As UFC Fight Night approaches in Paris, the highly anticipated Moicano vs. St. Denis bout is set to deliver fireworks, and now is the perfect time to dive into the UFC betting lines. With a main card packed with top French fighters, this is a prime opportunity to place strategic bets on Saturday’s exciting matchups.
UFC Fight Night Betting Odds for the Moicano vs St. Denis Bout
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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis | UFC Fight Night 243 and UFC on ESPN+ 101
Saturday, September 28th, 2024 at 3:00 pm ET | ESPN+
Accor Arena, Paris, France
Betting UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Borralho
UFC Fight Night on Saturday happens in Paris, France, which is why the main card is full of top French nationals like Fares Ziam, Kevin Jousset, Nassourdine Imavov and Benoit St. Denis.
Brazilian Renato Moicano faces off agaisnt Benoit St. Denis in the main event.
The bout take place early, at 3:00 pm ET on ESPN+.
So if you plan on watching, remember the time of the first main event.
Keep reading for UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for every card on this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night’s main card.
Writer’s Picks for UFC on ESPN 62 Main Card Bouts
Fares Ziam -130 vs Matt Frevola +110
Kickboxer Fares Ziam is a legit favorite.
Ziam has won 4-of-5.
The one knock is that Ziam’s victories have arrived via decision.
Fares will have the fans behind him, though.
Matt Frevola can counter Ziam’s kickboxing style with an effective freestyling strategy that involved both striking techniques from various disciplines and grappling.
Frevola is 3-0 via submissions.
So if this fight goes to the mat, and it could, he can pull off the upset.
Back the dog to cash.
UFC Pick: Matt Frevola
Morgan Charriere -850 vs Gabriel Miranda +500
Gabriel Miranda has a 2-inch reach advantage and a 3-inch height advantage.
But Miranda is the heavy underdog because Morgan Charriere has won 4-of-5 and is 11-0 via KO/TKO.
Miranda has a fantastic submissions record.
But getting Charrier to the ground won’t be easy.
The favorite is 6 years younger than Miranda and glides around the Octagon.
Charriere is terrific at cutting off his opponents and winning angles.
The chalk takes this via knockout.
UFC Pick: Morgan Charriere
Kevin Jousset +140 vs Bryan Battle -170
Underdog Kevin Jousset heads into the Octagon for the third straight fight.
Jousset joined UFC in late 2023.
He made a great first impression by submitting Keifer Crosbie.
Bryan Battle is a step up.
Battle is 11-2 overall.
He’s 3-0 via submission wins and 3-0 via knockout.
Battle faces an opponent that’s hungry and has almost the same length he has.
Bryan won’t be able to strike from outside Jousset’s range all night.
Here’s another where the dog has a massive shot to win.
UFC Pick: Kevn Jousset
William Gomis +245 vs Joanderson Brito -310
Gomis has a 13-2 record but the French featherweight MMA star has been unbeatable since 2016.
Morgan Charriere is the last fighter to hand Gomis a defeat.
Since the loss, William has won 11 bouts.
The dog in this has won those bouts via decision, knockout, and submission.
Joanderson Brito is 17-3-1.
Brito has fought the much better competition but Gomis has a physical advantage.
Gomis is 6 feet to Brito’s 5’8”.
The odds make the dog an overlay.
UFC Pick: William Gomis
Nassourdine Imavov -210 vs Brendan Allan +175
The odds suggest Imavov versus Allan is one of the night’s top bouts.
Imavov is 6-0 via TKO/KO and 4-1 via submissions.
The -210 favorite goes into this after two impressive wins against Roman Dolidze and Jared Cannonier.
Brendan Allan is 14-1 via submissions.
Allan’s Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills make him an excellent pick in a bout versus an aggressive striker.
If Allan goads Imavov into making a striking mistake, he can get this bout to the mat.
The dog is also a decent play at the odds.
UFC Pick: Brendan Allan
Main Event – Lightweight
Renato Moicano +245 vs Benoit Saint Denis -290
Moicano’s best game is on the ground.
The big time dog in this is 10-1 via submissions and 1-3 via knockout and technical knockout.
Benoit Saint Denis lost his last to Dustin Poirier via second round TKO.
Before falling to Poirier, Saint Denis had won 5 straight, 2 via submission and 3 via knockout.
In front of his country people, Saint Denis shouldn’t disappoint.
Expect the chalk to win this via KO.
UFC Pick: Benoit Saint Denis
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^ Top^ Top💥CONFIRMED💥
— Pandemic_MMA (@PandemicDzl_MMA) August 9, 2024
Renato Moicano 19-5-1
VS
Benoît St. Denis 13-2
Coming off of a loss @BenoitSt_Denis has no choice but to get back into the winning column. A well rounded fighter with KO power, but will it be enough to deal with @moicanoufc drowning submissions and high IQ! pic.twitter.com/0hXUD2sq0G
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Here are some examples of betting lines that you might find for the next UFC Fight Night featuring Dixon vs. Harper is scheduled for Saturday, September 28, 2024, in Sheffield.
- Moneyline:
This is the simplest type of bet, where you wager on which fighter will win the fight outright.
The odds will reflect the perceived probability of each fighter winning.
For example, you might see odds of -200 for Dixon and +180 for Harper. - Method of Victory:
You can bet on how the fight will be decided.
Options include knockout, submission, decision, or draw. - Total Rounds:
This bet involves predicting whether the fight will go over or under a certain number of rounds. - Round Betting:
You can bet on which round the fight will end. - Parlays:
A parlay allows you to combine multiple bets into a single wager.
If all of your selections win, your payout will be multiplied.
For the latest betting lines and expert analysis on this fight, be sure to check out our UFC betting news section.
We’ll keep you updated with the latest information and provide valuable insights to help you make informed betting decisions.
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UFC Fight Night Betting Odds: Burns vs. Brady Bout Breakdown
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Get ready for an exciting night of action as UFC Fight Night features the intense showdown between Burns and Brady. For the most accurate bet UFC lines and expert analysis, dive into our detailed preview of the fight and see how you can leverage these bet UFC lines for your advantage.
UFC Fight Night Betting Odds for the Burns vs Brady Bout
Can Burns Upset the Odds? Discover the Latest UFC Betting Lines for Burns vs Brady!
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady | UFC Fight Night 242, UFC on ESPN+ 100, and UFC Vegas 97 – Ultimate Fighting Championship
Saturday, September 7th, 2024 at 7:00 pm ET | ABC/ESPN+
UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Betting UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Borralho
This Saturday’s UFC Fight Night showcases top middleweights Cai Borralho and Jared Cannonier in its main event.
Borralho is a solid favorite to hand Cannonier a loss.
Before the main event, Angel Hill and Tabitha Ricci throw down in what many expect to be the most competitive event of the night.
Which UFC fighters will raise their arms in victory?
Keep reading for UFC odds, analysis, and picks for the main card bouts at Saturday’s UFC Fight Night.
Writer’s Picks for UFC on ESPN 62 Main Card Bouts
Edmen Shahbazyan -300 vs Gerald Meerschaert +240
Underdog Gerald Meerschaert has lost 3-of-5.
Meerschaert’s last 2 wins have come via submission.
However, both wins were versus fighters that aren’t on Shahbazyan’s level.
The -300 chalk has won 2-of-3 and is a daunting 11-3 via TKO/KO.
Meerschaert will struggle to get this fight to the mat.
Expect Shahbazyan to score an early round knockout victory.
