Change will be in the air when the struggling Brisbane Broncos take on the Melbourne Storm in round 11. The Broncos will see some lineup changes after suffering a pitiful loss last week while Melbourne will look to extend its winning ways after recording their own emphatic win in round 10. With both teams going all-out for the win, let’s find out which team is offering the best betting value against their NRL odds in this affair.
NRL Storm Vs Broncos Round 11
Why Bet On The Broncos
Brisbane is sitting in 14th place in the 16-team NRL standings with a paltry six points. The Broncos have scored 134 points this season while allowing a whopping 291 points defensively (-157) which is the worst mark in the league heading into round 11. One week after dominating Canterbury in round 9, the Broncos were on the wrong end of an absolutely disgraceful 48-0 shutout loss against the Wests Tigers on Friday. The Broncos have gone 2-3 at home and 1-4 on the road. Brisbane gave up a whopping nine tries and six conversions in the loss while failing to get on the scoreboard after hitting the break down 26-0.
Now, heading into this matchup, Corey Oates is out with a leg injury while Cory Paix starts at hooker for the suspended Issac Luke. Joe Ofahengaue and Tevita Pangai Jr. are now starting on the second row with Tom Flegler starting at prop and Ben Te’o dropping to the bench. Tyson Gamble and Rhys Kennedy are the new faces on the interchange.
Why Bet On The Storm
Melbourne is sitting in third place in the NRL standings with 16 points. The Storm have scored 237 points this season while allowing 128 points defensively (+109). Melbourne has gone a near-perfect 4-1 at home and an identical 4-1 on the road this season.
The Storm are riding the wave of a four-game winning streak that includes a convincing 42-6 blowout win of the Gold Coast Titans on Friday. Nelson Asofa-Solomona, Josh Ado and Brenko Lee all scored a pair of tries to lead the way to victory while Cameron Munster added a solo try in the win. Cameron Smith went 6-for-7 on conversions and the Storm never looked back after hitting the break up 18-6. Now, heading into round 11, no changes are expected to the initial 17. Winger Suliasi Vunivalu has been included on an extended bench as he pushes to return from a hamstring strain.
General Match Info Melbourne Storm (8-0-2) vs. Brisbane Broncos (3-0-7)
- When: Friday, July 24, 2020 at 4;55 AM
- Where: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
- Storm Vs Broncos Live: Nine/Fox Sports
- Handicap: Storm -9.5
- Money Lines: Storm -714 / Broncos +370
Expert Analysis and Prediction
Not only have the Storm won seven straight in this rivalry, but they took the last meeting by the score of 40-4 when they met the last time a year ago in August. In addition to that, the Broncos have not defeated the Storm at Suncorp Stadium since 2009. Brisbane has been absolutely abysmal defensively this season while Melbourne is on a fantastic roll coming into this affair. The Storm have scored almost twice as many pints as the Broncos this season and they have a ton of motivation to get in done and potentially move into the top spot in the NRL standings this weekend. Simply put, I like Melbourne to win and cover the chalk as a 9.5-point favorite.
Pick: Storm 36 Broncos 16
Telstra Premiership 2020 Round 11 Matches
- Wests Tigers vs Eels – Thursday 23rd July, 05:50 AM | Bankwest Stadium, Sydney
- Sea Eagles vs Cowboys – Friday 24th July, 04:00 AM | Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville
- Roosters vs Warriors – Friday 24th July, 01:00 AM | Central Coast Stadium, Central Coast
- Dragons vs Sharks – Saturday 25th July, 03:30 AM | Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney
- Rabbitohs vs Raiders – Saturday 25th July, 05:35 AM | GIO Stadium, Canberra
- Bulldogs vs Knights – Saturday 25th July, 02:05 AM | McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
- Panthers vs Titans – Sunday 26th July, 04:30 AM | Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast