Week 14 NFL Trio Of Sharp Betting Picks

Posted by Peter Brennan on Wednesday,December 7, 2016 11:20, EDT in

Who’s going to win Thursday night’s huge AFC West divisional battle between the Super Bowl hopeful Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs? Can Tyrod Taylor and the Buffalo Bills get their collective act together to beat Ben Roethlisberger and the desperate Pittsburgh Steelers?

Last but not least, can the Washington Redskins start to revive their ‘super narrow’ playoff hopes by getting a road win over the NFC East division rival Philadelphia Eagles? Let’s find out the answers to all three questions right now.

Here’s A Closer Look At The Week 14 NFL Trio Of Sharp Betting Picks

 

 

Oakland at Kansas City

When: Thursday, December 8 at 8:25 PM ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
NFL Odds: Kansas City -3

Analysis: The Raiders are getting a ton of national media attention and rightfully so, seeing as how the blossoming young team has won six straight games and has an MVP-caliber quarterback in Derek Carr, not to mention, a pair of wide receivers that are arguably the best duo in the league. For me however, the Kansas City Chiefs are the pick to ‘hold it down’ at home in this highly-anticipated AFC West divisional matchup and narrowly cover the NFL betting line as a 3-point home fave.

The Oakland Raiders average 4.5 points per game more than the Chiefs but Kansas City allows 4.9 fewer points per game defensively. Oakland has gone 5-0 SU on the road this season, but Kansas City is 4-1 at Arrowhead Stadium this season. The Chiefs have a trio of Pro Bowl defensive players and three others that play at a Pro Bowl caliber level, which is how Kansas City man-handled the Raiders in their 26-10 win on October 16.

While Oakland has gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road dates against the Chiefs, Kansas City has won 10 of their last 11 home games while going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Raiders. This game will be a nail-biter, but I’m expecting Kansas City to win by four to narrowly cover the NFL betting line as 3-point home favorites.

My Pick: Kansas City 28 Oakland 24

Pittsburgh at Buffalo

When: Sunday, December 11 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
NFL Odds: Pittsburg -2

Analysis: Pittsburgh has won three straight and looked pretty good in overpowering the New York Giants in their 24-14 win on Sunday while Buffalo fell completely apart in their humbling 38-24 loss to red-hot Oakland – after jumping out to a commanding 24-9 lead.

The Bills have lost three of their last five games overall and simply doesn’t have the leadership – or defensive competence – they need in order to stop Ben Roethlisberger and a desperate Steelers team that is tied for first place in the AFC North with Baltimore.

The Bills have a slight 1.3-point edge in scoring over the Steelers, but Pittsburgh has a 3.2-point scoring edge in points allowed. The Steelers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Buffalo while the Bills have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 2-4 SU in their last six. Pittsburgh gets another great effort from their stupendous trio of Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown to win outright and cover the NFL betting line.

My Pick: Pittsburgh 28 Buffalo 24

 

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Washington at Philadelphia

When: Sunday, December 11 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Odds: Washington -1

Analysis: The Washington Redskins have lost two straight while giving up an identical 31 points in losses to Dallas and Arizona the last two week. Philadelphia has lost three in a row while getting held to 15 points or less in each contest, including their humbling 32-14 loss to Cincinnati this past weekend.

While Philly has the better statistical defense, Washington has the more dangerous offense and it is their ability to score the ball that I believe will be the big difference-maker in this Week 14 NFC East divisional showdown. Kirk Cousins and the Skins have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games and a bankroll-boosting 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz is really gifted, but it appears he has hit the proverbial rookie wall right now.

More importantly, the Birds are just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the Redskins and an equally uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Washington simply uses its more potent offense to outscore Philadelphia and get the SU win and ATS cover.

My Pick: Washington 31 Philadelphia 24