The last team to win back-to-back Super Bowls were the New England Patriots in 2004 and 2005. The Vince Lombardi Trophy repeat drought doesn’t flatter Tampa Bay’s chances to take the 2022 Super Bowl. Not only that, but the Kansas City Chiefs are an underlay at +450, which is why we should search for value when handicapping NFL championship prospects. Check out an analysis of seven teams offering fair or overlay odds to win this season’s Super Bowl. Let’s jump right into action so you can plan your bets against their Super Bowl odds.
NFL Teams with the Best Odds to End Super Bowl Drought This Season
Super Bowl LVI
- When: Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022
- Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Teams with Best Odds to End Super Bowl Drought
- Buffalo Bills +1100
NFL MVP favorite Josh Allen sits under center for the strong Buffalo Bills. Buffalo’s defense should also be better this season than it was in 2020. Allen has plenty of weapons and based on the Buffalo quarterback’s stats, Patrick Mahomes isn’t that much better. At +1100, the Bills are worth a look to win it all.
- Cleveland Browns +1400
The odds on Cleveland winning the Super Bowl are lower than we’d like. They’re fair, not overlaid. But the Browns have a lot going for them this season.
First, they will field the best rushing attack in the league. Second, Baker Mayfield should take a forward step to elite quarterback status, and third the defense should be much better than it was last season.
Also, even though the Browns play a tough schedule, they’re the class of the AFC North. So making the playoffs is all but assured.
- Miami Dolphins +2500
Yep, we saw how Tua Tagovailoa threw 5 interceptions at the Dolphins’ mini-camp. Tua was trying to be aggressive, though. He won’t be as nonchalant with the football once the season starts.
Tagovailoa’s football IQ is off the charts. This season, he gets to throw to Alabama teammate Jaylen Waddle while the defense is solid. The Fins have an easy schedule as well. Miami has a chance.
- New Orleans Saints +2200
The only difference between this season’s Saints squad and last season’s is that the likely starting quarterback, Jameis Winston, has a gun for an arm. If Sean Payton helps Winston control his aggressiveness, he can dominate secondaries.
Winston is still the guy who led the NFL in yards thrown in 2019. He also threw 30 touchdown passes. So if Payton helps Jameis cuts down on his penchant for throwing picks, and then plays Taysom Hill a few times during the game to spell Winston, the Saints should win enough games to challenge the Bucs for the NFC South title.
- Dallas Cowboys +2600
Dallas requires a couple of things to win the NFC East. First, the defense must get better. It doesn’t have to become great. It just must get better from 2020.
Second, Dak Prescott must be one-hundred percent. If those two things happen, the Cowboys win the NFC East, finish with a low playoff seed because the schedule is soft, and possibly win the NFC, which means they can take the Lombardi Trophy.
- Tennessee Titans +2500
Why are the Titans underdogs against the Indianapolis Colts to win the AFC South? The Titans traded for Julio Jones. Now Ryan Tannehill can throw to Jones and A.J. Brown.
Derrick Henry is the best running back in the league. Tennessee’s defense should improve, which makes the Titans a threat to win their division and the AFC.
- Los Angeles Chargers +3000
Last season, the Chargers’ defense suffered injuries. If everyone’s healthy, LAC fields a top five defense.
That’s the first reason to believe the Bolts can win the Super Bowl. The second reason? Opponents pressured Justin Herbert almost more than any other quarterback in the NFL. Herbert suffered sack after sack. He still tore it up with 4,336 yards and 31 touchdown passes. Herbert only threw 10 picks.
This season, Rashawn Slater will play left tackle. Last season, Slater may have been the best college offensive lineman. If Hebert has time, he can dominate any secondary, which makes the Los Angeles Chargers a legit overlay to win the Lombardi Trophy.