NFL Week 7 Odds & Betting Pick: Dallas at San Francisco

NFL Week 7 Odds & Betting Pick: Dallas at San Francisco

Written by on October 20, 2017

Are you tired of the whole Ezekiel Elliott suspended/not suspended saga? Well, all I can tell you right now is that Elliott will play this week in San Francisco as his case weaves its way through the courts. The Niners are one of two winless teams remaining but less than TD underdogs in the NFL Week 7 odds. The 49ers are +6 underdogs for Sunday’s matchup.

NFL Week 7 Odds & Betting Pick: Dallas at San Francisco

When: Sunday, 4:05 PM ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium
TV: Fox
Radio: 105.3 FM (Dallas) / KNBR 680 AM (San Francisco)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Week 7 Odds: Cowboys -6 (46.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 23°C/74°F
  • Humidity: 43%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 11 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Last Meeting

The teams met last year in Week 4 in San Francisco and the Cowboys won 24-17. Elliott ran for 138 yards and a touchdown and Dak Prescott threw for two scores to help the Cowboys overcome an early 14-point deficit. Prescott threw for 245 yards and had a 20-yard touchdown pass to Terrance Williams and a 4-yarder to Brice Butler to tie the game at the half. Elliott took over with 96 yards rushing in the second half, including a 1-yard run that gave Dallas the lead for good late in the third quarter. Blaine Gabbert was the Niners’ QB then. He finished 16 for 23 for 196 yards with one touchdown and one interception.

The 49ers and Cowboys are tied in the all-time series, 17-17-1. Week 7 marks the first time since 1996-97 that the Cowboys visit San Francisco in back-to-back seasons.

Best NFL Week 7 Betting Matchups & Picks

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 35
  • First Meeting: November 20th, 1960. Cotton Bowl. Dallas, Texas
  • Last Meeting: October 2nd, 2016. Levi’s Stadium. Santa Clara, California
  • All-Time Series: Tie 17-17-1
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Dallas 59-14 (1980)
  • Longest Win Streak: San Francisco 6 (1981-1990)
  • Current Win Streak: Dallas 1 (2016)

Why Bet On Dallas’ NFL Week 7 Odds?

Because the Cowboys will have Elliott. For a second time this season, Elliott has been granted a temporary restraining order in court, staving off his six-game NFL suspension and allowing him to continue playing while the issue is resolved.   The All-Pro running back had been suspended late last week when the Fifth Circuit Court overruled the injunction he was granted earlier this season. The latest ruling is good for approximately two weeks — or until Judge Katherine Polk Failla makes a ruling on the current matter. Failla is currently on vacation.

The Cowboys are off their bye week so are about as healthy as possible this point of the season. San Francisco has given up the fourth most passing yards in the league this season. The 49ers just don’t have enough talent on defense to stop a full-strength Cowboys’ offense. The best they can hope to do is commit to stopping the run and double-teaming Dez Bryant whenever possible. That’s going to mean linebackers matched up with Cole Beasley and linebackers can’t keep up with him.

Despite playing just five games, defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence continues to lead the NFL in sacks with 8.5. He’s already surpassed his previous career-high in a season with eight, his final total in 2015.  With another sack this Sunday, it’ll mark just the 10th time in league history for a player to begin a season with a sack in six straight games. The only Cowboys player to accomplish that feat was DeMarcus Ware (first seven games) en route to a 20-sack season in 2008.

The Dallas defense isn’t forcing takeaways, however. Through five games, they have three takeaways, putting them on pace for 13 on the season. The Cowboys haven’t forced one in the past 13 quarters.

Team Statistics

Offense:

  • Average Score For: 25
  • Total Yards: 356.20
  • Pass Yards: 232.20
  • Rush Yards: 124

Defense:

  • Average Score Against: 26.40
  • Total Yards: 339.8
  • Pass Yards: 221.80
  • Rush Yards: 118

Why Bet On San Francisco’s NFL Week 7 Odds?

The 49ers might be winless but they actually aren’t all that far from 5-1 as they are the first team in NFL history lose five straight games by three points or fewer. It was 26-24 last week in Washington. Coach Kyle Shanahan benched Brian Hoyer during the game for rookie C.J. Beathard, who threw for 245 yards, a touchdown and an interception and nearly led an impressive comeback.

Beathard, a third-round pick (104th overall) from Iowa, will be the No. 1 guy this week. Shanahan announced that Monday, saying he was “excited with how he played” against the Redskins. Carlos Hyde had two rushing touchdowns in Week 6 against the Redskins. He’s tied for third in the NFL with four rushing touchdowns. Hyde has 648 rush yards (92.6 per game) and seven touchdowns in past the past seven games at home.

Are the 49ers a safe bet in Week 7?

While being 0-6, there some things the 49ers do rather well and punting the ball is one of them. The 49ers lead the NFL in opponents’ punt return average at just 1.7 yards a return. Punter Bradley Pinion is averaging 44.8 yards a punt, and just 44.0 on his net returns. San Francisco has had plenty of opportunities to punt the ball, but its doing a fine job of getting down the field and making stops, with 13 yards being the longest return against them this year.

The Niners could get back rookie linebacker and first-round pick Reuben Foster on Sunday. Foster is now in his sixth week of working his way back from the ankle injury he initially suffered after just 11 snaps in the season opener against the Panthers. That falls on the late end of the original four-to-six week timetable expected for his return. If Foster does return this week, he’s expected to plug in at middle linebacker, the position left open by NaVorro Bowman’s release last week.

Team Statistics

Offense:

  • Average Score For: 18.83
  • Total Yards: 321.33
  • Pass Yards: 226.50
  • Rush Yards: 94.83

Defense:

  • Average Score Against: 24.33
  • Total Yards: 375.16
  • Pass Yards: 262.33
  • Rush Yards: 112.83

Latest NFL Week 7 Odds Trends

  • Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 games
  • Cowboys are 15-6 SU in the last 21 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games
  • 49ers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • 49ers are 0-5 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 9 games

Expert Prediction & Betting Pick for Week 7

If Elliott wasn’t playing, I would have taken the points. But Dallas is rested and has its star, so it should win by a touchdown.