UFC heads to Wichita, Kansas this Saturday, March 9 for UFC Fight Night 146. In the main event, Derrick Lewis battles former heavyweight champion Junior Dos Santos. Will Dos Santos take down Lewis, or will Derrick show he’s an up and comer in the Big Dude Division? Check out analysis, UFC odds, and a free pick for Lewis vs Dos Santos along with 6 other great UFC Fight Night 146 matchups.
UFC Fight Night 146 Odds, Predictions & Picks
- When: Saturday, March 9 at 5:00 pm ET
- Where: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS
- TV: ESPN+5
- Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Grant Dawson vs Julian Erosa
- UFC Fight Night Odds: Dawson -180 / Eorsa +140
22-7 Julian Erosa has 10 wins by knockout, 9 by submission, and 3 by decision. That means he’s got a decent all-around game. That all-around game could challenge Dawson Saturday night.
However, Dawson is 12-9 with an awesome ground game. Erosa won’t be able to fight standing up all night. Dawson takes this.
UFC Fight Night 146 Pick: Grant Dawson
Tim Boetsch vs Omari Akhmedov
- UFC Odds: Boetsch +105 / Akhmedoc -135
Boestsch versus Akhmedov should be one of the most competitive matchups on the UFC Fight Night 147 card. Boetsch is 21-12 while Ahkmedov is 17-4-1. Boetsch has an inch reach advantage and 1.5 inch leg reach advantage.
Tim should use those to pile up points. Omari’s best shot’s to get the fight to the mat. That might work. It might not. Boetsch looks like the solid play as the slight dog.
UFC Fight Night 146 Pick: Tim Boetsch
Drew Dober vs Beneil Dariush
- UFC Odds: Dober +158 / Dariush -200
Dariush is a big favorite over Drew Dober in this interesting matchup on March 9. Dober’s a tough fighter. 40% of his wins have come via KO or TKO. Unfortunately for Drew, Beneil has too many advantages.
Dariush has 2 inches in reach on Dober. He’s got a massive 4.5 inches leg reach advantage. Beneil will use the reach advantages to get this to the ground. Then, he’ll work his superior ground game to force Dober to tap out.
UFC Fight Night 146 Pick: Beneil Dariush<?p>
Ben Rothwell vs Blagoy Ivanov
- UFC Odds: Rothwell -103 / Ivanov -127
In another competitive matchup at UFC Fight Night 147, 6’ 4” Ben Rothwell takes on 5’ 11” Blagoy Ivanov. Rothwell has a height advantage and a major reach advantage. But, Ivanov’s got the much better ground game and better record, 17-2 compared to Rothwell’s 36-10.
It’s difficult to see Ben not using his height and reach to keep Ivanov at bay, though. Rothwell wins via knockout.
UFC Fight Night 146 Pick: Ben Rothwell
Niko Price vs Tim Means
- UFC Odds: Price +170 / Means -220
Price doesn’t land as many significant strikes as Tim Means, but he’s better at taking down his opponent. He’s also got the much better take down defense.
Means is much more accurate with his strikes, which means whomever forces their style first wins. Price might do that. If Niko can get the fight to the ground, he’ll have a significant advantage. Price is worth a look at the odds.
UFC Fight Night 146 Pick: Niko Price
Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos vs Curtis Milender
- UFC Odds: Dos Santos -103 / Milender -127
Milender’s slightly favored over Zaleski Dos Santos even though Dos Santos is ranked while Milender isn’t. It shows that rankings don’t mean all that much at UFC, which is okay. This isn’t boxing.
Milender has a few major advantages: he’s taller, has a much longer reach, and has better takedown accuracy and takedown defense. If Dos Santos gets under Milender’s punches in the stand up and lands his own big punches, he’ll win. That most likely won’t happen.
UFC Fight Night 147 Pick: Curtis Milender
Derrick Lewis vs Junior Dos Santos
- UFC Odds: Lewis +165 / Dos Santos -210
No way Lewis tries to take Junior to the mat in the main event at UFC Fight Night 147. Derrick’s going all out from the opening bell and will try to end it early.
Champ Daniel Cormier submitted Lewis in his last fight. He’s got a shot to bounce back with a huge win on Saturday.
Dos Santos has looked great in a two straight wins. However, Lewis could get to Junior early the way Stipe Miocic did in the first round of their heavyweight fight back in 2017. Lewis is worth backing.
UFC Fight Night 146 Pick: Derrick Lewis