2024 NFL Week 4 ATS Picks

Top ATS Picks for NFL Week 4: Best Betting NFL Odds for the Games

 

As we head into NFL Week 4, the underdogs have been stealing the show, making it a great time to take advantage of the most favorable betting NFL odds. Our expert breakdown covers six key matchups with ATS picks you don’t want to miss.

 

Top ATS Picks for the Top Games NFL Week 4: Expert Bets to Watch
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Guide: Expert Picks for the Top Matchups!

2024 NFL season | 104th season of National Football League in the United States
Week 4: Thursday, September 27th – Monday, September 30th, 2024

 

ATS Picks in the Fourth Week of the Season

So far this season, the dogs have had their day.

Underdogs bit big time in NFL Week 2.

Then last week, the dogs took a chunk out the favorite’s leg in sev en games.

Dogs aren’t just covering spread.

They’re also winning straight up.

Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and free ATS picks for six of this week’s top games.

 

Writer’s ATS Picks for the NFL Week 4

Dallas Cowboys -4.5 at New York Giants

Dallas has trouble stopping the rush.

That’s going to be a problem versus the Giants because Brian Daboll finally has the G-Men offense rocking.

Daniel Jones looked great when connecting with Malik Nabers for a pair of touchdown passes in NFL Week 3.

Giants keep any loss to 3 points or less.

NFL Week 4 Pick: New York Giants +4.5


 

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons -1.5

The Falcons had their chances against the Chiefs.

The problem for Atlanta was dealing with Steve Spagnuolo’s defense.

On Sunday, the Falcons must not only deal with Dennis Allen’s defense, which has been great so far, but also the Saints’ high powered offense.

New Orleans bounces back with a win.

NFL Week 4 Pick: New Orleans Saints +1.5


 

Minnesota Vikings +2.5 at Green Bay Packers

Whether Malik Willis or Jordan Love starts, it won’t matter.

The Green Bay defense is going to have massive problems versus one of the top offenses in the NFL.

Sam Darnold has thrown 8 TD passes to 2 picks.

Darnold might win the NFL MVP if he keeps this up.

Yes… Sam Darnold could be the league’s MVP.

Brian Flores’ D will stop Willis or Love from taking the game over.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Minnesota Vikings +2.5


 

Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 at Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are a mess on both defense and offense.

Anthony Richardson has tossed 6 interceptions and thrown 3 TDs in Indy’s first three games.

The Steelers, like always, have a lockdown defense.

Pittsburgh forces Richardson into at least 2 picks on their way to an easy win.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5


 

Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 at LA Chargers

Sunday, September 29, 2024

The line is too many points.

The Bolts will have a chance to hand the Chiefs their first loss of the NFL season.

Throw out the last game.

Jim Harbaugh got out Jim Harbaughed by Mike Tomlin.

The Steelers and Chargers both play defense and run the football.

The Chiefs will have trouble countering Harbaugh’s strategy.

KC may eke out a win.

It won’t be by 8 or more points.

NFL Week 4 Pick: LA Chargers +7.5


 

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions -4.5

Monday, September 30th, 2024

The Seahawks are good enough to win this straight up.

But Detroit has begun to find their footing.

The 20-13 victory over the Cardinals in the last was fantastic considering the Lions were on the road and facing Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr.

Seattle will keep this close until the second half of the third quarter where Goff and his mates open things up.

Lions win and cover.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Detroit Lions +4.5


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What are Prop Bets in NFL Betting Odds? Let’s Find Out
 

Prop bets, short for “proposition bets,” are a popular form of wagering in NFL betting that focus on specific events or outcomes within a game, rather than the final score or point spread.

These bets allow bettors to get creative and engage with various aspects of the game, making them an exciting option for both casual and experienced gamblers.

In NFL betting, prop bets can cover a wide range of scenarios, including:

  • Player Performance:
    Bets on individual player statistics, such as total passing yards for a quarterback, touchdowns scored by a running back, or receptions made by a wide receiver.

