Stanford vs Oregon NCAA Football Week 4 Odds & Preview

Stanford vs Oregon NCAA Football Week 4 Odds & Preview

Written by on September 21, 2018

#19 Oregon hosts #7 Stanford in one of college football’s top rivalries this Saturday. Both Oregon and Stanford battle as undefeated teams. As slight road favorites, can the Stanford Cardinal beat their rivals on Sep. 22? Check out the NCAA Football odds, analysis, and a free against the spread pick for Stanford at Oregon!

Stanford vs Oregon NCAA Football Week 4 Odds & Preview

When: Saturday, Sep. 22 at 8:00 pm ETWhere: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, ORTV: ABCRadio: TuneInLive Stream: WatchESPNATS Odds: Stanford -2 (-110)Over/Under Total Odds: 56 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 17°C/62°F
  • Humidity: 66%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Wind: 7 mph WNW
  • Cloud Cover: 69%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why #7 Stanford is a good bet at -2?

Stanford’s proven it can beat a couple of quality teams already this season. The Cardinal dominated San Diego State, recent winners over Pac 12 team ASU, 31-10 as a -14 favorite in Week 1. In Week 2, Stanford beat USC 17-3 as a -4.5 favorite.Stanford’s dominated because the Cardinal defense ranks first in college football in points allowed per game. The Cardinal allows 7.7 points per. Not only that, but they should get Heisman Trophy candidate running back Bryce Love back this week. Love and a great defense should be enough for Stanford to beat the Oregon Ducks.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 26
  • Total Yards: 358.3
  • Pass Yards: 276
  • Rush Yards: 311.7
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 7.7
  • Total Yards: 301
  • Pass Yards: 196.3
  • Rush Yards: 104.7

Why #19 Oregon is a good bet at +2?

Is Oregon a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 4?Although Stanford’s defense has dominated this season, it hasn’t faced an offense as talented as Oregon’s. The Ducks demolish opponents by rushing for 214 yards per and passing for 289 yards per. Oregon averages 51.7 points per game, ranking them 8th in college football.On defense, the Ducks put an emphasis on stopping the run. Opponents only average 83 rushing yards. If Oregon can get ahead of Stanford, they’ll coast to a win because Stanford must throw to keep up.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 51.7
  • Total Yards: 503
  • Pass Yards: 289
  • Rush Yards: 214
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 20
  • Total Yards: 309.3
  • Pass Yards: 226
  • Rush Yards: 83.3

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Stanford at Oregon

  • Stanford is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Stanford is 11-3 SU in the last 14 games
  • The total went UNDER in 9 of Stanford’s last 13 games
  • Oregon is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Oregon is 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went OVER in 17 of Oregon’s last 23 games at home

Stanford at Oregon Final Betting Analysis

Often, the home team wins in this exceptional rivalry. It’s tough for me to back the home team in this case because their quarterback, Ducks’ QB Justin Herbert, doesn’t complete a high percentage of his passes. Overall, Herbert completes 56.8% of his passes. His performance against Portland State, over 76%, bumped up the overall completion percentage. Versus Bowling Green, Herbert only completed 47.6%. Against San Jose State, he only completed 47.1%.Herbert must complete close to 70% against Stanford’s defense if the Ducks hope to win this game because the Cardinal figure to shut down Oregon’s rushing attack with 8 men in the box. Once that happens, and the pressure shifts from Oregon’s rushing attack to Herbert, the complexion of the game will change.Stanford should roll to an easy 7 to 10 to possibly even 14 points win.NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: Stanford -2
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