Suns vs. Bucks Game 6

Suns vs. Bucks Game 6 | Predictions Milwaukee Poised for NBA Title

Either the Milwaukee Bucks win their first NBA title since 1971 on Tuesday night in Game 6 of the NBA Finals, or the visiting Phoenix Suns pull the upset to force a Game 7 back in the desert. NBA oddsmakers expect the Bucks to finish things off.

How to Bet Suns at Bucks NBA Odds & TV Info
  • When: Tuesday, 9 PM ET
  • Where: Fiserv Forum
  • TV: ABC
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio:com
  • NBA Odds: Bucks -5 (total 222)
Why Bet on Phoenix?

The Suns appeared in control of Saturday’s Game 5 vs. the Bucks with a 37-21 lead after one quarter, but then things largely fell apart as Phoenix was upset 123-119, its third straight loss in the series. The Suns became the first team in NBA history to lose a playoff game shooting at least 55% from the field and 60% from three.

Every starter for the Suns shot better than 50% from both the field and three-point line, but Milwaukee stayed equally on target making 57% of their shots, including 50% of their three-point attempts.

Devin Booker played well, although he had the ball stolen in the final seconds with a chance to give the Suns the lead. Bookier had 40 points with four boards, three assists and two steals in 42 minutes. Booker became the first Suns player ever with 40 points in consecutive playoff games and is averaging 41.0 points per game on 55.7% shooting in these last two games. Aside from an underwhelming Game 3 performance, Booker has been electric on the offensive end throughout the series.

Booker is the first player in Finals history to lose back-to-back games despite scoring 40+ points in both games. He has joined Rick Barry (11 in 1967) as the only players to have 10+ 30-point games in their first career postseason in NBA history.

Chris Paul had 21 points and 11 assists in the loss; Paul bounced back from a quiet 10-point effort in Game 4 with his first double-double of the series. The veteran point guard has played well overall during his first trip to the Finals, posting per-game averages of 21.0 points and 8.8 assists while shooting 54.3 percent from the field (including 52.4 percent from deep). Paul is on the verge of becoming the first player to lose four best-of-7 series in which his team led 2-0. The only other player with three best-of-7 series losses in which his team led 2-0 is former teammate Blake Griffin.

Deandre Ayton had 20 points and 10 rebounds in 45 minutes on Saturday. The center has excelled on the boards in the Finals, averaging 13.2 rebounds per game. He bounced back from a six-point scoring effort in Game 4 with 20 points Saturday, his second-highest scoring total of the series. Ayton is shooting 57.7 percent from the field through the first five games and averaging 15.2 points.

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

Teams that lead 3-2 in the NBA Finals go on to win 80.9% of the time. The Bucks are the first team to go down 0-2 and win the next 3 games in an NBA Finals since the Miami Heat in 2006.

The Bucks trailed by 16 points at the end of the 1st quarter of Game 5 and won. It was the 2nd-largest comeback at the end of the 1st quarter in Finals history. On June 12, 2008, the Celtics trailed by 21 points at the end of the 1st quarter and won vs the Lakers.

Giannis Antetokounmpo had 32 points, nine rebounds and six assists in Game 5. The play that will be replayed most often is Antetokounmpo’s dunk off a steal and lob pass by Jrue Holiday, giving Milwaukee a three-point lead with 13.5 seconds left in the game.

Antetokounmpo was the 5th player in NBA Finals history with 30+ pts, 5+ assists and 5+ rebounds & no turnovers since individual turnovers were tracked in 1977-78 joining LeBron James (2020), Kevin Durant (2017), Dennis Johnson (1987) & Larry Bird (1987). The Freak is going to win Finals MVP as he’s averaging 32.2 points, 13.0 rebounds, 5.6 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks while shooting 61.2 percent from the field in this series.

Holiday was phenomenal in Saturday’s win, going for 27 points (12-of-20 FG), four rebounds, 13 assists and three steals.  Holiday struggled through the first four games of the series, putting up 15.3 points per contest but hitting only one-third of his field-goal attempts. His biggest moment came with the Suns threatening to take the lead in the waning seconds of the contest, when Holiday stole the ball from Devin Booker and lobbed the ball to Antetokounmpo for a game-changing dunk.

Khris Middleton had 29 points, seven rebounds and five assists. Middleton finished second on the team behind Giannis Antetokounmpo in both points and boards, and he hit over half his shots for the first time in the Finals. Middleton has scored at least 29 points in three of the series’ first five games.

Antetokounmpo, Holiday and Middleton are the 5th trio in NBA Finals history to each record 25 points on 50% shooting in a game. They are the first to do this since James Worthy, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Magic Johnson in 1985.

Milwaukee is plus-28 in rebounds overall and plus-32 in offensive rebounds in this series. That has contributed to the Bucks having 31 more field-goal attempts through five games than Phoenix. Total field goals? Milwaukee 214, Phoenix 212.

Game Trends
  • Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
  • Suns are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss.
  • Suns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Tuesday games.
  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Expert Prediction
  • Bucks 112, Suns 110

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