  • Game Events:
    Bets on specific events within the game, like the first team to score, total field goals made, or the occurrence of certain plays (e.g., a safety or a two-point conversion).

  • Season Props:
    Long-term bets that predict a player’s performance over the entire season, such as which player will lead the league in rushing yards or the total number of wins for a team.

Prop bets can add an extra layer of ways bet on the NFL games and often provide higher value than your traditional bets like straight bets, parlays and such.

For the latest NFL betting odds and to explore exciting prop bet opportunities, head to our sportsbook today!

 
 

   
 

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NFL Week 4 ATS Picks
 

Previous Betting News

We start Week 4 of the National Football League. Week 3 was a wild one that saw a team score 70 points and another team score 18 straight in the fourth quarter to come back and win.

Let’s take a look at the NFL Week 4 Against the Spread Picks.

NFL Week 4 ATS Picks | MyBookie Regular Season Preview

2023-24 NFL | 104th season of the National Football League
NFL Week 4: Thursday, September 21st – Monday, September 25th, 2023

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions | Thursday Night Football

ATS: Lions -1
Thursday, September 28th, 2023 at 8:15 PM | PRIME VIDEO
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

The Thursday Night Football game of the week. The Packers and the Lions are both 2-1 heading into this game. Both have gotten to 2-1 by interesting paths. Both are coming off wins. Now, the Lions are not getting a chance to play this game on turf.

Jared Goff is a different player on the turf. Look for the Packers to have a defensive plan to keep him off balance. For the Packers offense, they carry over what did them well in the fourth quarter, come from behind win, and use it again. Take the Packers as the underdog at home!

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick: Packers +1 | Bet Packers over Lions
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Jacksonville Jaguars over Atlanta Falcons

ATS: Jaguars -3
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 9:30 PM | ESPN+
Wembley Stadium, London

London will be the location for this game. The Jaguars are familiar with these London games. Both teams will need to make the long flight overseas and do so fresh after a loss. The Jaguars are now 1-2 with a loss to the Texans. They just could never get things going in the loss.

For Atlanta, the running game was slowed down by Detroit, and they fell. If the Falcons cannot find any more ability to pass successfully, it’s going to be a long final 14 games for them. Take the Jaguars in London.

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick: Jaguars -3 | Bet Jaguars over Falcons
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers

ATS: Vikings -3.5
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM | ESPN+
Wembley Stadium, London

A pair of winless teams. The Vikings are just snake-bitten. Justin Jefferson has got to be irritated with this start. For Carolina, who knows if they will have Bryce Young in under center, but our betting pick does not change either way.

Whether it is Young or Dalton, the Vikings are the better team, and they keep it together this time. Bet on the Vikings, despite being on the road in this one on Sunday.

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick: Vikings -3.5 | Bet Vikings at Panthers
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Buffalo Bills over Miami Dolphins

ATS: Bills -2.5
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM | ESPN+
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

The hottest team in the world is the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins scored 70 points in their Week 3 win over the Broncos. So, there will be a ton of hype around them. But, Buffalo is at home and still the defending divisional champions.

Look for Josh Allen and company to come out on a mission. Plus, the Bills have a strong defense and know what the Dolphins do best. Look for Buffalo to win this game at home.

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick: Bills -2.5 | Bet Bills over Dolphins
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Chicago Bears over Denver Broncos

ATS: Broncos -3.5
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM | ESPN+
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

Another game between winless teams. Not only both these teams are winless, but they are both putting up horrendous efforts to start the season. The Broncos have allowed 105 points over the last two weeks. Chicago cannot get their starting quarterback to give them a solid game.

The Bears are at home, so we like them to cover this spread. There is a chance the Bears win this game at home, as well. The loser will be 0-4, and pretty much puts them postseason chances close to 0.

