Okay MyBookie soccer betting faithful, with the 2020 German Bundesliga season getting back underway this weekend after it was halted due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, it’s time to find out whether RB Leipzig will avoid the upset at home or whether SC Freiburg is the pick to pull off the big road upset. With both of these clubs looking to challenge for this season’s Bundesliga championship, let’s find out which team is offering the best betting value against their Bundesliga odds when these two rivals square off at Red Bull Arena in the round 26 on Saturday, May, 16 at 9:30 AM ET.
Bundesliga Betting Odds – Leipzig vs. Freiburg
Bundesliga Odds
- Money Lines: Leipzig -333 / Freiburg +780 / Draw: +430
- Spread: 3
Why Bet On RB Leipzig at -333
Leipzig is sitting in third place in the Bundesliga standings with 50 points to join Borussia Dortmund (51 points) and Bayern Munich (55 points) as the only teams in the league with at least 50 points. Leipzig has scored 62 goals this season while allowing just 26 to sit at +36 in goal differential.
Leipzig has gone a nearly perfect 4-2-0 over their last six matches prior to the suspension while also going a impressive 5-4-1 SU and 6-4 ATS over their last 10 matches overall. Leipzig smacked mighty Tottenham senseless in their last match before the break, taking out the Spurs 3-0 on march 10. Timo Werner has scored a team-high 21 goals for Leipzig this season while Nkunku has added 13 assists. Konate, Orban, Kampl, and Ampadu are injured while Upamecano is suspended because of yellow cards.
Why Bet On SC Freiburg at +780
Freiburg is sitting in eighth place in the Bundesliga standings with 36 points. Freiburg has tallied 34 goals this season while allowing 35 to sit at 1 in goal differential. SC Freiburg has gone an uninspiring 24-1 over its last seven matches, although they did manage to snap a two-game skid just before the suspension by beating Union Berlin 3-1 in their final match before the break. Overall, SC Freiburg has gone 3-2-5 SU and 6-3-1 ATS over its last 10 games. Petersen has scored a team-high eight goals for Freiburg this season while Waldschmidt has added 5 goals. Kubler, Abrashi, Kwon, Haberer, and Gunter are injured and will sit this match out.
Expert Analysis and Prediction
While SC Freiburg clearly isn’t awful as they sit just above the middle of the pack, they also aren’t in the same category of elite title contenders as RB Leipzig. Not only that, but Leipzig has gone a perfect 4-0 in home matches against Freiburg and I expect them to be completely focused in this affair as they look to get their post suspension play off on the right foot. Leipzig is the pick to take care of business at home in this affair, although I’m expecting Freiburg to put up a real fight.
Pick: Leipzig 3 Freiburg 1
RB Leipzig (14-8-3) vs. SC Freiburg (10-6-9)
- When: Saturday May 16, 2020 at 9:30 AM
- Where: Red Bull Arena
