Jiri Prochazka takes on burgeoning superstar Alex Pereira in the main event at this weekend’s UFC 295. Prochazka versus Pereira is for the light heavyweight strap.
Based on the early UFC odds, the bout should be ultra-competitive. Before Prochazka and Pereira throw down, Sergei Pavlovich battles Tom Aspinall in what many expect to be an amazing co-main event.
Check out the UFC lines for the bouts, plus betting analysis, and free picks for the preliminary and main card at Saturday’s UFC 295.
UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira Betting Analysis for the Main Card and Prelim Bouts | MyBookie UFC Betting Online Preview
UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira | Ultimate Fighting Championship 295
Saturday, November 11th at 10:00 pm ET | PPV,ESPN+
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
UFC 295 Prelims | Betting Preview
Nadim Sadykhov vs Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC Odds: Nadim Sadykhov -125; Viacheslav Borshchev +105
Lightweight Bout
Sadykhov records: 9-1-0 | 6 KOs / Borshchev records: 7-3-0 | 6 KOs
Sadykhov versus Borshchev is another ultra-competitive bout on the UFC 295 card. Sadykhov has a single loss.
Borshchev bounced back from two straight losses in his last by knocking out Maheshate in the second round. Expect an all out brawl between two fighters with excellent TKO and KO records. The pick is Borshchev, who has entered the Octagon versus the tougher opponents.
UFC 295 Pick: Viacheslav Borshchev | Bet Nadim Sadykhov vs Viacheslav Borshchev Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Prelims
Mateusz Rebecki vs Roosevelt Roberts
UFC Odds: Mateusz Rebecki -800; Roosevelt Roberts +500
Lightweight Bout
Rebecki records: 18-1-0 | 9 KOs /Roberts records: 12-4-0 | 4 KOs
It’s easy to see why Mateusz Rebecki is the favorite. Although he’s much shorter and has a much shorter reach than underdog Roosevelt Roberts, Rebecki is 18-1.
He’s also 9-1 via TKO/KO and 6-0 via submission victories. Roberts is talented but shouldn’t last more than 2 rounds.
UFC 295 Pick: Mateusz Rebecki | Bet Mateusz Rebecki vs Roosevelt Roberts Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Prelims
Tabatha Ricci vs Loopy Godinez
UFC Odds: Tabatha Ricci +150; Loopy Godinez -180
Women’s Strawweight Bout
Ricci records: 9-1-0 | 1 KOs / Godinez `records: 11-2-0 | 1 KOs
Favorite Loopy Godinez has won 4-of-5 and is on a 3-match winning streak. As well as Godinez has fought, though, she doesn’t often win by either submission or knockout.
Most of Godinez’s bouts end up with her arms raised via a decision victory. Tabatha Ricci has won 4 straight. She’s 3-0 via submission wins. Give the underdog a chance to bite.
UFC 295 Pick: Tabatha Ricci | Bet Tabatha Ricci vs Loopy Godinez Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Prelims
Steve Erceg vs Alessandro Costa
UFC Odds: Steve Erceg -200; Alessandro Costa +170
Flyweight Bout
Erceg records: 10-1-0 | 1 KOs / Costa records: 13-3-0 | 4 KOs
10-1 favorite Steve Erceg is 4 inches taller than underdog Alessandro Costa. The height advantage makes Erceg difficult to go against.
But Costa has won 4-of-5, won his last, and is 6-0 via submission wins. The diminutive Costa scores another victory.
UFC 295 Pick: Alessandro Costa | Bet Steve Erceg vs Alessandro Costa Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Prelims
UFC 295 Main Card | Betting Preview
Diego Lopes vs Pat Sabatini
UFC Odds: Diego Lopes +105; Pat Sabatini -115
Featherweight Bout
Lopes records: 22-6-0 | 8 KOs / Sabatini records: 18-4-0 | 2 KOs
There’s only a 10-point difference in fight odds between Diego Lopes and Pat Sabatini. Underdog Lopes has a 3 inches height advantage and is 8-2 via TKO/KO and 12-0 via submissions.
Sabatini has won 4-of-5 and is 11-0 via submission wins. The slight chalk should fight well. But the +105 dog is taller and has a longer reach. If the fight goes to the ground, Sabatini’s edge isn’t as strong as it would be versus a primarily stand up fighter.