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick: Bears +3.5 | Bet Bears over Broncos
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Dallas Cowboys over New England Patriots

ATS: Cowboys -6.5
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 4:25 PM | ESPN+
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Dallas is coming off a road loss at Arizona. Look for them to take out their anger on Mac Jones and his New England Patriots. The Cowboys just could not get anything going consistently against the Cardinals.

The Patriots are coming off a win over the Jets. Betting the Cowboys as a touchdown favorite seems to be the right move here.

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick: Cowboys -6.5 | Bet Cowboys over Patriots
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

There you go. Those are our top six NFL games for Week 4 Against the Spread. We hope you enjoy the week and are ready for another fun weekend of National Football League action. Best of luck with all your betting!

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2022 NFL Against the Spread Betting Picks for the Top Games of Week 4
 

Previous Betting News

In terms of our picks for Week 3, we did not have what anyone would call a particularly great go of things. Overall, we went 5-4 on our selections, taking us to 12-6 on the season. We are now getting ready to head into Week 5, which is going to be a crucial one for a lot of teams, particularly those who are below .500 or looking for their first win of the season. For the teams that are sitting at 0-3, the possibility of sinking into obscurity and falling too far off the pace to come back is all too real. The pressure is always on in the NFL, but as the season progresses, some teams are going to feel that more than others. Our only concern for Week 4 is getting back to winning ways with our NFL Betting picks, so let’s jump right in with some selections against the spread.

Week 4 ATS Betting Picks | 2022 National Football League Analysis

Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders (-2 ½)

A season that seemed to be filled with promise for the Las Vegas Raiders is very quickly going down the drain. They are one of the teams sitting at 0-3, and while they have been involved in some close ones, close does not add up to wins or a playoff berth. The Raiders are now very much in must win territory, but the good news is that this might well be the matchup that gets them to break that goose egg. The Broncos have bounced back after losing in Week 1 and are now 2-1 on the season, but they have not had a ton of joy when playing Las Vegas, as the Raiders have covered in each of their last 5 home games versus the Broncos.

Tennessee Titans (+3) at Indianapolis Colts

Both of these teams were considered to be potential playoff players in the AFC, but both are off to rather sloppy starts. The Titans held on to get a much-needed win in Week 3, moving to 1-2 in the process, while the Colts stunned the Kansas City Chiefs to move to 1-1-1 on the season. The fact of the matter is that I do not have a ton of faith in either of these teams, but I do have a little more in the Titans. I almost moved this game to my O/U picks for the week, as this one screams UNDER all the way, but I think Tennessee is good value as that 3-point underdog. After all, they have covered in 4 of their last 5 visits to Indianapolis.

New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3 ½)

Both of these teams come into Week 4 sitting below .500 at 1-2, and both have been struggling to get the job done on offense. The Jets have veteran Joe Flacco under center to replace the injured Zach Wilson, while the Steelers are still trying to adapt to life without Big Ben leading the offense. The Steelers have won 10 of their last 11 meetings at home versus the Jets, but can they win and cover the spread this weekend? October has been a good month to play Pittsburgh, as they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 played in that month. A close one here, but I like the Steelers to cover.

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NFL 2021 Regular Season – Week 4 ATS Betting Picks
 

Previous Betting News

While it is still much too early in the season to be hitting the panic button, you can bet that there are some fans out there who are more than a little concerned about the current state of their team. This has been a rather odd start to the season, but as we have seen in the past, things do tend to have a way of levelling out over the course of what is now a `17-game schedule for each team. Still, even with the extra week, it does not pay to get into a hole too early. We are not quite there with our picks for the season, but we could be doing better. Let’s see if we can do that in Week 4 of the NFL season, starting with our ATS picks for the week. Let’s jump right into action so you can be all set to bet against the NFL odds.

