Peru dominated Chile in one Copa America semifinal match while Brazil easily handled Argentina in the other semifinal. The two victors battle each other on Sunday, July 7 in Rio de Janeiro for the Copa America Championship. Keep reading for 2019 Copa America finals odds, analysis, and a free pick for Peru-Brazil!
Peru vs Brazil 2019 Copa America Finals Odds & Pick
- When: Sunday, July 7 at 4:00pm ET
- Where: Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: ESPN+
- Moneyline Odds: Peru +997, Brazil -357, Draw +376
Why Peru is a good bet at +997?
After losing 0-5 to Brazil on June 22, most felt the Peruvians might simply fold against Uruguay. Losing by such an awful score often kills a soccer team’s confidence, but Peru picked itself up against the Uruguayans.
Peru drew with Uruguay and then beat that rival 5-4 on penalty kicks. The Peruvians then entered the semifinals versus Chile an underdog. Peru didn’t just upset Chile. They dominated Chile 3-0. Although the match versus Brazil happened less than three weeks ago, Peru is a much different team now than they were then. Peru will be tough to beat on Sunday.
Form Last 5
- W – 3-0 vs Chile
- W – 0-0 vs Uruguay
- L – 0-5 vs Brazil
- W – 3-1 vs Bolivia
- D – 0-0 vs Venezuela
Expected Line-Up
- Gallese
- Abram
- Zambrano
- Trauco
- Advincula
- Cueva
- Yotun
- Tapia
- Guerrero
- Flores
- Carrillo
Why Brazil is a good bet at -357?
Copa America host team Brazil has been the best team during the tournament. Brazil hasn’t lost in the tournament. Their only average performances happened in 0-0 draws versus Venezuela and Paraguay. Brazil beat Paraguay on penalty kicks.
In the 2-0 domination of Argentina in the semifinal victory, Brazil showed why they’re one of the top teams in the world. What makes Brazil so great is their efficiency. Argentina outshot Brazil 14-4. Yet, Brazil had 3 shots on goal, 2 of which they scored, to Argentina’s 2 shots on goal. That efficiency should lead to a victory against Peru.
Form Last 5
- W – 2-0 vs Argentina
- W – 0-0 vs Paraguay
- W – 5-0 vs Peru
- D – 0-0 vs Venezuela
- W – 3-0 vs Bolivia
Expected Line-Up
- Ochoa
- Moreno
- Salcedo
- Gallardo
- Rodriguez
- Alvarez
- Guardado
- dos Santos
- Jimenez
- Pizarro
- Alvarado
2019 Copa America Finals Betting Trends for Peru vs Brazil
- Peru is 3-1-1 in their last 5 matches
- Peru has been outscored 6-3 in their last 5 matches
- Peru has been outscored 5-3 in their last 3 matches
- Brazil is 4-1-0 in their last 5 matches
- Brazil has outscored their last 5 opponents a combined 10-0
- Brazil has outscored their last 3 opponents a combined 7-0
2019 Copa America Finals Soccer Betting Analysis
No doubt, Peru is a much different team than the one that fell 0-5 to Brazil in group play. The Peruvians put it all together in the 3-0 victory over Chile on Wednesday. But although Peru is a much better team now than they were in the semifinal win against Chile, it’s difficult to see them beating Brazil straight up on July 7.
Brazil is good enough to win the World Cup. They should beat Peru in regulation. However, that’s not the best wager on this match. Brazil will be without Willian after he suffered an injury in the win over Argentina.
Willian is one of the keys to Brazil’s offense. The best wager is on Peru on the handicap. The Peruvians are at +1 ½ -119. That’s the play to make. Peru will keep this close. Back them on the handicap versus Brazil in the Copa America Finals.
2019 Copa America Finals Pick: Peru +1 ½ -119