UFC Pick: Edmen Shahbazyan
Kaan Ofli +165 vs Mairon Santos -200
Santos has an excellent 14-1 record.
The favorite in this is 7-1 via TKO/KO.
Santos also boasts a solid 3-inch height advantage.
Kaan Ofli is 11-2-1 and is terrific on the ground. Ofli is 6-0 via submission victories.
For sure, Ofli will have a shot if this fat hits the mat, but Santos’s advantage may be too much to overcome.
The favorite prevails.
UFC Pick: Mairon Santos
Neil Magny +600 vs Michael Morales -1000
At one time Magney, who has a 3 inches height advantage in this, would be a favorite over a fighter like Michael Morales.
But Magney has lost tread on the tires when losing 2 of his last 3.
Morales is 16-0 overall and 11-0 via knockout or technical knockout.
This appears to be a showcase fight where UFC is clamoring for Morales to build his championship credentials.
The favorite wins and he should do so via knockout.
UFC Pick: Michael Morales
Ryan Loder +155 vs Robert Valentin Frey -185
Loder has won 3 straight but not a single one of the opponents appears as talented as Robert Valentin Frey.
The -185 chalk is 11-3 overall.
Not only that, but Frey has gone 3-1 via TKO/KO and a stellar 7-1 via submissions.
This is both Frey’s and Loder’s first real UFC bout.
Give the favorite the nod.
UFC Pick: Robert Valentin Frey
Angel Hill -110 vs Tabatha Ricci -110
In the night’s most competitive bout, Hill has a height and reach advantage.
Hill is also in decent form, going 4-1 straight up in her last 5.
Ricci is 10-2 overall and like Hill has gone 4-1 in her last 5.
Ricci has fought the tougher competition.
So she gets the call over what is going to be an excellent bout.
UFC Pick: Tabatha Ricci
Jared Cannonier +195 vs Caio Borralho -240
Most UFC fight fans don’t expect the main event between Jared Cannonier and Caio Borralho to be all that competitive.
Cannonier has won 3-of-4 but lost his last via knockout to Nassourdine Imavov.
Caio Borralho is 16-1 overall. Borralho is 5-0 via TKO/KO and 4-0 via submissions.
Caio does everything well. He should handle Cannonier no problem.
Back the chalk to cash.
UFC Pick: Caio Borralho
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UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts
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On Saturday, UFC returns to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas where Alex Grasso and Valentina Schevchenko headline an excellent main card.
Before Grasso and Schevchenko step into the Octagon for a huge rematch, Kevin Holland battles Jack Maddalena. Also on the main card is a great fight between Raul Rosas Jr. and Terrence Mitchell.
Check out UFC betting lines, analysis, and free picks for the September 16 UFC Fight Night main event card.
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts | MyBookie MMA Betting Preview
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 | UFC Fight Night 227 – UFC on ESPN+ 85 – Noche UFC
Saturday, September 16 at 10:00 pm ET | ESPN+
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson
UFC Odds: Fernando Padilla -263; Kyle Nelson +196
Featherweight Bout
Padilla records: 14-5 | 5 KOs
Nelson records: 15-4
Kick boxer Kyle Nelson’s form appears to have turned the corner. The underdog in this match drew against Dooho Choi in a February match this year. Then in his next, an undercard bout at UFC 289 in June, Nelson beat Blake Bilder via unanimous decision.
But although Nelson’s form is on the improve, beating Fernando Padilla is going to be a challenge. Padilla is on a 3-match winning streak. The chalk is also 5-0 via TKO/KO and 8-0 via submissions. Going against the favorite is too difficult a task.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Fernando Padilla | Bet Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson Today
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Daniel Zellhuber vs Christos Giagos
UFC Odds: Daniel Zellhuber -243 vs Christos Giagos +186
Lightweight Bout
Zellhuber records: 13-1 | 7 KOs
Giagos records: 20-10 | 8 KOs
Underdog Christos Giagos must overcome a couple of huge physical disadvantages. Giagos is 3 inches shorter and has a 5.5 inches reach deficit. Giagos did win his last, a first round stoppage victory over Ricky Glen.
Daniel Zellhuber bounced back from a September 2022 loss to Trey Ogden with a unanimous decision over Lando Vannata in April this year. Zellhuber is 7-0 via TKO/KO and 2-0 via submissions. Here’s another where going against the chalk is tough.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Daniel Zellhuber | Bet Daniel Zellhuber vs Christos Giagos Today
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Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell
UFC Odds: Raul Rosas Jr. -833; Terrence Mitchell +492
Bantamweight Bout
Rosas records: 7-1
Mitchell records: 14-3
Up until his last, the favorite in this had been undefeated, winning his fist 7 mixed martial arts bouts. But in the last, Christian Rodriguez beat Rosas Jr. via unanimous decision.
Terrence Mitchell isn’t on Rodriguez’s level. But Mitchell is taller and has a 7 inches reach advantage. Terrence lost via first round TKO/KO against Cameron Saimaan in his first UFC bout.
The odds are correct in suggesting Rosas Jr. wins no problem. But Mitchell knows this is his last chance to continue to fight at the best MMA promotion in the world. Taking a swing on Mitchell to pull off the massive upset is the play.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Terrence Mitchell | Bet Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell Today
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Kevin Holland vs Jack Della Maddalena
UFC Odds: Kevin Holland +120; Jack Della Maddalena -153
Welterweight Bout
Holland records: 25-9 | 14 KOs
Maddalena records: 15-2 | 11 KOs
Holland is 4 inches taller and has an 8-inch reach advantage. Also, Kevin has won his last couple of bouts.
Jack Della Maddalena hasn’t lost since 2016, though, which explains why he’s the chalk. Maddalena is 11-1 via TKO/KO and 2-1 via submissions. This bout projects as a straight up brawl, but if Holland can get it to the mat, he’ll have an advantage. Back the dog to cash.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Kevin Holland | Bet Kevin Holland vs Jack Della Maddalena Today
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Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Schevchenko
UFC Odds: Alexa Grasso +137; Valentina Schevchenko -175
Women’s Flyweight Title Belt
Grasso records: 16-3 | 4 KOs
Schevchenko records: 8-4 | 7 KOs
Grasso beat Schevchenko via submission in the first bout. Most expect Valentina to turn the tables, but Alex will be motivated.
Grasso’s victory was her fifth straight. The thing about Alex is that she’s patient. She knows where her advantage lies, getting the fight to the mat. Grasso has won 2 of her last 3 bouts via submission.
So the fact Alex is 2-1 via submission victories is a sign she’s changed her style. Grasso won’t put herself into harms enough way to suffer a TKO/KO loss. The champ retains her belt.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Alex Grasso | Bet Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Schevchenko Today
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UFC Fight Night: Gane Vs Tuivasa Betting Odds, Analysis & Picks
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UFC Fight Night takes place in Paris, France on Saturday, which explains why Ciryl Gane headlines the main card in a bout versus Tai Tuivasa. Gane is a huge chalk to get the victory in front of his peeps. Also on the main card, Marvin Vettori takes on Robert Whittaker. See below for UFC Odds, analysis, and free picks for the six main card bouts on this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night main card.
MMA Betting Preview for UFC Fight Night: Gane Vs Tuivasa
UFC Fight Night Gane Vs Tuivasa Event Info
Saturday, September 3 at 3:00 pm ET
Accor Arena, Paris, France
TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
Charles Jourdain -150 vs Nathaniel Wood +125
Underdog Nathaniel Wood has a decent 18-5 record. One of the reasons he’s the dog in this bout is because he’s giving up 3 inches in height to favorite Charles Jourdain.