Week 4 ATS Picks for the 2021 Season | NFL Betting

Carolina Panthers (+5) at Dallas Cowboys

If you want to talk about surprise teams this season, you need to mention the Carolina Panthers, who come into this week with a perfect 3-0 record. QB Sam Darnold looks like a new man now that he is out of New York, and he is helping Carolina win despite being without the services of Christian McCaffrey right now. The Cowboys moved to 2-1 with a win on Monday night and are a little unlucky not to be at 3-0 after giving the Super Bowl champs all they could handle in a Week 1 loss. Wins aside, there is a lot to like about the Panthers against the spread, starting with the fact that they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus NFC opponents.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7 ½) at Philadelphia Eagles

We mentioned some fan panicking at the early season performances of their team. The Chiefs fans might well be in that mix, as they have seen their team get out to a 1-2 start this season, which is not what we are used to from Mahomes and company. They have also been more than a little disappointing for bettors and are now on a run where they have covered just once in their last 8 games. Before you think I’ve lost my mind by taking them to cover here, keep in mind that Philly is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus teams from the AFC. They are also coming off a short week and going against a team with a bit of a chip on their shoulder.

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-7 ½)

While some teams have a reason for concern after the first 3 weeks, there are a few who have a reason to believe that their season is already over. You have to say that the New York Giants are in that group, as they have looked truly awful through the opening 3 weeks of the season. Where they have been a decent bet is against the spread in road games, as they have covered in 10 of the last 12. That said, though, they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus the Saints overall. Further evidence to support taking the Saints here can be seen in the fact that they are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games.

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NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Picks
 

Previous Betting News

It was another wild week in the NFL, with some of the big favorites falling to weaker opposition in NFL Week 3. Anyone who tells you that they had the Buffalo Bills beating the Minnesota Vikings SU is probably not being entirely truthful. We still have the Monday night game between the Steelers and Bucs to come before we put Week 3 to rest, but that doesn’t mean that we can’t take a little peek ahead to what is to come in the NFL betting action for NFL Week 4. We are going to be looking at some SU and O/U picks for the coming weekend, but for now, let’s focus on making some picks ATS.

NFL Week 4 ATS Picks

Miami Dolphins (+7 ½) vs New England Patriots

It’s hard to believe that the Patriots would be heading into a critical game in Week 4 of the season, yet that is exactly where they are. They have now lost back to back games to start the season 1-2, and there are some concerns that the Brady/Belichick era may be finally reaching its end.

It’s never a good idea to count out the Patriots, but they are going to have their hands full with a Miami Dolphins team that has started the season 3-0 SU and ATS, which has taken them to the top of the AFC East. They know that a win here would put them in total control in the early going, and while they may not get that win, I do like them to cover.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Miami is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing New England
  • New England is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
  • New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Green Bay Packers (-10 ½) vs Buffalo Bills

Through the opening two weeks of the season, the Buffalo Bills were far and away the worst team in the league, so imagine our surprise when they came out and beat the Minnesota Vikings over the weekend.

They pulled off that feat as a 16 ½ point underdog, which has made the bookies go a little more conservative this week, installing the 1-1-1 Packers as a 10 ½ point home favorite. They are sure to still be smarting after losing on the road to Washington in Week 3, so look for them to bounce back in a big way at Lambeau Field with a dominating win over the Bills.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
  • Green Bay is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Green Bay is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Detroit Lions (+3 ½) vs Dallas Cowboys

The Lions kept their season alive with a big win over the New England Patriots in Week 3, taking their season record to 1-2. That was a morale-boosting win and one that was well deserved, but the question now is whether they can build on that.

The Lions certainly have an opportunity to do so against a Dallas Cowboys team that has looked pretty awful through the opening 3 weeks of the season. The Cowboys are just not getting the job done on the offensive side of the football, and in a match-up between Stafford and Prescott, my money is on the Lions QB to win.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Atlanta Falcons (-5 ½) vs Cincinnati Bengals

The Falcons are off to a bit of a rollercoaster start to the season at just 1-2 through the opening 3 weeks. They were involved in the game of the week on Sunday against the New Orleans Saints, a game that they ended up losing in OT.

