NFL Week 7 Picks And Projections For Top Underdogs
Posted by Eric Williams on Saturday,October 22, 2016 6:51, EDT in
In the now immortal words of legendary rapper DMX…’Where My Dogs At? As football betting buffs everywhere likely know, some underdogs are completely overmatched each and every week and offer little chance of actually cashing in on their NFL odds.
Clearly, you want to either avoid – or wager against – underdogs like this. However, each and every there are also underdogs with ‘bite’ that are offering a ton of value against their favored opponents whether they’re a great pick to win outright or simply cover their respective ATS betting odds. Now, let’s look at the top underdogs on the Week 7 schedule.
Here’s A Closer Look At The NFL Week 7 Picks And Projections For Top Underdogs
San Diego at Atlanta
When: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 4:05 PM ET
NFL Odds: Atlanta -6.5
Analysis: Sure, the Atlanta Falcons are the better team in this Week 7 matchup, but the San Diego Chargers are my underdog pick to get it done against the ‘Dirty Birds’ seeing as how they got off the schneid last weekend and are due for some more good tidings thanks to their explosive offense.
The Chargers can score the ball with any team in the league and they rank third in scoring (28.8 ppg) just two spots behind the league-leading Falcons (33.1 ppg). Not only that, but the Bolts are also giving up almost two fewer points per game than the Falcons and have put together a stunning 8-2 ATS mark over their last 10 games.
No, there won’t be a whole lot of defense in this Week 7 matchup, but I do like Philip Rivers and the Chargers to turn this into a high-scoring shootout that I expect to be decided by a field goal at best. With Atlanta going 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games and the Chargers going 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games, I can honestly say, I smell an upset brewing.
Pick: San Diego +6.5 Points
New Orleans at Kansas City
When: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium
NFL Odds: New Orleans +6.5
Analysis: Like the Atlanta Falcons in the aforementioned matchup, Kansas City is clearly the better team in this Week 7 Inter-conference clash, but just like my previous pick, I’m going with Drew Brees and the high-scoring Saints to cash in as a nearly touchdown underdog because of their explosive offense.
New Orleans has scored 32 points or more in every game except one this season and averages just over 10 points per game more than Kansas City. While it’s true New Orleans has a generous defense that allows a whopping 13.2 points per game more than Kansas City, the Chiefs have their offensive struggles at times as evidenced by the fact that they’ve been limited to 14 points or less in two of their last four games. I like the high-scoring Saints to cover the NFL betting line!
Pick: New Orleans +6.5 Points
Tampa Bay at San Francisco
When: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium
NFL Odds: San Francisco +2
Analysis: I know the San Francisco 49ers have lost five straight games since shutting out the Rams in their opener, the fact of the matter is that Tampa Bay has its own share of issues coming into this contest, making Colin Kaepernick and the Niners the underdog pick for me.
Jameis Winston is undoubtedly one of the best young signal-callers in the league today, but Tampa Bay is just 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings against Frisco and the Niners are completely and utterly desperate! Oh…and I guess I have to admit that Niners head coach Chip Kelly has the edge in coaching over counterpart Dirk Koetter. Desperation, combined with the fact that they’re playing at home, will drive the Niners to the narrow win and ATS cover.
Pick: San Francisco +2 Points
