Top Serie A Games Expert Analysis for Matchday 18

Top Serie A Games Expert Analysis for Matchday 18

Written by on January 12, 2021

Serie A is back at it this weekend with great matches Friday through Sunday. The lone Friday match has Roma heading to Lazio. The weekend’s top match is Juventus versus Inter Milano. Check out analysis and free picks for the weekend’s top Italy Serie A games, along with their Serie A odds.

Top Serie A Games to Watch this Weekend (From Jan. 15th – 17th)

Friday, Jan. 15th Match

  • AS Roma +129 / Lazio +177

In their last couple, Lazio has stepped it up. They beat Fiorentina 2-1 and Parma 2-0. The road squad drew with Inter Milano in their last. Before that they were on fire, winning three in a row. AS Roma is the play. 

Soccer Free Pick: AS Roma 

Saturday, Jan. 16th Matches

  • Hellas Verona +194 / Bologna +141

It’s interesting how the odds favor the home team. Bologna is not in good form. They lost their last match 0-2 against Genoa. Before that, they had drawn in four straight. Hellas beat Crotone 2-1 in their last. At the odds, the road team deserves a look.

Soccer Free Pick: Hellas Verona

  • Spezia +276 / Torino -101

Spezia was in awful form up until January 6 when they beat Napoli 2-1. AC Milan beat Torino 2-0 in the home team’s last. Although Torino should be favored, the odds imply the underdogs have no shot. That’s just not true. Taking the better odds on the road squad makes sense. 

Soccer Free Pick: Spezia  

  • Udinese +170 / Sampdoria +158

Udinese has a couple of draws and three loses in their last five. Sampdoria has two wins and three loses in their last five. The favorite also beat the underdog 3-1 in the last head-to-head. Sampdoria gets the call.

Soccer Free Pick: Sampdoria 

Sunday, Jan. 17th Matches

  • Fiorentina +1 (-123) / Napoli -1 (-107)

These two haven’t played since January 18, 2020. Fiorentina upset Napoli 2-0 in that match. Napoli should win, but Fiorentina shouldn’t lose by a goal. The odds don’t justify a bet either way and we can’t back either on the moneyline. That leaves the draw as the play to make.

Soccer Free Pick: Draw 

  • Parma +1 (-149) / Sassuolo -1 (-112)

On January 10, Juventus put a 3-0 beating onto Sassuolo. That provides no confidence that Sassuolo can beat Parma by more than a goal. But Parma is in horrible form. The road team hasn’t lost by less than 2 goals in their last three. Parma dropped those three games by a combined 8-0. We’re laying the goal. 

Soccer Free Pick: Sassuolo  

  • Benevento +134 / Crotone +181

Cortone has lost three in a row and four out of five. Benevento heads into this match off a 1-4 pasting at the hands of Atalanta. The road team can bounce back here at decent odds but they’re hard to back because Crotone beat their rivals 3-0 in the last head-to-head. Go with the home team offering the better odds.

Soccer Free Pick: Crotone 

  • Genoa +1 ½ (+108) / Atalanta -1 ½ (-142)

Atalanta is on fire. They’ve won four-of-five and three in a row. Genoa heads into this off a 2-0 victory against Bologna, though. These two drew 2-2 last February. Eventually, Atalanta will cool off. Taking the goal and a half makes sense. 

Soccer Free Pick: Genoa

  • Juventus +175 / Inter Milano +136

Inter Milano faces Juventus at a bad time. Juvy has won four straight. On January 6, Sampdoria upset Inter 2-1. Then on January 10, Inter drew 2-2 in a game with AS Roma. This could end in a draw as well. More than likely, though, Juventus wins in regulation at overlay odds. 

Soccer Free Pick: Juventus


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