The chalk brings a 13-5-1 record into this. Jourdain lost his last bout. He’s 8-0 via TKO or KO wins. Wood won his last fight. His knockout record isn’t bad at 9-2. The dog gives up height, but he’s worth backing at the odds.
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood
William Gomis -220 vs Jarno Errens +180
Errens could be up against it versus the taller Gomis. The favorite in this has a 2-inch height advantage. Gomis isn’t just taller. He’s won 9 straight and has a 10-2 record.
The underdog in this is 13-3-1. Errens’ last loss happened this past April. In a bout between a couple of French mixed-martial-artists, the chalk takes home the win.
UFC Fight Night: William Gomis
John Makdessi +120 vs Nasrat Haqparast -230
18-5 John Makdessi has won 4-of-5. Makdessi is a straight up striker, going 9-2 via technical knockout and knockout. The underdog is 0-1 via submissions.
So it’s obvious Makdessi prefers fighting standing up. Opponent Nasrat Haqparast is 13-5, has a 2 inches height advantage, and a 4 inches reach advantage.
But like Makdessi, Haqparast prefers fighting in the stand up. Unlike Makdessi, Haqparast has lost 2 straight. The underdog can get the victory.
UFC Fight Night: John Makdessi
Alessio Di Chirico -110 vs Roman Kopylov -110
The odds imply the most competitive fight of the night. On paper, it’s difficult to argue. Di Chirico is 13-6.
Roman Kopylov is 8-2. Both fighters are 6 feet. Kopylov has an inch reach advantage. They’re also both strikers and neither is fighting well.
Chirico has lost 4-of-5 while Kopylov has lost 2 straight. Although not a great ground fighter, Chirico’s take down average is better and he’s fought at UFC in his last few bouts.
Kopylov’s last couple of bouts were his first UFC fights. But although Chirico has more UFC experience, Alessio might be done. Roman gets the nod.
UFC Fight Night: Roman Kopylov
Robert Whittaker -230 vs Marvin Vettori +190
Chalk Robert Whittaker has won 3-of-5. Whittaker’s lone losses happened against the best middleweight in the world, Israel Adesanya, the UFC champ.
Marvin Vettori has won 4-of-5. Vettori’s loss in his last 5 also happened against Adesanya. Whittaker is a striker, but Robert knows how to fight on the ground, going 5-1 via submissions.
Vettori can also fight on the mat. Marvin is 9-0 in submission victories. Still, Whittaker has taken on the better opponents. The chalk wins.
UFC Fight Night: Robert Whittaker
Ciryl Gane -575 vs Tai Tuivasa +425
Tuivasa has a decent 15-3 record. The underdog has power. He’s gone 14-1 via knockout or technical knockout.
No doubt, Tuivasa can pull off the upset. The problem, though, is he’s giving up 6 inches in reach, Gane fights in front of his country folk, and Ciryl’s only loss happened in a bout versus UFC Heavyweight Champion Francis Ngannou.
Gane should impress his people. Cyril wins via knockout.
UFC Fight Night: Cyril Gane
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UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Spann Betting Odds & Picks
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The UFC will get underway a little earlier than usual this weekend, perhaps because they have a jam-packed card coming your way. The UFC Vegas 37 main card has no less than 6 fights ready to go, with all the action set to begin at 1:30 PM EST. Given all the MMA action that is coming on Saturday, that early start is a good thing for those of you who want to take it all in. Let’s take a quick look at all the fights on the main card, with predictions for each along with their UFC odds.
MMA Betting Preview for UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Spann
Joaquin Buckley (-200) Vs Antonio Arroyo (+160)
The evening begins with a Middleweight bout featuring a pair of fighters looking to bounce back after a loss. Buckley is 12-4 overall, but he has gone just 2-2 in his last 4 fights. Things are a little worse for Spann, who has fallen to 9-4 after losing each of his last 3 fights. I like Buckley to get the win, with a KO the most likely outcome.
Nate Maness (+180) Vs Tony Gravely (-220)
A pair of very good Bantamweights will hook up next, with Maness is as the underdog despite only losing 1 fight in his pro career. He comes into this one on a 3-fight win streak. Gravely is 21-6 and has been in very good from of late, winning 4 of his last 5. This has all the makings of a very good fight, and I am leaning towards the underdog here.
Christos Glagos (+570) Vs Arman Tsarukyan (-795)
While the previous fight looks very evenly matched, this Lightweight bout seems to be rather lopsided. Glagos is no slouch at 19-8, with 4 wins in his last 5, but this is a definite step up in class. Tsarukyan is 16-2 overall and is as dangerous as it gets. He might be made to work a little harder in this one, but I still like Tsarukyan to win comfortably.
Mandy Bohm (-110) Vs Ariane Lipski (-120)
The odds here clearly show that the bookies see this Flyweight bout as a close one. Bohm comes into this bout with a perfect 7-0 record, and while Lipski (13-7) has been struggling of late, with back-to-back losses and 3 defeats in her last 5, she is still dangerous. I’m sticking with the hot hand and taking Bohm to get the win.
Ion Cutelaba (-145) Vs Devin Clark (+115)
The Light Heavyweights will step into the octagon for the co-main event of the night. At just 1-3-1 in his last 5 fights, Cutelaba is in a bit of a free fall, but he did face some very good fighters in that stretch. Clark comes into this one off a loss and is now just 2-2 in his last 4 fights. A little bit of a must win for both fighters. I think Cutelaba gets it with the KO.
Anthony Smith (-160) Vs Ryan Spann (+130)
A pair of experienced Light Heavyweights will square off in the headline event of the night. Smith, who is 35-16, hit a bit of a rough patch with 2 straight losses, but he bounced back with wins in his last 2 fights. Spann has been in good form of late and has now won 4 of his last 5 fights. A close one here, but I think it will be Smith with the win.
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UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till Betting Odds & Picks
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It’s back to Vegas we go for another UFC Fight Night, although this is one that hits much earlier than usual, with the main card set to begin at 1:30 PM EST. There are a total of 5 fights set to go on the main card, with a very good Middleweight bout sitting at the top of the list. It looks to be a very good group of fights that we have coming on Saturday afternoon, and we have the odds for each. We will now take closer look at those UFC odds, while also making predictions for each of the 5 fights on the main card, so let’s get to it.
MMA Betting Preview for UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Luigi Vendramini (+130) Vs Paddy Pimblett (-160)
The main card begins with a Lightweight bout that features a pair of fighters on a run of inconsistent form of late. Vendramini has had issues over his last 3 fights, losing 2 of them to fall to 9-2 in his pro career. While Pimblett has a couple of losses in his last 5 outings, he does appear to be in the process of righting the ship, as he comes into this bout on the heels of back-to-back wins. I think Pimblett makes it 3 in a row with the submission win.
Khalil Rountree (+130) Vs Modestas Bukauskas (-160)
We have a pair of Heavyweights stepping into the octagon next, with both fighters in dire need of a win to get things back on track. Rountree has lost 2 straight fights, as well as 3 of his last 5, to see hid record fall to 8-5. After an impressive 11-2 start to his pro career, Bukauskas is now heading in the wrong direction after losing each of his last 2 fights. I don’t think this one goes the distance and I have Bukauskas by KO.
David Zawada (+100) Vs Alex Morono (-130)
There is a similar pattern in this main card in that most of the fighters have been struggling of late, and these two Welterweights are no different. Zawada has really struggled in recent fights and is on a run that has seen him lose 3 of his last 4. Morono has just had difficulty staying consistent, going 3-2 in his last 5 and unable to put together consecutive wins. He won last time out and should get his second straight victory with the decision in this one.
