Rafael Dos Anjos battles Leon Edwards in the main event at UFC Fight Night in San Antonio this Saturday on July 20. Also on the card is a great matchup between Juan Adams and former football player Greg Hardy. James Vick takes on Dan Hooker while Alexei Oleinik battles Walt Harris in the co-main event. Check out UFC on ESPN 4 odds, analysis, and free picks for the 6 main card bouts!
UFC on ESPN 4 Odds, Dos Anjos vs Edwards Betting & Preview
- When: Saturday, June 20
- Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX at 6:00pm PDT
- TV: ESPN
- Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Andrei Arlovski vs Ben Rothwell
- UFC Odds: Andrei Arlovski +155 / Ben Rothwell -190
Two MMA veterans duke it out when Arlovski takes on Rothwell. Arlovski, 27-17-0, is a straight brawler these days. He’ll try to knock out Rothwell before Rothwell knocks him out. Who has the heavier hands and stronger feet? Rothwell because 75% of his 36 wins have come via KO or TKO.
UFC on ESPN 4 Betting Pick: Ben Rothwell
Francisco Trinaldo vs Alexander Hernandez
Hernandez, 10-2, is ranked thirteenth. He’s got a 2-inch reach advantage over Trinaldo. Although Trinaldo has grappling skills, he tends to not use them all that much. Trinaldo only averages 1.17 takedowns every 15 minutes.
Hernandez averages 2.46 takedowns every 15 minutes. When the fights off the mat, Alexander will use the 2-inch reach. Francisco doesn’t have much of an advantage if the fight goes to the mat, making Alexander Hernandez the pick.
UFC on ESPN 4 Betting Pick: Alexander Hernandez
James Vick vs Dan Hooker
- UFC Odds: James Vick -105 / Dan Hooker -125
James Vick, 13-3, battles Dan Hooker, 18-8, in what should be one of the more competitive fights on the UFC San Antonio main card. Vick has a 3-inch height advantage, but that only translates to a 1-inch reach advantage.
The key in this fight could be aggressiveness. Hooker appears to be the more aggressive fighter. 9-of-18 Hooker victories have come via KO/TKO. Only 23% of James Vick’s 13 wins have come via KO/TKO. Vick will try to extend the bout while Hooker will look to end it early. In MMA, it’s often best to back the guy looking for the knockout.
UFC on ESPN 4 Betting Pick: Dan Hooker
Juan Adams vs Greg Hardy
- UFC Odds: Juan Adams -115 / Greg Hardy -115
The oddsmakers aren’t attempting to guess where UFC handicappers end up in the Adams-Hardy bout. Both offer -115 odds. Juan Adams is 5-0. Greg Hardy is 3-1. Both men are 6’5”. Adams has a 1-inch reach advantage. He also has a 1-inch leg reach advantage.
Both men have only won via knockout or technical knockout. Adams does appear to have a significant advantage in terms of experience, though. He averages 7.84 significant strikes per minute. He also averages 2.74 takedowns every 15 minutes. Hardy averages 0 takedowns every 15 minutes and only 3.88 significant strikes per minute. Adams is the play.
UFC on ESPN 4 Betting Pick: Juan Adams
Alexei Oleinik vs Walt Harris
- UFC Odds: Alexei Oleinik +120 / Walt Harris -150
Oleinik is no stranger to the Octagon. He’s got a 57-11-1 record. Harris also has a lot of experience. Walt’s record is 11-7. There’s no doubt Oleinik will try and get this fight to the mat where he can use his superior wrestling and grappling skills.
Harris will want to keep this bout in the stand up. Harris is favored, but Oleinik has an excellent chin. He’s also got the experience. Although Alistair Overeem knocked him out in April, he submitted Mark Hunt last September. Oleinik could get back on the winning track here. If he can stay away from Harris’ power, he could force Walt to submit.
UFC on ESPN 4 Betting Pick: Alexei Oleinik
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Leon Edwards
28-11 Rafael Dos Anjos battles 17-3 Leon Edwards in the UFC Fight Night San Antonio Main Event. Dos Anjos is a Brazilian Jiujitsu master. Only 17% of his wins have come via KO/TKO while 34% of his victories have come via submission.
Dos Anjos will try to get this fight to ground. However, it should be very difficult for Rafael to do that. Edwards is 6’2”. Dos Anjos is 5’ 8”. Edwards has a 74” reach and 43” leg reach. Dos Anjos has a 70” reach and 38” leg reach. If the fight goes to the ground, it will be because Leon wants the fight to go the ground. Edwards gets the nod.
UFC on ESPN 4 Betting Pick: Leon Edwards