The NHL Stanley Cup playoffs are barely underway and we have already seen two teams sent home for the year. The New York Islanders taking out the Pittsburgh Penguins in a 4-game sweep was a bit of a surprise, but that outcome paled in comparison to the Columbus Blue Jackets sweeping the Tampa Bay Lightning, the team that was the overwhelming favorite to win it all after running away with the President’s Trophy for the best regular season record.
We are very quickly finding out that seeding means very little in these playoffs, as the #1 seed in the Western Conference have also dug themselves into an early hole. The Calgary Flames were huge favorites against the Colorado Avalanche, but as we head into Game 4 in Denver, the Flames find themselves 2-1 down in the series. They still have time to pull this one out and move on, but they really are entering into the must-win territory in this game. The Flames come into Game 4 as a 1 ½ goal favorite, with the goal total for this one set at 6.
Flames vs Avalanche 2019 Stanley Cup Odds & Pick for Game 4
- When: Wednesday, April 17 at 10 PM EST
- Where: Pepsi Center, Denver
- TV: NBCSN
- 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds: Calgary Flames -115 (Total 6)
Why bet on the Calgary Flames?The Flames opened this series by making it look as though they were going to be in for a comfortable ride, winning 4-0 on home ice. They were in prime position to win Game 2 as well, going ahead late in the 3rd period before surrendering a late, late goal and succumbing in OT. That loss appeared to take some of the wind out of the sails of the Flames, as they did not look very good in a 6-2 loss in Game 3.
Calgary did take 2 of 3 from the Avalanche in the regular season series, but we should remember that their lone loss there came on the road. The Flames went 24-15-2 on the road this season, so there is no reason to believe that they can’t pull out the win in a game that they really need.
Team StatsOffenseGoals: 3.49Shots: 32.39PP/PK Percentage: 19.59
DefenseGoals: 2.78Shots: 28.49PP/PK Percentage: 20.00
Why bet on the Colorado Avalanche?The Colorado Avalanche are the perfect example of a team that finishes hot to squeeze into the playoffs before taking that momentum into the opening round. It certainly looked as though they were going to miss out on the postseason, but a 7-1-2 run to close things output them in on a very positive note.
If the Avalanche can keep this game close, you have to like their chances to get the job done. In their 6 meetings with the Flames this season, we have seen 2 games go to OT, with the Avalanche coming away with the win in both of those games. They have done a good job of slowing the Flames offense down over the last 2 games, but they cannot let up against what is a very potent Calgary attack.
- Goals: 3.16
- Shots: 32.89
- PP/PK Percentage: 21.52
- Goals: 2.99
- Shots: 31.94
- PP/PK Percentage: 21.45
Flames vs Avalanche 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Trends
- Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary’s last 5 games
- Colorado is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
- Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado’s last 18 games
Expert Pick and Final Score PredictionThere were times this season when the Flames got a little streak, and they will be hoping that this isn’t one of the negative runs. I think that Game 3 was a wake-up call for Calgary, which is why I like them to bounce back with a big win in Game 4.
Score: Calgary Flames 5 – Colorado Avalanche 2