Tom Aspinall (-250) Vs Sergey Spivak (+195)
With the co-main event of the night, we are getting to the fighters on a roll, as both of these Heavyweights currently are. Aspinall is now sitting at 10-2 overall after winning 6 in a row, with all of those wins coming inside 2 rounds. After a wobbly start in the UFC, Spivak has settled down and reeled off 3 straight wins ahead of this one. The winner of this fight will crack the top 10 in the weight class. I am on Aspinall to get there via KO.
Derek Brunson (+150) Vs Darren Till (-180)
The headline event of the night is a Middleweight bout between a pair of fighters in the top 10, although heading in different directions. Brunson is currently ranked #6 after going on a 4-fight won streak that took his overall record to 22-7. Till, meanwhile, is on the slide and has now lost 3 of his last 4 fights to fall to 18-3-1. Till is dangerous, but it can be hard to break out of those slumps. I going to take a shot on the underdog here.
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UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen Vs Song Betting Odds, Analysis & Picks
Previous Betting News
Rising UFC star Song Yadong versus Corey Sandhagen headline an intriguing main card at UFC Fight Night on Saturday. Sandhagen will enter the Octagon the bout favorite. Also on the main card, Chidi Njokuani throws down against Gregory Rodrigues and Andre Fili takes on Bill Algeo. Check out UFC Odds, analysis, and free picks for the UFC Fight Night main card on Saturday, September 17.
MMA Betting Preview for UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen Vs Song
UFC Fight Night Sandhagen Vs Song Event Info
Saturday, September 17 at 4:00 pm ET
UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
Anthony Hernandez -190 vs Marc-Andre Barriault +160
Underdog Barriault is 14-5. Marc-Andre is very good in the stand up, recording a 9-1 knockout and technical knockout record.
Anthony Hernandez is 6-1 via submission victories. If this fight goes to the ground, Hernandez wins for sure. But Barriault offers much better odds and neither has much more of an edge over the other. Backing the dog makes sense.
UFC Fight Night: Marc-Andre Barriault
Tanner Boser -175 vs Rodrigo Nascimento +150
Underdog Rodrigo Nascimento has fought just 5 bouts since 2017. Nascimento fought once in 2020 and then once last year. Rodrigo lost his 2020 bout. UFC declared the 2021 fight a no contest.
Boser shows 3 fights in 2020 and a couple of bouts in 2021. Tanner is 20-8-1. He’s got a fantastic 11-1 KO/TKO record and a 2-0 submission record. At the odds, the favorite is playable.
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser
Joe Pyfer -450 vs Alen Amedovski +350
Amedovski is on a 3-match losing streak. The underdog in this lost both his bouts in 2019. After a 3 year layoff, Amedovski fell to Joseph Holmes via submission this past May.
Joe Pyfer beat Ozzy Diaz via knockout in a Dana White’s Contender Series bout in July. Pyfer has good boxing skills and has developed a decent ground game. The favorite is also 4 inches taller. The chalk gets the nod.
UFC Fight Night: Joe Pyfer
Andre Fili -120 vs Bill Algeo +100
Fili versus Algeo should be one of the main card’s most competitive bouts. Fili, the chalk in this, has a single victory in his last 5.
Andre beat Charles Jourdain via split decision in a 2020 bout. Outside of the win over Jourdain, Fili shows 3 losses and a draw in his last 5. Algeo has won 3-of-5. It’s difficult to understand why oddsmakers made Fili the favorite. Algeo is the play.
UFC Fight Night: Bill Algeo
Chidi Njokuani -120 vs Gregory Rodrigues +100
Both these guys can brawl. Njokuani is 22-7. Rodrigues has a 12-4 record. The slight dog has won 4-of-5, is 7-2 in technical knockout or knockout wins, and has a 3-0 submission record.
Njokuani has won 4 straight via knockout or technical knockout. As long as the fight stays off the mat, Njokuani should win. But Rodrigues provides 2.4 takedowns per match. The fighter with the better ground game is the one to back.
UFC Fight Night: Gregory Rodrigues
Cory Sandhagen -195 vs Song Yadong +165
Sandhagen heads into this after losing his last couple of bouts. But before jumping on the chalk, it’s important to note that Cory lost to well-regarded T.J. Dillashaw and Petr Yan in a championship bout.
Both Dillashaw and Yan would be bigger favorites over Yadong than Sandhagen. But the underdog in this has won 4-of-5. Yadong is the now middleweight. Song is 8-1 via TKO or KO and 3-0 via submissions. The dog can bite.
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong
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2020 UFC Betting Rumors & News – Sept. 21st Edition
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After every major event in the UFC, the rumor mill tends to come to life, with the winners and losers on the night talking about their future, or lack thereof, in the UFC. There was a lot of that going around on Saturday night in Las Vegas, with UFC boss Dana White even getting in on the action. Let’s talk about the latest news and rumors that are currently running wild in the world of the UFC so you can bet on their UFC odds.
UFC 2020 Rumors & News | MMA Betting
One of the most commonly asked questions that we here is whether or not Nick Diaz will return to the octagon. All signs would appear to be point towards yes being the answer, with Dana White coming out and saying that it will indeed happen. If Diaz does return, who will he take on first? The most likely scenario is that he would have a rematch with Jorge Masvidal before anything else happens, but it really is all about timing here.
After his win over Tyron Woodley on Saturday night, Colby Covington threw his hat in the ring for a shot at Diaz. Covington has stated that he and Diaz were slated to fight back in 2018 at Madison Square Garden, but that bout never materialized. Diaz is talking about a return to action in the early part of next year, so we are going to need to wait and see what happens then.
Dana White believes that Covington is back in contention for another shot at the title, but he also believes that Gilbert Burns is the next man up to face Usman, so a Covington/Diaz bout would appear to make perfect sense.
White has stated in the past that he will never force a fighter to retire, but he is also not shy about letting them know that their time should probably be coming. In a press conference after the Vegas event on Saturday night, White stated that he thought it is time that Donald Cerrone and Tyron Woodley thought about calling it a career. Both men are certainly not getting any younger plus their losses are beginning to pile up. Woodley was forced to retire in the final round versus Covington with a rib injury, so he may well wait until he recovers from that before making any sort of decision.
One rumor that will not go away is in regard the return of Conor McGregor in 2021. The Irishman has “officially” retired from the UFC on 3 separate occasions, citing a lack of fighting opportunities, but the latest news is that he and Dana White have had a chat about his future. This is where things get a little complicated, though. While White has said that McGregor will indeed be back in 2021, he also stated that he is not guaranteeing that it will be in the capacity of a fighter. The reality here is that fans of the sport want to see McGregor in the ring going toe to toe, so anything other than that will likely be considered a bit of a disappointment.
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UFC Fight Night: Covington Vs Woodley Odds & Picks
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This coming Saturday will see the Apex in Sin City host another event. This time it is UFC in Las Vegas 11, with the fight between Colby Covington and Tyron Woodley serving as the headline bout. It’s a busy main card, though, with 6 fights set to go on the main card. There are some very familiar names on this card, so it is going to be a fun one to tune into. With so many fights on the main card, there is a lot of ground to cover, so let’s dig a little deeper inside each fight and make some predictions as we go, along with their UFC odds.
