NFL Week 3 Indianapolis At San Diego Winning Predictions
Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts will look to bag their first win of the season when they host Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers in a likely high-scoring affair on Sunday.
Now, let’s find out where the value in this AFC clash lies as well as their respective betting odds.
Analyzing The NFL Week 3 Colts At Chargers Winning Predictions
When: Sunday, September 25, 2016 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium
Live Stream: CBS Sports Network
NFL Odds: Indianapolis Colts -3 / Over/Under: 50.5
Bet The San Diego Chargers at +3 Because…
The San Diego Chargers can score the ball with anyone! San Diego rolled all over Jacksonville in their 38-14 Week 2 blowout win as veteran quarterback Philip Rivers completed 17-of-24 passes for 220 yards and four touchdowns while running back Melvin Gordon rushed 24 times for 102 yards and one score. Wide receiver Travis Benjamin caught six passes for 115 yards and two touchdowns, but veteran running back Danny Woodhead was lost for the season with a torn ACL in the win.
Bet The Indianapolis Colts at -3 Because…
The Colts are completely and utterly desperate! Indianapolis was on the wrong end of a humbling 34-20 loss against Denver in Week 2 as quarterback Andrew Luck was limited to 21-of-40 passing for 197 yards and one touchdown, but also tossed one interception and lost one costly fumble. Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton was limited to four catches for just 41 yards, while veteran running back Frank Gore was limited to just 44 yards on 13 carries.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
For me, I think the best value in this matchup is simply to play the Over 50.5 total points. Indianapolis has given up at least 34 points in both of their games this season and both of these teams have elite quarterbacks that know how to get their teams in the end zone.
The Chargers have compiled a perfect 7-0 ATS mark in their last seven road games and 6-0 ATS mark in their last six games overall, but the Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Week 3 games and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games following an SU loss. Indianapolis is also 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 home games, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
Still, I think the best play is a simple Over pick against the 50.5-point total.