They need to get back to winning ways this weekend to stay in touch in what is sure to be a tight NFC South Division race, and I certainly like their chances to do that against a Bengals team that took their first loss of the season over the weekend. I like the Falcons to win and cover here.

 
Expert Analysis on NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Picks
 

Previous Betting News

The schedule for NFL Week 4 presents some interesting match-ups. Can the now, Los Angeles Chargers stop finding new ways to lose games when they host the Philadelphia Eagles this coming weekend? Are the Seattle Seahawks as much of a mess as they’ve looked through three weeks? Last but not least, Can the Washington Redskins pull off their second straight win over an AFC West Super Bowl hopeful after recording one of the most impressive wins on the entire Week 3 docket?

Last but not least, Can the Washington Redskins pull off their second straight win over an AFC West Super Bowl hopeful after recording one of the most impressive wins on the entire Week 3 docket? As usual, if you’ve got questions, we got answers, including the latest NFL odds and ATS Picks for you to consider.

NFL Week 4 Analysis & ATS Betting Picks

Philadelphia Eagles at L.A. Chargers

When: Sunday, October 1, 2017, 4:05 PM ET
Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California
NFL Week 4 Odds: Philadelphia +1

Analysis

Even though they lost their first two games of the season, Philip Rivers and the Los Angeles Chargers were very competitive in dropping both contests by a field goal or less. Unfortunately, that wasn’t the case in their 24-10, Week 3 home loss to Kansas City.

The Bolts never showed up against their longtime AFC West division rivals and are now looking at falling to 0-4 if they fall at home to Philadelphia in Week 4. Rivers tossed three interceptions for the ninth time in his career and L.A. never had a chance to beat Kansas City after they scored a pair of touchdowns in the opening nine minutes.

More importantly, the Chargers are having serious problems scoring as the 27 combined points on the board the last two weeks indicates, to enter Week 4 ranked an uninspiring 26th in scoring right now (16.0 ppg), not to mention, a modest 17th in points allowed (22.3 ppg).

Conversely, the Eagles have played some gritty football in all three of their games and fought to the very last second in their stunning 27-24 Week 3 home win over the Giants as rookie Jake Elliott nailed a game-winning 61-yard field goal as time expired. The Birds are ranked an encouraging 10th in scoring (25.7 ppg) behind second-year signal-caller Carson Wentz despite ranking a modest 20th in points allowed (22.7 ppg).

I had high hopes for the Chargers coming into the 2017 regular season under new head coach Anthony Lynn, but right now, I’m thinking Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles are the easy pick to get the upset road win and ATS cover after seeing how both of these teams have played through three weeks.

Latest Betting Trends for NFL Week 4

  • Eagles are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Eagles are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 games on the road
  • Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

NFL Pick: Philadelphia +1

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks

When: Sunday, October 1, 2017, 8:30 PM ET
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
NFL Week 4 Odds: Indianapolis +12.5

Analysis

Indianapolis picked their first win of the season in Week 3 and has played some solid football since their Week 1 debacle against the Rams by narrowly losing to Arizona 16-13 in Week 2 and beating Cleveland 31-28 this past weekend. The Colts are looking a lot better mostly because of the eye-opening play of young quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who has looked pretty damned good in his two starts since replacing Scott Tolzien following his flame-out appearance in Indy’s regular-season opener.

Conversely, Seattle hasn’t looked particularly impressive all season in losing their opener 17-9 to Green Bay before narrowly squeaking past an awful San Francisco team 12-9 in Week 2 and falling to Tennessee 33-27 on the road this past weekend. The bottom line for me heading into Week 4 is that I simply don’t have a whole bunch of faith in the Seahawks whatsoever right now, even though they entered the 2017 campaign as one of my top selections to win the NFC title this season. Seattle is averaging a pitiful 16.0 points per game to rank 26th in scoring and although they are limiting their opponents to just 19.7 points per game to rank an encouraging eighth in points allowed, they sure didn’t look very cohesive in giving up 33 points to Marcus Mariota and the Titans this past weekend.

