When you first see the lineup for any UFC event, you always need to understand that the matches you see advertised are not always set in stone. That has proven to be the case with UFC 173, as the fight between Holly Holm and Irene Aldana has been called off. It is usually injuries or an inability to make weight that cause a fight to be cancelled, but in this case, it was Irene Aldana testing positive for coronavirus. This is a blow for fight fans, but an even bigger one for Aldana, who may have been looking at a title shot with a win here. With the cancellation, the Brunson/Shahbazyan fight is now the headliner. There are still 5 bouts on the main card, so let’s take a closer look at those along with their MMA odds.
UFC Fight Night: Holm Vs Aldana Odds & Picks
Kevin Holland (-210) Vs Trevin Giles (+170)
Kevin Holland comes into this one as a replacement for Jun Yong Park, and he will arrive at the Las Vegas Apex as the favorite to get the win. He has won 4 of his last 5 bouts and now has a career mark of 17-5, which has him ranked #20 in the middleweight division. Trevin Giles needed a win in his last fight after losing 2 in a row, which he got by way of a split decision. Holland may be in as a replacement here, but he is not just making up the numbers. I like him to win by KO.
Lando Vannata (-130) Vs Bobby Green (+100)
Next up we have what looks to be a very evenly matched lightweight bout. This is a rematch between a pair of fighters who drew at UFC 216, which should tell you all you need to know about how tight this fight might prove to be. Green, who comes in with a career mark of 25-10-1, got back to winning ways in his last fight after a pair of losses by decision. Vannata (11-4-2) is a rather inconsistent 2-2-2 in hos last 6 fights. If this bout is as good as the last one, we are in for a treat. I am taking Greeb via decision.
Vicente Luque (-185) Vs Randy Brown (+155)
This welterweight bout has the potential to be the fight of the night, as this is another one that features a pair of very talented fighters. Luque could potentially crack the top 10 in the division with a win here, but he might already have done that had he not lost to Stephen Thompson a couple of fights back. He won his next one and is now 18-7-1. Brown comes into this one on the heels of back to back wins, taking his record to 12-3-0. I think this one goes the distance, with Luque getting the win.
Joanne Calderwood (-185) Vs Jennifer Maia (+155)
Both of these women could increase their chances of a flyweight title bout with a win here, but both have been a little inconsistent of late. Calderwood needed a split decision in her last bout to avoid losing back to back fights, taking her record to 14-4 in the process. Jennifer Maia is coming into this bout on the heels of a UD loss, which means that she is now 2-2 in her last 4 fights. This one really could go either way, but I am taking Calderwood by UD.
Derek Brunson (+255) Vs Edmen Shahbazyan (-315)
It’s not often that you see a 3-round headline event, but the short notice of this one has forced the UFC to make that decision. Brunson, who is 20-7, comes into this fight on the heels of back to back wins, with both of those fights going the distance. Shahzbayan is still relatively new to the UFC, with 3 fights, and 3 wins, under his belt, taking his career mark to a perfect 11-0. I think he will meet his match here, though, as I like Brunson for the win.
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