On Saturday night, Danny Garcia returns to the ring to face tough Jose Benavidez Jr. in what should be an excellent bout. Garcia hasn’t fought since 2020 when he lost a unanimous decision to Errol Spence Jr. Will the favored Garcia get it done? Or will Benavidez Jr. take it to Danny in his first fight back? Check out Boxing Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Danny Garcia versus Jose Benavidez Jr. and four other terrific bouts happening on Saturday.
Garcia Takes on Benavidez Jr. in Saturday’s Top Bout | Boxing Lines
Boxing Events
- When: Saturday, July 30
Chris Billam-Smith -250 vs Isaac Chamberlain +200
The chalk is 15-1 with 11 knockout or technical knockout wins. The loss happened back in 2019 when Richard Riakporhe beat Billam-Smith via split decision. Since then, Billam-Smith has won 6 straight.
Isaac Chamberlain is 14-1 with 8 TKO or KO wins. The underdog in this last lost in 2018 via unanimous decision to Lawrence Okolie. Chamberlain’s winning streak is at 5.
Billam-Smith appears to have more power. But Chamberlain has fought well. The odds don’t justify a bet on the chalk. The dog gets the nod.
Boxing Pick: Isaac Chamberlain
Josh Kelly -1600 vs Lucas Brian Ariel Bastida +700
Underdog Bastida has an excellent record. The +700 choice is 18-1-1. The loss happened back in 2018. Since then, Bastida has rolled through his opponents.
But although Bastida has a good record, the lone knock against the underdog can prove to be a big one. Bastida has fought almost exclusively in his native Argentina. Josh Kelly is 11-1-1, has 7 knockout or technical knockout wins, and has fought much tougher opponents.
Kelly has the edge for sure. Bastida shouldn’t have much chance in this. A knockout prop on Kelly to end the underdog’s night early might be the best play.
Boxing Pick: Josh Kelly
Gary Antuanne Russell -1400 vs Rances Barthelemy +650
37-year-old Rances Barthelemy has a single loss on his sterling record. Barthelemy fell to Kiryl Relikh back in 2018. Since then, Rances has won 3 with a split decision draw versus Robert Easter Jr.
On Saturday night, Barthelemy fights a boxer who could send him into retirement. Gary Antuanne Russell is 15-0 with 15 TKO or KO wins. Russell has a significant youth edge over Barthelemy. Although Rances is a great fighter, he won’t win. The younger boxer gets the nod.
Boxing Pick: Gary Antuanne Russell
Adam Kownacki +140 vs Ali Eren Demirezen -185
Kownacki has a nice record, 20-2 with 15 technical knockout or knockout wins. But the underdog in this heads into the ring off 2 straight losses.
Both losses happened against rival Robert Helenius. There’s a chance Kownacki bounces back with a great performance. The likelier scenario plays out with Demirezen, who is 16-1 with 12 knockout wins, adding a third loss to Kownacki’s record.
Boxing Pick: Ali Eren Demirezen
Jose Benavidez Jr. +515 vs Danny Garcia -735
Danny Garcia remains an excellent boxer. But the 2-year absence could have a drastic affect on his performance in this. Garcia last lost to Errol Spence.
The fight wasn’t close. The bout versus Ivan Redkach earlier in 2020 was a good performance. But two fights in the past couple of years means Garcia may not show up with his best.
Jose Benavidez Jr. is 27-1-1. Benavidez Jr. had taken 3 years off after falling to Terence Crawford via twelfth-round TKO in 2018. But Benavidez Jr. has a return fight under his belt.
Last November, the underdog in this beat Francisco Emanuel Torres via majority decision. Torres is a decent boxer. Benavidez Jr. should be sharper.
It’s difficult to know how Garcia fights on Saturday night and the odds on Benavidez Jr. makes him an overlay. Back the dog at the excellent odds.
Boxing Pick: Jose Benavidez Jr.
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