Simply put, with Indy getting some good play at quarterback, I like them to cover the spread against an offensively-challenged Seahawks team as nearly two-touchdown road dogs.

Latest Betting Trends for NFL Week 4

NFL Pick: Indianapolis +13

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs

When: Monday, October 2, 2017, 8:30 PM ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
NFL Week 4 Odds: Kansas City -8

Analysis

Kansas City is looking good after getting off to a perfect 3-0 start that includes a season-opening road win over New England that I predicted in Week 1, it is Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins that are the pick to get the upset ATS cover as 8-point road dogs in this Week 4 Inter-conference clash.

While the Chiefs man-handled the Chargers in their Week 3 AFC West divisional battle to cover the spread, I also predicted, Washington looked even better in beating the Oakland Raiders in all three phases in their surprising 27-10 win on Sunday. Now, while I’m not suggesting that Washington will win outright, I am going to advise you to back Cousins and company to cover a point spread I think should be a lot closer to 4-6 points than the eight points it currently sits at.

Despite their excellence this season, Kansas City has gone just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games while Washington has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and a blistering 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games. I fully expect the Redskins to put up a good effort to cover the NFL betting line although I think they’re going to end up suffering a narrow road loss to the Chiefs to snap their 0-5 ATS mark in their last five road games against the Chiefs.

NFL Pick: Washington +7

 
2016 Week 4 ATS Betting Picks
 

Previous Betting News

Okay pigskin players, if you’re looking for some expert online NFL betting picks to bet against the spread, then you’ve certainly come to the right place! With the 2016 regular season quickly approaching, the full slate of Week 4 picks that you’re about to get will assist you in your efforts to cash in early and often over the course of the coming campaign. With that said, let’s get started.

Here’s a Look at the 2016 Week 4 ATS Betting Picks

Thursday, September 29, 2016

Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals may have failed to win a single postseason game in five straight tries, but Andy Dalton and company are far superior to Ryan Tannehill and the Fins and will cover the NFL betting odds with room to spare in this Week 4 matchup.

Sunday, October 2, 2016

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5)

I like the improvements the Jacksonville Jaguars made late last season, but I just don’t see the Jags beating Andrew Luck or covering the spread against a Colts team intent on getting their AFC South title back in 2016.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-7)

The Houston Texans are superior to the Tennessee Titans in every way and should win this Week 4 AFC South divisional battle by double digits!

Cleveland Browns at Washington Redskins (-7.5)

The Washington Redskins may be the better team right now, but I like Cleveland and RG3 to cover the spread with room to spare as the Browns go all out to help their new quarterback extract some revenge for ‘doing him dirty’! Cleveland covers the spread !

Seattle Seahawks at New York Jets (+2)

The Jets may have re-signed Ryan Fitzpatrick, but New York is still inferior to a Seattle Seahawks team that plays very well on the road. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks cover in a tighter-than- expected affair!

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-7)

This Week 4 AFC East divisional battle is an easy call. Rex Ryan teams always seem to give the Patriots trouble and this matchup will be no different, especially with Tom Brady out. The Bills cover with room to spare!

Carolina Panthers at Falcons (+3.5)

The Falcons were the only team to beat the Panthers in the regular season a year ago and they’re my pick to cover the spread again, mostly because they’re playing at home and know their NFC South division rivals as well as any team in the league.

Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens (-2)

The Raiders may be the sexy pick to improve in a big way in 2016, but for me, I believe the return of Joe Flacco makes the Ravens a dangerous bunch – even if Baltimore isn’t the same defensive juggernaut they used to be. Baltimore wins and covers the NFL betting line by the slimmest of margins.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-1.5)

While I’m not real fond of the Chicago Bears and believe the Detroit Lions could make the playoffs this coming season, I like Chi-Town to get the win and ATS cover against their NFC North division rivals as part of a likely regular season series split.

