The Indianapolis Colts will be heading south to the warm and humid confines of South Beach to take on the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Both of the teams were among the favorites to earn a playoff spot before the season, but a playoff spot could be hard to get with the starts that both of them have had. With that being said, let’s take a look at both teams and how they arrive to this Colts vs Dolphins match so you can bet against their NFL odds.
NFL Betting Preview for Colts vs Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts Betting Analysis
The Indianapolis Colts were among the favorites to win an AFC Playoff spot. Unfortunately for them, they’ve started the season off 0-3. Last week, the Colts lost a huge divisional battle to the Tennessee Titans.
In the Colts’ defense, they’ve had a very tough schedule. They lost their opener to the Seahawks, followed by losses to the Rams and Titans. All three of these squads were in the playoffs last season.
Carson Wentz has been inconsistent to start the season. He’s been fighting injuries, and his play has suffered. Wentz has thrown for nearly 700 yards with three touchdowns.
He has only thrown one interception, but he has missed some throws that he needs to make. The rushing attack hasn’t lived up to its billing yet, either. Jonathan Taylor is averaging just under 60 yards per game.
Last season, the Colts had one of the top defenses in the league. This season, the defense hasn’t lived up to last season’s standards. They’re giving up just under 27 points per game. If the defense doesn’t start playing better, it will be tough for the Colts to make the playoffs again this season.
Miami Dolphins Betting Analysis
With their starting quarterback out of action, the Dolphins have stumbled out of the gate and have a 1-2 record heading into this week’s matchup. With Tua Tagovailoa out of action, backup Jacoby Brissett has taken the reins. Brissett led a late Dolphin comeback to send the game into overtime last week at Las Vegas.
The Dolphins’ defense was supposed to be one of the top defenses in the league, but they have yet to show that they are. Buffalo put up 35 points against them in Week 2, while the Raiders scored 31 last week.
Their secondary was thought to be one of the best units in the NFL, but they’ve given up nearly 270 yards per game in the air. Until the defense gets better, it’s going to be hard for Miami to win games.
Prediction
The Dolphins have the home-field advantage, and the oddsmakers are making them a two-point favorite in this one. When breaking down some gambling numbers, the figures seem to be in the Dolphins’ favor.
The Colts are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games. They’re 1-4 against the spread in their last five against fellow AFC teams. Miami is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games. They’re also 11-4 ATS in their last 15.
We don’t want to go against the numbers, so we’re riding with the Miami Dolphins. We also don’t trust Carson Wentz, so Miami it is!
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