Week 17 Preview: NY Jets at New England NFL Betting Lines & Preview

Week 17 Preview: NY Jets at New England NFL Betting Lines & Preview

Written by on December 29, 2017

The New England Patriots, who have won the AFC East and earned a first-round bye, can secure home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs with a win or a Pittsburgh loss. The Jets are playing out the string and predictably are massive underdogs in the NFL betting lines.

Week 17 Preview: NY Jets at New England NFL Betting Lines & Preview

When: Sunday, 1 PM ETWhere: Gillette Stadium, FoxboroTV: CBSRadio: ESPN New York 98.7 FM (NY) / 98.5 The Sports Hub (New England)Stream Option: NFL LiveOpening NFL Betting Lines: Patriots -15.5 (44)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: -10°C/14°F
  • Humidity: 47%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 13 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 26%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Last Meeting

New York tends to play the Patriots tough and did in a Week 6 24-17 loss. New York led 14-0 in the second quarter. It marked the first time New England trailed by 14 or more in the first half since Week 4 of the 2014 season at Kansas City. The Jets also had a chance to tie the game after getting the ball back with 1:53 remaining, but the Patriots forced Josh McCown to throw incomplete on a desperation heave on fourth-and-16 from the Patriots 49. Tom Brady finished 20 of 38 for 257 yards with two touchdowns to Rob Gronkowski and an interception. McCown finished 31 of 47 for 354 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He’s now out for the season.The Patriots lead the series 62-54-1 overall.

Latest NFL Betting Trends

  • NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets’s last 9 games
  • New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England’s last 11 games

Why Bet on NY Jets?

The New York Jets can throw caution to the wind in their finale – a victory would be arguably the biggest upset ever. This could also be the final game as coach for Todd Bowles. Unless they upset the Patriots, the Jets will finish 5-11 for the second straight season. Those are the only two 5-11 seasons in franchise history. Usually that would get a coach fired.Bryce Petty remains the starting QB even though he has been terrible the past few weeks since replacing the injured McCown. Through three games – two of which were starts, the third-year Petty is 36-for-76 for 312 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions.His 59.3 adjusted completion percentage ranks 26th of 28 qualified QBs this week. Since his first snaps in Week 14, Petty has been the least accurate QB in the NFL, owning an adjusted completion percentage of 59.7. While Petty will start against the Patriots, Bowles is taking a wait-and-see approach regarding second-year signal caller Christian Hackenberg for the game. He could play. Hackenberg was last seen in a football game Aug. 31, the New York Jets’ preseason finale. That night, he completed only 10 of 22 attempts for 105 yards against the Eagles.After signing with the Jets as an undrafted free agent in 2016, wide receiver Robby Anderson is 61 yards shy of eclipsing the 1,000-yard mark. Anderson has blossomed in his second year with the team as he leads the Jets with 62 receptions, 939 yards and seven touchdowns.The Jets are pretty banged up offensively. It’s conceivable they could have five backups starting on Sunday against the Patriots — quarterback and right guard, for sure. The other positions are right tackle, tight end and wide receiver (not Anderson).  The Jets have placed RG Brian Winters (abdomen) on injured reserve, marking the second straight year he has finished on IR.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 19.47
  • Total Yards: 309.13
  • Pass Yards: 198.33
  • Rush Yards: 110.80
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 23.73
  • Total Yards: 354
  • Pass Yards: 238
  • Rush Yards: 116

Why Bet on New England?

New England improved to 12-3 with last Sunday’s win over Buffalo. The Patriots have won at least 12 games in eight consecutive seasons (2010-17), surpassing the 2003-09 Indianapolis Colts for the longest such streak in NFL history. They earned a first-round bye in the 2017 playoffs and lead the NFL with 13 first-round byes since the current format was instituted in 1990. The Patriots earned a first-round bye for the eighth consecutive season. A win over the Jets will give the Patriots the top seed and home-field advantage for the seventh time, the most since 1990.New England is 33-25-1 all-time against the Jets at home, including 1-1 at home in the postseason and 12-3 at Gillette Stadium in the regular season.Are the Patriots a safe bet in Week 17?The Jets haven’t won a regular season game over Tom Brady at Gillette Stadium since 2006. Overall, the Patriots have won 11 of 13 games in this series dating back to 2011. The Patriots are 10-5 ATS this season, which is tied for the second-best mark in the NFL.It’s supposed to be cold and potentially snowy on Sunday. Over the last 24 years, the Patriots have posted a 42-10 record in games where the kickoff temperature is 34 degrees or colder. New England has never lost a snow game in Foxborough in the history of its franchise, posting an 11-0 record in those games and outscoring their opponents by a margin of 257-77.The Pats added former Steelers star linebacker James Harrison, a former Defensive Player of the Year, this week. He’s expected to play Sunday. Many believe he was signed simply to give the Pats inside info in case they meet the Steelers in the AFC title game, which many expect.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 28.80
  • Total Yards: 398.40
  • Pass Yards: 282.27
  • Rush Yards: 116.13
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19.33
  • Total Yards: 373.93
  • Pass Yards: 254.20
  • Rush Yards: 119.73

Expert Prediction & NFL Week 17 Pick

Obviously the Patriots will win and cover the NFL betting lines. But I think they get ahead by 21 or so and rest their starters. Jets with a backdoor cover and lose by 14.
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