#9 Oklahoma State vs #16 Baylor Betting Analysis – 2022 NCAA Football Week 5

Two top 20 ranked Big 12 teams clash in Waco on Saturday when the Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the Baylor Bears. Not only is the game a battle between Big 12 rivals, but it’s also a rematch of last season’s Big 12 Championship contest. Will home team Baylor prevail as a slight -2 chalk? Or will Oklahoma State continue the winning streak? Keep reading for College Football Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears. 

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Odds and Pick | College Football Betting Predictions

NCAAF Week 5: #9 Oklahoma State Cowboys at #16 Baylor Bears Game Info

• When: Saturday, Oct. 2 at 3:30 pm ET 
• Where: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX 
• TV / Streaming: FOX / Fox Sports
• ATS Odds: Baylor -2 
• Moneyline Odds: Oklahoma State +106 / Baylor -130   
• Over/Under Odds: 56.5   

Why bet on Oklahoma State versus Baylor?

The Pokes average close to 52 points per game. That alone makes them a solid team to back at +2 versus rival Baylor. This season, though, Oklahoma State isn’t just good on offense. The Cowboys also have a great defense, one that holds opponents to less than 23 points each contest.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Averages

• Total Yards: 512.0

• Passing Yards: 348.0

• Rushing Yards: 164.0

• Points Scored: 51.7

• Turnovers: 1

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 376.7

• Passing Yards: 265.3

• Rushing Yards: 111.3

• Points Scored: 22.7

• Takeaways: 1

Why bet on Baylor versus Oklahoma State?

If not for an overtime loss in Provo against the BYU Cougars, Baylor would be undefeated. In NCAAF Week 4, Baylor marched into Iowa State and upset the Cyclones on the money line. Based on the road win versus Iowa State, it’s obvious the Bears are one of the most well-coached teams in the nation. Baylor takes on the Pokes in Waco, which gives Baylor another advantage. 

Baylor Bears Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 431.5

• Passing Yards: 224.3

• Rushing Yards: 207.3

• Points Scored: 40.5

• Turnovers: 2

Baylor Bears Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 305.3

• Passing Yards: 225.8

• Rushing Yards: 79.5

• Points Scored: 16.8

• Takeaways: 2

Baylor Bears vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Relevant Trends

• Cowboys are 9-1-1 in their last 11 conference games
• Oklahoma State is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games
• Under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last 6 games on grass
• Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home
• Baylor is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
• Under is 7-1 in Baylor’s last 8 games versus a team with a winning record

9-Oklahoma State Cowboys at 16-Baylor Bears Final Betting Prediction

Oklahoma State has played great football but the Pokes couldn’t beat Baylor in last season’s Big 12 Championship so it’s difficult to see Oklahoma State winning on Saturday.

Baylor is a few plays away from being ranked in the top 10, maybe, the top five. The Bears has played excellent football and had BYU on the ropes before losing in overtime. 

Blake Shapen remains one of the better quarterbacks in the conference. Shapen completes 69% of his passes and has thrown a single pick to 7 touchdowns. 

Also, Baylor coach Dave Aranda’s defense is rocking. The D shuts down the run and allows less than 17 points per game. Oklahoma State hasn’t come close to facing a team as talented as Baylor. Back the home team to win and cover. 

NCAAF Week 5 Pick: Baylor -2 

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