Covington Vs Woodley Expert Analysis – MMA Betting
Kevin Holland (-260) Vs Darren Stewart (+200)
The main card begins with a middleweight bout between a pair of fighters who have flashed some stopping power over the course of their careers. Holland, who comes in with a career mark of 17-5, has registered wins in each of his first 2 UFC fights. This will be the second career fight under the UFC banner for Stewart, who win his first with an opening round KO. This could be a slugfest, but I am on Holland to win.
Mackenzie Dern (-170) Vs Randa Markos (+140)
It’s the women up next for a strawweight bout. Dern, who has a career mark of 8-1, won her first 2 fights in the UFC before losing to Amanda Ribas by decision. She did bounce back with a win in her last fight. Markos is coming into this bout in need of a win after losing 3 of her last 5 fights. That has dropped her record to 10-9-1 and could see her out of the UFC with another loss. Dern with the win here.
Johnny Walker (-135) Vs Ryan Spann (+105)
Next up is a light heavyweight bout featuring a pair of fighters sitting just outside the top 10 in the division. A win here would certainly be a move in the right direction. Walker, who is 17-5, will be looking to stop the bleeding after losing back to back fights. That is not going to be easy against Spann (20-5), as he is on an 8-fight win streak. I’m going with Spann for the slight upset.
Khamzat Chimaev (-425) Vs Gerald Meerschaert (+325)
This looks like a matchup designed to push Chimaev up the middleweight ranks after a very exciting start to life in the UFC. He came into the UFC with a 6-0 record and has added two more wins to that, both of which came in the early rounds. At 31-13, Meerschaert is a veteran fighter with a ton of experience, but he is also on a poor run of form, losing 4 of his last 6 fights. Another quick win for Chimaev here.
Donald Cerrone (+115) Vs Niko Price (-145)
One of the greats of thee welterweight division is back for another go, but how much does Donald Cerrone have left in the tank. The cowboy is coming into this one on a 4-fight losing skid, although those losses came to some of the best in the business. Price has not been much better of late, losing 3 of his last 5 bouts. I’d be surprised to see this one go the distance, and I am taking Cerrone to win.
Colby Covington (-340) Vs Tyron Woodley (+265)
Covington is looking to bounce back after losing to Usman in a welterweight title bout his last time out, which was just the second loss of his career. This one is certainly not going to be easy, though, as Woodley is also highly ranked, but he is also coming in on the heels of back to back losses, one of which also came against Kamaru Usman. This has the potential to be the fight of the night and I am on Covington to win.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson Vs Hill Odds & Picks
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If you were expecting to tune into Fight Night 177 on Saturday and see Thiago Santos and Glover Teixeira go head to head, you are in for a bit of a surprise. Teixeira tested positive for COVID-19, with that fight now moved to October 3 on the Holmes/Aldana main card. While this news is sure to be disappointing for some, we still have a very busy main card set to go on Saturday night, with the Waterson/Hill fight moving into the headline slot. There are 6 fights on the main card, so a lot of ground to cover. Let’s get right to it so you can make your bets against their UFC odds.
Waterson Vs Hill Betting Preview – UFC Fight Night
Billy Quarantillo (-260) Vs Kyle Nelson (+200)
The evening begins with a featherweight bout featuring a fighter returning to the octagon after testing positive for COVID-19 back in June. That fighter was Billy Quarantillo, who comes into this one having won each of his first 2 fights under the UFC banner. He is in a hot streak at the moment, while his opponent, Kyle Nelson, is on a run that has seen him lose 2 of his last 3 fights. I like Quarantillo to win by KO.
Bobby Green (-265) Vs Alan Patrick (+205)
This lightweight bout was originally slated to be in the prelims, but it has been moved up to the main card. After a bit of a wobbly stretch, Green has once again found his feet in the UFC, coming into this one on the heels of back to back wins that took his pro record to 25-10-1. Patrick has not been in the octagon since back in 2018, with his last 4 bouts all cancelled. There is sure to be some rust there, which could come back to haunt him. Green to win.
Ed Herman (+205) Vs Mike Rodriguez (-245)
Ed Herman has been a staple in the light heavyweight division for quite some time, but at 39 years of age, you do have to wonder how much gas is left in the tank. He has been very up and down in his last bunch of fights, but back to back wins have him at 26-14 for his career. Rodriguez last fought a couple of weeks ago, delivering a first round win to take his record to 11-4. I think this one goes the distance, and if you are looking for a longshot win, Herman might just be it.
Roxanne Modafferi (+250) Vs Andrea Lee (-310)
If you go all the way back to 2014, you will find that these two flyweights have in fact met before, with Modafferi picking up the UD win in Invicta. A lot of time has passed since them, with Modafferi compiling a 24-18 record, although she is currently on a run that has seen her lose 2 of her last 3 fights. Andrea Lee saw a 6-ght unbeaten run come to an end at UFC 242 and is now the loser of back to back fights. I think she bounced back with the win here, though.
Ottman Azaitar (+100) Vs Khama Worthy (-130)
After an 11-fight win streak outside of the UFC, lightweight brawler Ottman Azaitar got his shot at UFC 242 and made the most of it, winning with an opening round KO against Teemu Packalen. This is going to be a tougher battle for him, but these are the wins he needs if he is to stay in the UFC. Worthy has a pair of wins at the UFC level and is now 16-6 overall. These are two fighters with real stopping power, so I don’t see this one going the distance. I am taking Azaitar for the KO win.
Michelle Waterson (+100) Vs Angela Hill (-130)
The headline event is a strawweight bout between a pair of fighters with title aspirations. Waterson has moved up the ranks over her career, but she always seems to stall and take a step backwards when she reaches a certain point. She is coming into this one on a 2-fight losing skid, albeit against very good fighters. Hill is coming off a disappointing loss via split decision in her last fight, but she might be able to bounce back with a win here via decision.
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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Sakai Odds & Picks
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It’s another Fight Night in the UFC this coming Saturday, with the 5-fight main card set to go at the Apex in Sin City. The headline event sees Overeem and Sakai square off in a battle of the hard-hitting heavyweights, but there are 4 other bouts on the main card, one of which features a fight that was cancelled a couple of weeks ago, with Ovince St. Preux back in action after testing positive for Covid-19 a couple of weeks ago. It’s certainly an interesting main card and we have a lot to break down, so let’s jump right into it, along with their MMA odds.
Overeem vs Sakai Betting Preview – UFC Fight Night
Brian Kelleher (-225) Vs Kevin Natividad (+185)
The main card begins with a featherweight bout featuring a veteran fighter and one that we don’t know very much about. Kelleher is the veteran here, coming into this bout with a 21-11 career mark. He has the benefit of being able to win fights in a variety of different ways, as he has seen his fights won by a pretty even number of KO’s, submissions, and decisions. Natividad is at 9-1 in his pro career, with the majority of his fights coming in the LFA. This is a but of a step up for him, but he might just e able to spring the upset.
Thiago Moises (-155) Vs Jalin Turner (+125)
It’s the lightweight division next and a fight between a pair of fighters who have been somewhat inconsistent in their pro careers. Moises, who is 13-4 in his career is in a bit of a slump, going 2-3 in his last 5 fights, so he really needs a win here. Turner, who is 10-5 in his career, is coming off a 2nd round win over Joshua Culibao, but he too has been a little up and down of late, going 3-2 in his last 5 fights. These two look to be evenly matched, but I am taking Moises to win.