Broncos at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5)

I like Jameis Winston a lot, but the Tampa Buccaneers weren’t too bright to fire former head coach Lovie Smith. This Week 4 matchup against the defending champs will back up my sentiments as Tampa Bay loses and fails to cover the spread.

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-7)

The Los Angeles Rams are inferior to the Arizona Cardinals in all three phases of the game and will go down hard in this Week 4 road date against their NFC West division rivals.

New Orleans Saints at San Diego Chargers (-3)

The Saints and Chargers are both offensively explosive, but mostly incompetent defensively. The Bolts narrowly cover in a high-scoring affair that sees both, Drew Brees and Philip Rivers top the 300-yard passing yardage plateau.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (+3)

The Dallas Cowboys have legitimate playoff hopes while most NFL observers expect the Niners to be mediocre at best in Chip Kelly’s debut season. Still, something tells me that San Francisco will cover the spread in a hard-fought contest that goes down to the wire.

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)

With gifted dual-threat running back Le’Veon Bell out for four weeks, the Pittsburgh Steelers will almost assuredly be a one dimensional bunch in this Week 4 matchup against Kansas City. I like the Chiefs to cover the spread, even if they don’t win outright, which, by the way, is a very realistic possibility.

Monday, October 3, 2016

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (6)

The Giants have an explosive offense but they’ll find outing points on the board against the stingy Vikings difficult. Conversely, I expect Teddy Bridgewater and Adrian Peterson to torch New York’s uninspiring defense while leading the Vikes to the ATS cover.

 
Bold Week 4 NFL Betting ATS Picks
 

Previous Betting News

Entering Week 4 of the 2015-16 NFL season, it is increasingly becoming clear that a good number of the preseason predictions won’t be going as anticipated in the NFL betting odds, thanks to a piling list of injuries and suspensions. As we’ve been doing through the first three weeks, we will therefore continue to give our weekly NFL picks that take into such contributing factors. With that, here are our Week 4 NFL ATS picks:

Jets at Dolphins

ATS Pick: Dolphins (+1.5) It’s not that the Jets are not talented, because they really are. It’s just that after all the millions spent by the Dolphins on players like Ndamukong Suh and Ryan Tannehill, Miami’s owners will be mad desperate for a win in this game. And after the Eagles and Colts tapped into that desperation to win their respective clashes in Week 3, I am willing to bet on Miami to do the same this week.

Jaguars at Colts

ATS Pick: Jaguars (+9) Despite suffering a humiliating 51-17 loss to the Patriots last week, second-year QB Blake Bortles and the Jaguars have been a noticeably improved unit, hence should be able to give a respectable performance against the Colts. Plus, Andrew Luck comes to this game half-healthy, which means that his efficiency could be limited. Considering such issues, the Jags are likely to do enough to cover the spread, particularly in the garbage time when Indy will probably shift down on its gears.

Giants at Bills

ATS Pick: Bills (-5) The Buffalo defense is for real while the Giants offense is half-fake, half-real, so there’s no way Buffalo will be allowing the New Yorkers to walk away with the win, or even a cover of the spread in this game.

Panthers at Buccaneers

ATS Pick: Panthers (-3) As long as Cam Newton is making plays with his legs and hands, and Carolina is playing against subpar opponents (read that Tampa Bay), then the Panthers should be good to ease past such games.

Eagles at Redskins

ATS Pick: Eagles (-3) If everything works as I think they will, then the Eagles offense should be waking up this week for a blowout win over the troubled Redskins. But in a worst-case scenario, we should witness another grinded-out result from Philly (like their Week 3 win over the Jets). Either way, the Eagles will be walking out of the Nation’s capital with a win plus cover.

