In Saturday’s UFC Fight Night main event, Jessica Andrade takes on Erin Blanchfield in what should be an ultra-competitive bout. Andrade is a -140 favorite, which tells us that oddsmakers believe Blanchfield has a real chance. Check out UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the main card at Saturday’s UFC Fight Night.
UFC Fight Night Andrade vs. Blanchfield – Main Card Picks
• When: Saturday, Feb. 18 at 7:00 pm ET
• Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
• TV / Streaming: ESPN+
Jim Miller +200 vs. Alexander Hernandez -250
Underdog Jim Miller is on a 3-match winning streak. In his last, Miller bested Donald Cerrone via second-round submission.
Alexander Hernandez is a slight step up. Although Hernandez has lost 3-of-4, most feel he’s good enough to get it done. But the odds make the chalk an underlay. Miller is no lock. At the odds, the dog is worth backing, though.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Jim Miller
William Knight -120 vs. Marcin Prachnio +100
Knight had a great 2021. The slight favorite in this beat Fabio Cherant in August 2021 and then followed up the victory with a unanimous decision win over Alonzo Menifield in December 2021.
Knight’s 2022 was the opposite of his 2021. William failed in losses to Max Grishin and Devin Clark. Marcin Prachnio lost his last, which might be why Knight is the slight favorite. However, Prachnio has a 5 inches height advantage and before the last, Marcin had won 2 straight. The underdog is the play.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Marcin Prachnio
John Parisian +200 vs. Jamal Pogues -240
Parisian has a win-loss-win-loss pattern. If the pattern holds, the underdog in this has no chance versus Jamal Pogues. If the pattern doesn’t hold, Parisian might have a slight chance.
But Parisian faces a strong competitor in the favorite. Jamal Pogues has lost a single bout in his last 5. The loss came versus Alex Polizzi in a championship bout.
So although the favorite has a 2 inches reach disadvantage and a 1 inch height advantage, he’s the pick. Pogues should find a way to either knockout Parisian or force the underdog to submit.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Jamal Pogues
Jordan Wright +210 vs. Zac Pauga -270
We can’t hold Zac Pauga’s last loss too much against him. The chalk in this fell to 9-2 Mohammed Usman. Usman is a very good mixed-martial-artist. Before falling to Usman, the favorite in this bout had won 4 straight.
Jordan Wright has a decent 12-4 record. The problem is that all 4 of Wright’s losses happened in his last 5 bouts. Wright has taken a huge left turn in his career. Jordan faces a very strong opponent. The chalk prevails.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Zac Pauga
Jessica Andrade -140 vs. Erin Blanchfield +115
Favorite Jessica Andrade has a real challenge on her hands. Andrade faces a super strong competitor in Erin Blanchfield.
Blanchfield is 3 inches taller, has a 4-inches reach advantage, and is on a 7-match winning streak. No doubt, Jessica is the toughest fighter Erin has yet faced. But Blanchfield has the makings of a UFC champ. The underdog in this gets the nod.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Erin Blanchfield
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