Michel Pereira Lima (-115) Vs Zelim Imadaev (-115)
As you can see from the odds, this is a welterweight bout that is about as evenly matched as it gets. Lima is a veteran of the game, coming into this one with a record of 23-11, with 2 no contests. He is a well rounded fighter that can stand toe to toe or go hard on the mat, so he is going to be a tough matchup for Imadaev, who has lost both fights under the UFC banner. Whe he wins, though, it is always by KO, so he is a danger. I think he might land one and get the win here.
Ovince St. Preux (+105) Vs Alonzo Menifield (-135)
This looks to be a fantastic pairing in the light heavyweight division, with St. Preux stepping back down after a poor performance at heavyweight. Overall, St. Preux has a 24-14 record in his career, with close to half of his wins coming via KO. Alonzo Menifield is still a relative newcomer and is at 9-1 after taking his first career lost last time out. Menified packs a ton of power and has won 89% of his fights by KO. I like him to get the big win here.
Alistair Overeem (-165) Vs Augusto Sakai (+135)
The big boys are up for the final fight of the night, with both of them looking ahead at a potential title bout. Overeem, who is closing in on 40, has been a staple of the UFC and is always a big draw. Overeem has a ton of experience and comes into this one with a 46-18 record, with more than half of those wins coming by the way of KO. Sakai doesn’t have that level of pedigree, but he is still a very respectable 15-1-1 in his career. It’s tough to imagine this is going the distance. I am on Overeem to win.
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UFC Fight Night 160 Odds, Hermansson vs Cannonier Betting & Expert Pick
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Need something live to wager on at Mybookie before the college football action begins Saturday? Good news: UFC Fight Night 160 is staging a card in Copenhagen that sees the prelims start at 11 a.m. ET. Here’s a look at the top two fights on the card and their latest UFC betting odds. It’s UFC’s first-ever visit to Denmark.
UFC Fight Night 160 Odds, Hermansson vs Cannonier Betting & Expert Pick
When: Saturday, 2 PM ET (main card starts)
Where: Royal Arena, Copenhagen, Denmark
Live Stream: ESPN+
Jack Hermansson (20-4) vs. Jared Cannonier (12-4)
UFC Fight Night 160 Odds: Hermansson -285
Middleweight bout with Hermansson at -285 and Cannonier +225. Hermansson, from neighboring Norway, has won his past four and beat Ronaldo Souza at UFC Fight Night 150 in April. Hermansson took Souza down repeatedly and came within inches of submitting him with a tight guillotine in the first round. He would win by unanimous decision.
Hermansson was aiming to hand Souza the first submission loss of his career and wasn’t thrilled it went the distance: I didn’t want it to go five rounds. It’s terrible to be in there for five rounds. It’s a long time, I was super tired and I wanted to get out of there. My coaches were telling me ‘Now Jack, in this round you’re going to keep the distance’ and I’m like ‘No I ain’t. I am going to take him down. I want to be on top. Don’t want to stick and move and I don’t want to dance. I want to be out of here.’ So, I threw a couple of hard punches to take him down.”
Before “Jacare,” he beat David Branch via submission in under a minute. “The Joker” has been clamoring to fight on the UFC Copenhagen card since it was announced. Hermansson has earned 16 of his 20 career victories by stoppage. That includes four of his seven UFC wins.
Hermansson has the highest significant strike differential rate in UFC middleweight history (+2.87). Hermansson absorbs 2.37 significant strikes per minute in UFC middleweight competition, the third best rate among active fighters in the weight class behind Antonio Carlos Junior (1.75) and Krzysztof Jotko (1.81).
What about Cannonier?
Cannonier, an American, beat the legendary but past-his-prime Anderson Silva in May at UFC 237. Late in the first round, Cannonier landed a big kick to the inside of Silva’s right leg. Upon impact, Silva crumbled to the mat and grabbed his knee in pain. Referee Herb Dean waved off the bout, ruling Cannonier the winner. Cannonier landed several kicks to Silva’s leg before the finishing blow, and the area around Silva’s knee was already bruised.
He has won two straight and put his name on the list of contenders at middleweight after fighting at both heavyweight and light heavyweight in UFC. Cannonier won his middleweight debut against David Branch at UFC 230 last November. For this match, Cannonier competes in his first UFC headliner. Cannonier has earned 10 of his 12 career victories by stoppage. That includes four of his five UFC wins.
Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) vs. Gilbert Burns (16-3)
UFC Fight Night 160 Odds: Burns -126
Welterweight fight with Burns at -126 and Nelson -104. Former UFC Welterweight contender Thiago Alves was scheduled to face Nelson at the event. However, Alves pulled out of the fight in mid-September due to an undisclosed injury and was replaced by Burns.
Nelson, from Iceland, is off a split-decision loss to Leon Edwards at UFC on ESPN+ 6 in March in an outcome that saw him fall to 4-4 in his past eight fights after opening his career undefeated through his first 14 pro contests. In addition to Edwards, Nelson has also lost to Santiago Ponzinibbio, Demian Maia and Rick Story.
Nelson has a rich Karate background to go with good grappling skills. These traits have earned him four wins by KO or TKO, all of which happened early in his career. He, in turn, has been stopped once by knockout.
Nelson’s six submission victories in UFC welterweight competition are tied with Chris Lytle for most in divisional history. Nelson has completed at least one takedown in 10 of his 12 UFC appearances.
What about Burns?
Burns makes his second UFC appearance in a 48-day stretch. He defeated Alexey Kunchenko at UFC on ESPN+ 14 in August. Burns, from Brazil, is on a three-fight winning streak overall. He went on a seven-fight winning streak to start his career in Brazil, and when he was signed by the UFC, he added three more wins. Apart from Dan Hooker, he has also lost to Michel Prazeres and Rashid Magomedov.
Burns has tapped four opponents in the Octagon, namely Mike Davis, Lukasz Sajewski, Alex Oliveira and Christos Giagos. In all, he owns eight wins by submission. Burns’ three armbar victories in UFC competition are tied for third most in company history behind Royce Gracie (four) and Demetrious Johnson (four).
Expert UFC Fight Night 160 Betting Picks
Hermansson by KO/TKO and Nelson by submission.
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UFC Fight Night 159 Odds, Rodriguez vs Stephens Betting Preview and Picks
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Yair Rodriguez returns to Mexico City for the first time in two years to take on tough Jeremy Stephens at the main event of UFC Fight Night 159 on Saturday, Sep. 21. Also on the main card is a great matchup between Carla Esparza and Alexa Grasso. Check out the UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the 6 main card bouts!
UFC Fight Night 159 Odds, Rodriguez vs Stephens Betting Preview and Picks
When: Saturday, September 21 at 5:00pm PDT
Where: Mexico City Arena, Mexico City, Mexico
TV: ESPN+
Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Martin Bravo vs Steven Peterson
UFC Fight Night 159 Odds: Martin Bravo -115 / Steven Peterson -115
A Fortis MMA fighter, Steven Peterson has every chance to take down Martin Bravo in this battle. Both lost to Alex Cacares in their last bouts. Peterson fell via unanimous decision. Cacares only out struck him by 8, though, 95-87. He can beat Bravo and get back on the winning track here.
UFC Betting Pick: Steven Peterson
Irene Aldana vs Vanessa Melo
UFC Fight Night 159 Odds: Irene Aldana -500 / Vanessa Melo +350
Aldana is a great fighter. That’s why she’s the -500 favorite here. But, Vanessa Melo has a shot. She’s won 7 of her last 8 and has gone the distance in 8-of-10. That’s the key in this bout. If Melo can keep this one close and have it go to the scorecards, she might have a chance to pull off the major upset.
