On Tuesday, two of the best in NHL throw down in Toronto. The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Tampa Bay Lightning in a game that could help determine NHL Playoff seeding. Right now, Tampa is the 2-seed in the division while Toronto is the 3-seed. Will the Lightning continue their second-half surge? Or, will the Maple Leafs gear up for the playoffs with a huge victory? Check out NHL odds, a preview, and a free pick for Lightning vs Maple Leafs!
Lightning vs Maple Leafs NHL Odds, Preview, and Pick
- When: Tuesday, March 10 at 7:00 pm ET
- Where: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, CA
- TV: TVA
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -115 / Maple Leafs -105 / Over/Under Odds: 6 ½
Why Tampa Bay Lightning are a good bet to win -115
The Lightning has a great 21-10-3-1 away record. That’s close to their home record. Tampa won’t allow the fans at Scotiabank Arena to intimidate them. But that’s not the lone reason to like Tampa to win this huge match on Tuesday night. The Lightning rank first in goals per with 3.5. They can counter the Leafs’ excellent offense. The road favorite looks solid to post a win.
- Goals For: 3.5
- Shots For: 31
- Power Plays: 23.5%
- Face-Offs: 56%
- Goals Against: 2.8
- Shots Against: 30.9
- Penalty Kills: 82.1%
- Shutouts: 0
Why Toronto Maple Leafs are a good bet to win -105
Toronto often steps it up in their arena. The Maple Leafs are 17-9-3-4 at home this season. They’ve gone 5-3 SU in their last 8 at home. Also, the Leafs head into this match after losing 3 straight on the road. The Maple Leafs are due for a turnaround performance. Expect the Maple Leafs to push the favorites every step in this game.
- Goals For: 3.4
- Shots For: 32.8
- Power Plays: 22.6%
- Face-Offs: 52.5%
- Goals Against: 3.2
- Shots Against: 31.9
- Penalty Kills: 77.2%
- Shutouts: 1
NHL Betting Trends for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Lightning is 45-10 in their last 55 versus the Atlantic
- Tampa Bay is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings
- Lightning is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in the Lightning’s last 5 on the road
- Toronto is 6-2 in their last 8 on a Tuesday
- Maple Leafs are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or more in their previous game
- Home team is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings
- Under is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 games as a home underdog
Lightning vs Maple Leafs NHL Final Betting Analysis
Tampa Bay hasn’t played its best hockey. Not only that but the Maple Leafs beat the Lightning 4-3 in the last head-to-head. It sure looks as if Tampa is up against it on Tuesday.
Then again, the Lightning is due for a form turnaround. Tampa is 4-6 SU in their last 10. They faced Detroit on March 8, their last game, and lost 4-5 in overtime. The loss came on the heels of a 5-3 victory over the Bruins in Boston.
If we count the Red Wings game as a bounce effort, Tampa should get back to their winning ways on March 10. The Lightning can match Toronto’s offense while the Maple Leafs can’t match Tampa’s defensive intensity. It helps that the home team is 0-5 SU in the last 5 matches. Back Tampa.
NHL Free Pick: Lightning -115