Raiders at Bears

ATS Pick: Bears (+3) Coming off a shutout loss over Seattle, Chicago will be looking for a statement win, something that is very possible against Oakland’s improved-but-still-shaky squad. At the moment, I am 51-49 on this pick because of Chicago’s unknown QB situation. If Jay Cutler is confirmed available, I’ll be 90-10 in favor of the Bears.

Texans at Falcons

ATS Pick: Falcons (-6) The undefeated Falcons have a big QB advantage here (Matt Ryan over Ryan Mallet), and will be playing at home against a middling Houston squad that has a poor road record. When you add up all that advantage, the Falcons should be good to win this one by more than a touchdown.

Chiefs at Bengals

ATS Pick: Chiefs (+4) With a better schedule, the Chiefs and Bengals would have both entered this week with replica 3-0 records. However, Kansas City has had a very grueling start, winning over Houston, before suffering a heartbreak against Denver, and then failing to measure up to the too tall Packers. The Bengals, meanwhile, had manageable a manageable schedule against suspect and middle-table teams (Oakland, San Diego and Baltimore). Given a chance to prove their worth against Cincy and its questionable defense, Alex Smith and Jamaal Charles should be able to keep this game real close to earn the Chiefs the ATS, if not the SU win.

Browns at Chargers

ATS Pick: Browns (-7) On normal occasions, this one should be an easy and comfortable win plus cover by the Chargers, I agree. However, this is not a normal occasion; star LG Orlando Franklin (ankle) has been ruled out for this clash, center Chris Watt (groin) and LT King Dunlap (concussion) are doubtful, while RG D.J. Fluker (ankle) has also been listed as questionable, meaning San Diego will have a depleted squad. On the flip side, QB Josh McCown has shown massive improvements since Week 1, which should allow the very undervalued Browns to keep the scores close.

Packers at 49ers

ATS Pick: Packers (-8) The 49ers have too many problems on both ends of the field, so even with their 4-0 streak in this series, it doesn’t look like they’ll be able to contain the Packers who are riding high on the versatile Aaron Rodgers-led offense.

Rams at Cardinals

ATS Pick: Cardinals (-7) With a 3-0 SU and ATS mark boasting a 25.7-point average winning margin, the Cardinals are the definition of dominance in 2015, taking care of the ball seamlessly on both ends of the field against all kinds of opponents. Against a Rams team that is skidding on a two-game losing streak that saw them post a total of just 16 points, over two games, Carson Palmer and his Arizona team will most probably be recording another manhandling double-digit win.

Vikings at Broncos

ATS Pick: Vikings (+7) The Broncos haven’t been that impressive this season, but the defense has been doing most of the heavy-lifting and the offense has been chipping in with the much-needed legwork, hence the 3-0 record. The Vikings have struggled because of QB Teddy Bridgewater’s underperformance, but Adrian Peterson has filled in with solid ground attack, along with the support from an above-average Minnesota defense. Pitted against each other, the deficiencies from both teams should cancel out each other, setting up a very close contest. In the end, we believe the Broncos will most likely claim the win, but Peterson and Co. will use Minnesota’s solid running game (third-best in the league) to keep the scores close for an ATS win.

Cowboys at Saints

ATS Pick: Cowboys (+3) Drew Brees or no Drew Brees, the Saints are an awful team. Making matters worse, the Saints are 0-6 SU and ATS in their last 6 games in New Orleans, so the Cowboys should offer a sweet value at +3.

Lions at Seahawks

ATS Pick: Lions (+9) Whereas I am not yet ready to write off Seattle’s defense from giving another sterling performance in this game, I am sure that Matthew Stafford and Detroit’s running game have what it takes to get some decent points on the board, while the Lions’ defense also limits Russell Wilson and his offense from blowing out the scores. A win should thus be in the offing for Seattle, but Detroit is highly likely to keep the win margin below nine points.

 
 

 

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