UFC 295 Pick: Diego Lopes | Bet Diego Lopes vs Pat Sabatini Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Main Bout
Matt Frevola vs Benoit Saint Denis
UFC Odds: Matt Frevola +190; Benoit Saint Denis -235
Lightweight Bout
Frevola records: 11-3-1 | 4 KOs / Saint Denis records: 12-1-1 | 3 KOs
Frevola heads into this with a couple of physical disadvantages. But Frevola has won his last 3 via knockout over Genaro Valdez, Ottman Azaitar, and Drew Dober.
Still, although Frevola is on a 3-match winning streak, Benoit Sant Denis is the best fighter he’s faced in a while. Saint Denis is 12-1. The favorite is 3-0 via knockout wins and 9-0 via submissions. Benoit gets it done.
UFC 295 Pick: Benoit Saint Denis | Bet Matt Frevola vs Benoit Saint Denis Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Main Bout
Jessica Andrade vs McKenzie Dern
UFC Odds: Jessica Andrade +175; McKenzie Dern -210
Women’s Strawweight Bout
Andrade records: 24-12-0 | 9 KOs / Dern records: 13-3-0
At one time, Andrade owned the women’s strawweight division. But in her last few fights, Jessica has shown she’s not close to being dominant.
Andrade takes on McKenzie Dern on a 3-match losing streak. Erin Blanchfield and Tatiana Suarez submitted Andrade. Yan Xiaonan knocked out Jessica.
Dern has lost 2-of-5. Both losses came via decision. McKenzie has a height advantage that should help her secure the victory.
UFC 295 Pick: McKenzie Dern | Bet Jessica Andrade vs McKenzie Dern Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Main Bout
Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall
UFC Odds: Sergei Pavlovich +100; Tom Aspinall -120
Heavyweight Bout
Pavlovich records: 18-1-0 | 15 KOs / Aspinall records: 13-3-0 | 10 KOs
Pavlovich versus Aspinall is a battle between two quality mixed martial artists where the taller fighter has the sorter reach. Aspinall is 2 inches taller than Pavlovich.
The slight underdog has a 6 inches reach advantage. The taller fighter usually has the edge even if they have a shorter reach. But in this case, Pavlovich gets the nod.
Sergei is 18-1 and heads into this after knocking out the 6’ 4” Curtis Blaydes. Beating Blaydes is never easy. Beating Blaydes via knockout is impressive. Overall, Pavlovich is 15-1 via technical or straight up knockout. The underdog gets the win.
UFC 295 Pick: Sergei Pavlovich | Bet Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Main Bout
Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira
UFC Odds: Jiri Prochazka +100; Alex Pereira -120
UFC Light Heavyweight Title
Prochazka records: 29-3-1 | 25 KOs / Pereira records: 8-2 | 6 KOs
Prochazka has an exceptional record. The +100 choice is 29-3-1. He’s 25-2 via knockouts and technical knockouts and 3-1 via submissions.
Pereira is 8-2. Alex has won 6 of his bouts via knockout or technical out. 1 of his losses, the defeat to Israel Adesanya in the rematch, came via KO.
For sure, Pereira can win this. But Prochazka has more experience and has a more expansive skill set. Also, Jiri is out to prove something. Give Prochazka the nod.
UFC 295 Pick: Jiri Prochazka | Bet Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Main Bout
UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira Fight Card Schedule | MMA
Main Card (ESPN+) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Weight class | |||
Light Heavyweight | Jiří Procházka | vs. | Alex Pereira |
Heavyweight | Sergei Pavlovich | vs. | Tom Aspinall |
Women’s Strawweight | Mackenzie Dern | vs. | Jéssica Andrade |
Lightweight | Matt Frevola | vs. | Benoît Saint-Denis |
Featherweight | Diego Lopes | vs. | Pat Sabatini |
Preliminary card (ESPNews / ESPN+) | |||
Flyweight | Steve Erceg | vs. | Alessandro Costa |
Women’s Strawweight | Tabatha Ricci | vs. | Loopy Godinez |
Lightweight | Mateusz Rębecki | vs. | Roosevelt Roberts |
Lightweight | Nazim Sadykhov | vs. | Viacheslav Borshchev |
Early preliminary card (ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass) | |||
Lightweight | Jared Gordon | vs. | Mark Madsen |
Bantamweight | John Castañeda | vs. | Kang Kyung-ho |
Flyweight | Joshua Van | vs. | Kevin Borjas |
Featherweight | Dennis Buzukja | vs. | Jamall Emmers |
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