Aldana heads into this bout off a loss, which means even though Melo took this fight on short notice, she might have an edge. Vanessa has a chance. At the odds, she’s worth a few bucks.
UFC Betting Pick: Vanessa Melo
Brandon Moreno vs Askar Askarov
UFC Fight Night 159 Odds: Brandon Moreno +155 / Askar Askarov -185
Brandon Moreno, although the ranked UFC veteran, should be up against it versus undefeated Askar Askarav. Askarav has an excellent ground game, 70% of his wins have come via submission, as well as a great stand up game. Moreno will find it difficult to keep this off the mat if Askarav wants to go there. Askar is a solid play to make it 11 in a row.
UFC Betting Pick: Askar Askarov
Carla Esparza vs Alexa Grasso
UFC Fight Night 159 Odds: Carla Esparza +110 / Alexa Grasso -140
The co-main event should be a good one with two very talented fighters stepping into the Octagon. Esparza is the veteran. At 14-6, she’s won 53% of her wins via decision, 20% via KO, and 27% via submission.
Grasso has a slight edge, though. She won her last bout, has a great standup game, and has a 4-inch height advantage. She also has a 3-inch reach advantage. Grasso figures to add a win to her 10-2 record.
UFC Betting Pick: Alexa Grasso
Yair Rodriguez vs Jeremy Stephens
UFC Fight Night 159 Odds: Yair Rodriguez -118 / Jeremy Stephens -112
We should throw records out when handicapping Rodriguez-Stephens. Jeremy Stephens’ record is downright mediocre at 28-16. There’s a reason he’s ranked eighth in the division, though. Jeremy is a tough dude with a great standup game. Not only that, but he’s fought the best he could during his career.
Rodriguez should be favored. In his last, he fought Chan Sun Jung. Losing on the scorecards in the last round, Yair provided an upward elbow that knocked out Jun with literally a second left in the final round.
Although Yair should be favored, he’s up against it versus Stephens. Stephens figures to outwork Rodriguez in the standup while preventing the fight from going to the mat. Jeremy gets the call.
UFC Betting Pick: Jeremy Stephens
UFC Fight Night 158 Cerrone vs Gaethje Odds, Preview & Picks
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The UFC takes its action back outside the United States this week as it visits Rogers Arena in beautiful Vancouver for a UFC Fight Night card featuring a non-title fight between very good lightweights in Donald Cerrone and Justin Gaethje. Here’s a look at that fight and the co-main event with MyBookie UFC Odds.
UFC Fight Night 158 Cerrone vs Gaethje Odds, Preview & Picks
When: Saturday, 8 PM ET (main card)
Where: Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Donald Cerrone (36-12) vs. Justin Gaethje (20-2)
Gaethje is -210 for this lightweight bout and Cerrone +170. It’s the second time the “Cowboy” Cerrone has fought for the lightweight title. In December 2015, he lost by first-round TKO via punches to Rafael dos Anjos. At 36, seems unlikely that Cerrone gets another shot.
He comes off a June 2019 loss to current No. 1 lightweight contender Tony Ferguson. It was stopped in Round 2 by the doctor. Cerrone’s right eye swelled shut after he made the mistake of blowing his bloody, battered nose. Fans threw things into the Octagon when the fight was ruled over because Cerrone could not continue. He was taken to a hospital afterward with what UFC President Dana White said was a broken right orbital bone. Ferguson was ahead on two of the three judges’ scorecards heading into the third round. Cerrone has been outlanded by his opponent in six of his past 10 fights, and he has absorbed 5.18 significant strikes per minute during the same stretch.
Cerrone competes in his 33rd UFC bout, tied with Jim Miller for the most appearances in company history. Cerrone’s 23 victories in UFC competition are most in company history. Cerrone’s 16 stoppage victories in UFC competition are most in company history. His seven knockout victories stemming from kicks in UFC competition are the most in company history. No one else has more than four.
Cerrone is a jiu-jitsu black belt under former UFC standout, Eliot Marshall. This explains his high submission rate of 47 percent and his having put away 17 opponents with chokes or joint locks.
Gaethje is off a first-round knockout of Edson Barboza. The bout started with both fighters exchanging brutal leg kicks and exchanging in the clinch and stand-up game. However, Barboza’s escape path took him right into the looping right hand of Gaethje to bring the fight to a close early. Gaethje is a former World Series of Fighting champion.
Through his first five bouts in the Octagon, he has landed 8.50 significant strikes per minute, which is not only the best rate among ranked lightweights, but also the best rate in UFC history. Gaethje lands 2.9 leg kicks per minute in UFC competition, the highest rate in company history. Gaethje is the only fighter in UFC history to land 100 or more significant strikes in each of his first three UFC fights.
However, Gaethje also takes a lot of punishment. In the UFC, he has absorbed a staggering 10.23 significant strikes per minute. This leaves him with a negative striking differential of -1.73. Gaethje’s two defeats were dealt by top-level competition, namely Dustin Poirier and Eddie Alvarez, both of whom managed to knock Gaethje out.
This should be a war and no way it goes to the judges!
Glover Teixeira (29-7) vs. Nikita Krylov (26-6)
In this matchup of light heavyweights, Krylov is -125 and Teixeira -105. Teixeira is near the end of a good career, while Krylov is on the way up and ranked 13th in the division. Thanks to visa issues, Teixeira got a late start to his UFC career, but he quickly lived up to the hype as soon as he made his way to the USA, rattling off enough dominant wins to earn a shot at Jon Jones, which Teixeira lost.
Teixeira’s 10 stoppage victories in UFC light-heavyweight competition are tied with Jones for most in divisional history. Teixeira’s five submission victories in UFC light-heavyweight competition are tied with Jones for most in divisional history. Like Teixeira, Krylov has also fought for a number of promotions, fighting in his home country of Ukraine for his first 15 bouts. When Krylov made his pro debut on July 27, 2012, Teixeira was less than three months away from his UFC 153 showdown with fellow countryman Fabio Maldonado. That was Teixeira’s 21st professional fight.
Krylov has earned all of his 25 career victories by stoppage. He’s finished 20 of those wins in Round 1. Krylov’s four submission victories in UFC light heavyweight competition are tied for third most in divisional history behind Jones (five) and Teixeira (five). Krylov’s 25-second knockout at UFC on FOX 10 marked the fastest finish stemming from a head kick in UFC history.
The man they call “The Miner” owns a total of 15 submission victories. In the UFC, Krylov has submitted Ovince St. Preux, Francimar Barroso, Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Stanislav Nedkov.
All six of Krylov’s losses have been stoppages. He has been tapped out five times and knocked out once. Teixeira, meanwhile, has been finished three times in his career.
Expert UFC Betting Picks
Gaethje by KO/TKO and Krylov by submission.
UFC Fight Night 137 Odds & Predictions – September 22
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Mixed martial arts is extremely popular in the United States, but the country that is likely the second-most into the sport is Brazil, which has supplied the UFC with more than a few legends. On Saturday, the UFC heads to Sao Paulo, Brazil, for UFC Fight Night 137: Santos vs Anders. The main card starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. Here’s a look at the top fights inside Ibirapuera Gymnasium alongside the UFC odds favorites to win.
UFC Fight Night 137 Odds & Predictions – September 22nd
When: September 22, 2018
Where: Ginásio do Ibirapuera, São Paulo, Brazil
Thiago Santos (18-6) vs Eryk Anders (11-1)
Santos is a -150 favorite for this light-heavyweight bout with Anders at +130. A light heavyweight bout between former top contender Glover Teixeira and Jimi Manuwa was expected to serve as the event headliner but Teixeira pulled out due to a shoulder injury. He was replaced by Santos. Then Manuwa pulled out just recently due to an undisclosed injury and was replaced by Anders.
