especially considering the Eagles are 2-3 SU on the road this season while the Lions are 2-3 SU at home. And since there isn’t much of a point spread to work with here, I like Detroit for the straight up (SU) win as well as the ATS win, basing my picks on the fact that the Lions have been playing better football in recent weeks.
— NFL (@NFL) November 25, 2015
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys, ATS Pick: Panthers (-1)
Tony Romo or no Tony Romo, Carolina is playing in a whole different galaxy right now, paced by a consistently majestic performance from Cam Newton (and his media-happy touchdown celebrations), so stopping the Panthers will be very difficult. In brief, here is what Dallas will be dealing with—the Panthers have won their last three games by an average margin of 17.7 points, and are remarkably 10-0 SU and are 8-2 ATS on the season, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS record on the road. Against the Cowboys who are just 1-4 SU at home this season, this should be a more-than-manageable contest for Newton and company in their quest for a record 11th win.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, ATS Pick: Packers (-9)
In a rare lapse of judgment, I trusted the Chicago Bears (who entered last week on a brief two-game winning streak) to at least cover the small spread against a Peyton Manning-less Denver. The result? They got torched by first-time starter Brock Osweiler for two easy TDs and they couldn’t even intercept him. Against Aaron Rodgers, who is still one of the best QBs in the NFL (despite his recent struggles), I won’t make the same mistake the same mistake of going with the Bears, lest they scratch me again. Give me Green Bay for a double-digit win, with Eddie Lacy and Rodgers exploding for a huge bounce-back at the Lambeau to make up for the lackluster performance in their last home loss to Detroit in Week 10.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 29, 2015
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs, ATS Pick: *Chiefs
Forget about the yet-to-be released NFL odds of this game (as of the time of this writing), I’ll take Alex Smith and the streaking Chiefs (four straight wins in a row) for a solid win over Tyrod Taylor and the Bills on ANY GIVEN SUNDAY!!!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts, ATS Pick: Colts (-3)
Rookie QB Jameis Winston is coming off his biggest performance as a pro, and knowing his big-headedness, that can only signal a letdown performance this week. Added to the fact that the Colts are managing quite well without Andrew Luck, having defeated the Falcons last Sunday after beating the Broncos in Week 9; I trust coach Chuck Pagano to strive for a third straight win for his team in the bid to save his job that has been on the line for most of the season.
New York Giants at Washington Redskins, ATS Pick: Giants (-2.5)
I like the way Eli Manning has played on the road this season, or the entire season for that matter, and if he can continue to light it up in the air with Odell Beckham Jr. and Co., the Giants should be a solid pick for a win and cover over the Redskins, whose offense has been meddled with irregularities.
Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons, ATS Pick: Vikings (+2)
With a 1-4 SU record in their last five games and a miserable 0-6 ATS record in their last six games, you’d be making a huge mistake trusting the Dirty Birds to give a clean performance in this game. Not to mention, Matt Ryan is no longer clutch, with 10 interceptions and six fumbles this season, something the Vikings defense will be looking to feed on. Added to the fact that the Falcons are 3-11 ATS as a favorite in their last two seasons as 2-point favorite favorites, you are better off banking on Adrian Peterson and his teammates doing it big to claim thrilling upset win and cover here.
St. Louis Rams at Cincinnati Bengals, ATS Pick: Bengals (-9)
BLOWOUT ALERT! The Bengals, despite suffering two close defeats in their last two games after a stellar 8-0 start to the season, are not the type of team to struggle against a Rams team that is riding on a funky three-game losing skid. More notably, the Bengals (8-2) are impressively 4-1 SU (3-1-1 ATS) in their past five home games, meaning that a comfy win over the Rams, who’ve won just one of their five road games this season, should be very possible.
San Diego at Jacksonville, ATS Pick: San Diego (+4)
Yes, San Diego is reeling off six straight losses, while Jacksonville has won its last two games, its first two-game winning streak since December 2013. No one would, however, deny that the Chargers have faced some really tough teams in their recent outings. My expectation, therefore, is that Philip Rivers will take advantage of playing the not-so-tough Jaguars and deliver a thrilling road win, or at least keep the game close for a cover.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets, ATS Pick: Jets (-3.5)
The 5-5 Jets are increasingly starting to look like their struggling selves in 2014-15, having recorded two losses in their last two weeks. The Dolphins (4-6) haven’t been doing any better, coming off a loss to the Tony Romo-led Dallas Cowboys last week. It’s therefore hard to know what to expect this game between two teams that have failed to live up to their hyped reputations in the preseason. Nonetheless, the Jets are playing at home, a place they’ve decently gone 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS this year. In addition, the Jets have owned the Fins in their recent meetings, winning three of their last four encounters against Miami. Keeping that in mind, and the fact that Jets Ryan Fitzpatrick has been efficient than Miami’s Ryan Tannehill, Gang Green fans look most likely to celebrate their Thanksgiving Weekend with a much-needed home win and cover of the spread.
Other ATS Picks for Sunday NFL Week 12 Games:
• Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans, ATS Pick: Titans (+2)
• New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans, ATS Pick: Texans (-3)
• Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers, ATS Pick: Cardinals (-10)
• Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks, ATS Pick: Steelers (+4)
• New England Patriots at Denver Broncos, ATS Pick: Patriots (-3)
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 30, 2015
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Brown, ATS Pick: Browns (-2.5)
Joe Flacco (torn ACL/MCL), Justin Forsett (broken arm) and Steve Smith Sr. (torn Achilles), who are three of Baltimore’s best players at their respective positions, are all out for the remainder of the season after suffering season-ending injuries, so this game should be soft enough for Josh McCown to handle for a comfy Cleveland win and cover.