Rivals United States and Mexico took care of business on Thursday. The U.S. beat Qatar while Mexico sent Canada back north. On Sunday, the two best teams at the CONCACAF Gold Cup Tournament hit the pitch in the tourney’s final. Will USA make it two straight versus Mexico? Will the Mexicans exact revenge for their Nations League Finals loss to the Americans? Check out Gold Cup odds, analysis, and free picks for Mexico versus the United States.
2021 Gold Cup Final – Rivals Mexico and the United States Clash
CONCACAF Gold Cup Final
- When: Sunday, August 1
- Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Handicap Odds: Mexico -½ (+120) / USA +½ (-158)
- Moneyline Odds: Mexico +125 / USA +240 / Draw +200
- Total Odds: O 2 ½ +118 / U 2 ½ -163
Why bet on the United States versus Mexico
The United States has reverted from a score at all cost team to one that plays more like an old school European squad. The United States has yielded a single goal during the the entire Gold Cup. The goal happened versus Martinique in a 6-1 victory. Other than that goal, the U.S. has played lock down defense signaling they could frustrate Mexico in the final.
United States Last 5
- W – 0-1 vs. Qatar
- W – 1-0 vs. Jamaica
- W – 1-0 vs. Canada
- W – 1-6 vs. Martinique
- W – 1-0 vs. Haiti
United States Predicted Starting Lineup
Why bet on Mexico versus the United States
Since a draw versus Trinidad and Tobago in their first Gold Cup match, the Mexicans have rolled. Mexico has posted a couple of 3-0 victories during the tournament, over Guatemala and Honduras. The 2-1 win against Canada shows the Mexicans are ready for the United States. FIFA currently ranks Mexico eleventh, behind Denmark, Uruguay, and Argentina but ahead of Germany. The U.S., which ranks twentieth, will have to pick it up big time to get past Mexico.
Mexico Last 5
- W – 2-1 vs. Canada
- W – 3-0 vs. Honduras
- W – 1-0 vs. El Salvador
- W – 0-3 vs. Guatemala
- D – 0-0 vs. Trinidad and Tobago
Mexico Predicted Starting Lineup
- dos Santos
- Funes Mori
Gold Cup Final Betting Preview: Mexico vs USA
Mexico is the stronger squad. When the Mexicans are on their game, they’re one of the best soccer teams in the world. Not only that, but the United States is missing Weston McKennie, Christian Pulisic, and Giovanni Reyna, three players that stepped onto the pitch in the U.S.’s 3-2 victory over Mexico at the Nations League Final.
Without Pulisic, Reyna, and McKennie, it may be difficult for the United States to generate offense. Ah, but U.S. head coach Gregg Berhalter knows this, which is why he’s switched the Americans’ strategy from an aggressive attack to a more European style of possession and defense.
Mexico controlled possession 70% of the time versus Trinidad and Tobago. The match ended in a draw. The Mexicans took 16 shots against El Salvador but only got a single goal.
Versus Canada, Mexico controlled possession 60% of the time and took 14 shots but beat the Canadians by a single goal in a 2-1 match. Don’t get us wrong, Mexico is the better team.
But the U.S. offers overlay odds on the moneyline. There’s also a chance this ends in a draw because the United States won’t take any chances. Back the U.S. or the draw. At +240, we’re willing to give the Americans a nod over El Tri.
Soccer Pick: USA