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TCU at Texas 2018 NCAA Football Week 4 Spread & Pick

TCU at Texas 2018 NCAA Football Week 4 Spread & Pick

Written by on September 20, 2018

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Texas hopes to keep their winning streak alive as a +3 dog versus rival #17 TCU at home on Saturday, Sep. 8. Can the Longhorns return to the Top 25 with a huge win over their ranked rivals? Or, Will TCU add a loss to Texas’ record?

TCU at Texas 2018 NCAA Football Week 4 Spread & Pick

When: Saturday, Sep. 8 at 4:30 pm ET Where: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX TV: FOX Radio: TuneIn Live Stream: FoxSportsGo ATS Odds: TCU -3 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 47.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Thunderstorm: 28°C/82°F
  • Humidity: 71%
  • Precipitation: 70%
  • Wind: 6 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 75%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why TCU is a good bet at -3?

For a half, the Texas Christian Horned Frogs looked like they might upset the Ohio State Buckeyes. Ohio State, the #4 team in the nation, rallied in the second half to beat TCU 40-28, but in the first half TCU was up 14-13. TCU’s defense frustrated Ohio State’s offense in that first half. If the Horned Frogs can frustrate the Buckeyes’ offense, even if it was for only a half, it could shut down Texas’ offense. Team Statistics Offense:
  • Average Score For: 41.7
  • Total Yards: 467.7
  • Pass Yards: 239.3
  • Rush Yards: 228.3
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19.7
  • Total Yards: 317.7
  • Pass Yards: 185.3
  • Rush Yards: 132.3

Why Texas is a good bet at +3?

Are the Longhorns a safe bet in NCAA Football Week 4? Maryland shocked Texas 34-29 in Week 1, but the Longhorns bounced back after the loss to beat Tulsa 28-21 in Week 2. In Week 3, Texas provided one of the more impressive wins of the season so far. The Longhorns dominated then ranked USC 37-14 as a -3 favorite. Texas had battled USC to overtime last season before the Trojans beat the Longhorns. This season, Texas jumped all over USC in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Trojans 21-0. If Texas’ defense can play that well versus USC’s offense, who’s to say it doesn’t play that well versus TCU’s offense? Team Statistics Offense:
  • Average Score For: 31.3
  • Total Yards: 425.7
  • Pass Yards: 244.7
  • Rush Yards: 181
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 23
  • Total Yards: 359
  • Pass Yards: 250
  • Rush Yards: 109

NCAA Football Betting Trends for #17 TCU at Texas

  • TCU is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • TCU is 13-4 SU in the last 17 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian’s last 5 games on the road
  • Texas is 10-5 ATS in the last 15 games
  • Texas is 5-2 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went UNDER in 18 of Texas’s last 23 games

TCU at Texas NCCAF Betting Analysis:

One other trend that might affect this game? TCU is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Texas. Also, TCU is 4-0 against the spread in the last 4 meetings. Texas looked great versus USC, but last season the Longhorns often followed up great performances with bad performances the very next week. Beating USC is nice, beating TCU is more important. If Texas comes out flat, which is a great possibility, TCU could dominate. Trends point to a TCU win against the spread. I believe the Horned Frogs beat Texas straight up in an under game. If you’re playing a parlay, go TCU SU/Under. If not, lay the points.

NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: TCU -3  

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