A dynamic striker by nature, Santos can hit as heavy as anyone. With a background in capoeira, the Brazilian’s base shines through in his athletic movement. Almost shuffling laterally, Santos will smoothly switch his stances, fighting equally effective from either side. Anders, despite being a bit greener on paper, possesses attributes that can cause problems for Santos. A southpaw, Anders calmly comes forward and targets his opponent.
Both men are coming off wins that raised questions. Anders defeated Tim Williams with a head kick knockout a month ago, but prior to finishing Williams, he seemed to be struggling with the long reach of his opponent and arguably lost the first two rounds before the knockout. Santos defeated newcomer Kevin Holland and dominated but was unable to put him away despite gaining many advantageous positions throughout the fight. The fight before that was more worrying, though, Santos was knocked out by grappler David Branch, who isn’t known for his punching power.
Santos stepping in for an injured Teixeira on roughly one month’s notice isn’t too big of a deal. However, Anders is stepping up on just six days’ notice for this potential five-round affair.
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (22-8) vs Sam Alvey (33-10)
Alvey is -310 for another light-heavyweight fight with Nogueira at +250. A proficient amateur boxer, Nogueira was the 2006 and 2007 Brazilian Super Heavyweight Champion. He also won a bronze medal in the 2007 Pan American Games. He is the twin brother of Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira.
It’s been nearly two years since Nogueira last stepped into the Octagon. That fight was a complete disaster as Nogueira was brutalized by Ryan Bader. It was a truly lopsided affair with Nogueira’s only real offense coming in the opening seconds of the fight as he tagged Bader with a couple solid punches, but that only forced the former All-American wrestler to push for the takedown. Once Bader had Nogueira on the ground, it was an absolute mismatch as he pummeled the Brazilian with strikes after trapping him against the cage.
Nogueira was to face Jared Cannonier on Dec. 16, 2017, but he was pulled from the bout after being flagged by USADA for a potential violation. Earlier this year, Nogueira was cleared of intentionally using PEDs as Nogueira had allegedly taken a tainted supplement which contained hydrochlorothiazide from the compounding pharmacies in Brazil.
A professional MMA competitor since 2008, Alvey has also formerly competed for Bellator, King of the Cage, the MFC, and was a contestant on The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson. Alvey comes off a June split decision over Gian Villante. Alvey was getting outstruck by Villante in the first but put Villante on his backside in the final 10 seconds of the frame. Then he went on to take a split decision with a pair of 29-28 scores. Villante got a 29-28 dissenting scorecard of his own.
Outside of his notoriously heavy right hook, Alvey’s main attributes are toughness and some very solid takedown defense. When not landing his favorite counter, Alvey is notoriously low volume.
Renan Barao (34-6) vs Andre Ewell (13-4)
Barao is -130 for the bantamweight bout with Ewell at +110. Barao is a former UFC Bantamweight Champion. He held one of the longest unbeaten streaks in MMA history as following a loss in his professional debut, he recorded 32 straight fights without a loss (31 victories and 1 no contest) over a span of 9 years. However, those days are long gone as Barao has lost two straight and five of seven. Barao lace faced Brian Kelleher UFC on Fox 28 and lost the fight by unanimous decision.
Ewell has won four straight since a loss to Patrick Mix. An athletic bantamweight with power in his hands, Ewell has won eight of his previous nine bouts. Overall, Ewell has been able to lay waste to most of his opposition when able to keep the fight standing. This is a great chance for Ewell to add his name to that deep list of 135-pound talent with a victory over someone people have heard of even if it isn’t the Barao of old.
Expert Picks for UFC Fight Night 137
Take Santos, Alvey, and Ewell in a minor upset.
UFC Fight Night 136 Odds, Info & Expert Betting Predictions
Previous Betting News
Mark Hunt fights Aleksei Oleinik at UFC Fight Night this Saturday on Sep. 15. The fights take place in Moscow, Russia. Can Hunt beat Oleinik in his home country? Check out the MMA odds, analysis, and picks for UFC Fight Night Hunt vs Oleinik!
UFC Fight Night 136 Odds, Info & Expert Betting Predictions
When: Saturday, Sep. 15 at 2:00 pm ET
Where: Moscow, Russia
TV: UFC Network
Main Card
Alexey Kunchenko -495 vs Thiago Alves +370
At one time, Thiago Alves, 27-12, dominated non-UFC fighters like Alexey Kunchenko. Kunchenko, 18-0, isn’t your typical non-UFC fighter, though. Like most Russian MMA fighters, Kunchenko can wrestle, but he’s not one-dimensional. He’s got a great stand up that employs both Muay Thai kicks as well as traditional boxing. Kunchenko can shift from a wide-open kickboxing stance to a traditional left foot forward boxing stance. He should beat Alves on Saturday.
UFC Fight Night 136 Pick: Alexey Kunchenko
#12 Andrei Arlovski +110 vs #14 Shamil Abdurakhimov -130
UFC ranks Arlovski, 27-16, higher than Abdurakhimov, 18-4, even though Tai Tuivasa beat Arlovski at UFC 225 in June. Arlovski’s a decent grappler. That should help if the fight goes to the ground.
Abdurakhimov’s boxing skills are decent. He’s also a good wrestler. Wrestling’s different than grappling, which, although the underdog, should give the edge to Arlovski.
UFC Fight Night 136 Pick: Andrei Arlovski
#4 Jan Blachowicz -110 vs Nikita Krylov -110
UFC handicappers can’t choose between ranked Jan Blachowicz, 21-7, and Nikita Krylov. Blachowicz lands 3.79 strikes per minute. He’s only accurate around 50% of the time with his strikes. Krylov lands 6.55 significant strikes per minute.
Going back to 2017, Blachowicz has won 3 straight, including beating Devin Clark via Round 2 submission at UFC Fight Night on Oct. 21. UFC awarded Blachowicz Performance of the Night for submitting Clark.
Nikita Krylov, 24-5, hasn’t fought in UFC since 2016. That shouldn’t matter because he’s got incredible knockout power to go along with a good ground game. Krylov knocked out his last couple of opponents, Emanuel Newton and Fabio Maldonado.
The Ukranian fighter should do enough to beat Blachowicz on Sep. 15.
UFC Fight Night 136 Pick: Nikita Krylov
#8 Mark Hunt -220 vs Aleksei Oleinik +180
One of the most popular fighters at UFC, Mark Hunt, 13-12-1, faces a tall order beating Aleksi Oleinik. Curtis Blaydes beat Hunt this past February via unanimous decision at UFC 221. Blaydes took Hunt down 10 times. He out struck Hunt 56 to 14.
Blaydes also beat Aleksei Oleinik, 56-11. Oleinik lost via a doctor’s stoppage. Up until the loss, Oleinik had struck Blaydes 34 times while Blaydes had struck Oleinik 39 times. Oleinik returned from the loss to beat Junior Albini via submission.
Aleksei Oleinik has become a master of Sambo, the former Soviet Union’s mixed martial arts and wrestling hybrid fighting style made famous by Fedor Emelianenko. Hunt doesn’t often see Sambo fighters in the United States.
If Oleinik gets Hunt to the mat, he should win.
UFC Fight Night 136 Pick: Aleksei Oleinik
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