MyBookie’s UFC on ESPN Picks for Machado Garry vs Prates & Full Fight Night Breakdown

Get ready for a hard-hitting night in the Octagon with MyBookie’s expert takes on UFC on ESPN picks, featuring top matchups, sharp insights, and the latest betting UFC lines for the Machado Garry vs. Prates main event and prelim bouts.

MyBookie Picks for UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates Lines for Prelims and Main Bouts
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UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates: UFC on ESPN 66 : Ultimate Fighting Championship
Saturday, April 5th, 2025 at 9:00 pm ET | T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Betting Odds on UFC on ESPN Picks: Machado Garry vs Prates

Welterweights Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates throw down in Saturday night’s main event at the UFC Fight Night in Kansas City.

Machado Garry has the better record but the odds suggest a competitive bout.

Before Ian and Carlos get it on, Anthony Smith battles Zhang Mingyang and Michael Pereira takes on Abus Magomedov.

Which mixed martial artists reign supreme on April 5?

Check out betting UFC lines, analysis, and picks for this Saturday’s Fight Night at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.

Writer’s Picks for Prelim UFC Fights

Malcolm Wellmaker -115 vs Cameron Saimaan -105

Wellmaker has a 4 inches reach advantage and is taller than Saimaan, but the slight fave in this doesn’t have Saimaan’s UFC experience.

Wellmaker won a fight on Dana White’s Contender Series last August.

He hasn’t fought since.

Saimaan is on a 2-fight losing streak.

But his UFC experience is much greater than Wellmaker’s.

It’s a huge jump from Dana’s contender series to UFC.

Back Saimaan to teach Wellmaker a lesson.

UFC Pick: SCameron Saimaan

Da’Mon Blackshear -425 vs Alatengheili +315

Money continues to side with Blackshear, who has gone from a -350 opening favorite to a -425 chalk.

It makes sense.

Blackshear is 5 inches taller and has a massive reach advantage.

Da’Mon is also on a 2-match submission winning streak.

Alatengheili has won 3-of-4 but he’s 5-3 via TKO/KO.

Blackshear will go right after his opponent after the opening bell.

UFC Pick: SDa’Mon Blackshear

Matt Schnell -265 vs Jimmy Flick +215

Since the opening odds, Flick has attracted backing falling from a +260 dog to +215.

Flick is 0-6 via TKO/KO.

But he’s 15-0 via submission.

On Saturday, Jimmy battles a fellow Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu mixed martial artist in Matt Schnell.

So there are some things to like about Flick’s chances.

The underdog’s chances look even better after seeing that Schnell is 0-3 in his last 3 losing 2 by TKO/KO and a bout via submission.

Give the dog a chance to bite.

UFC Pick: SJimmy Flick

Writer’s Picks for UFC Bouts: Rundown on the Main Card Fights

Randy Brown -225 vs Nicolas Dalby +185

Underdog Nicolas Dalby is 4 inches shorter than his opponent and has a 3.5 inches reach disadvantage.

Other than the physical disadvantages, this sets up well for Dalby.

Nicolas is 7-0 via TKO/KO and 4-0 via submission.

Dalby lost his last but it was via split-decision.

Before the L, Dalby had been on a roll.

Randy Brown also lost his last.

Backing the dog makes sense.

UFC Pick: SNicolas Dalby

Michael Periera -125 vs Abus Magomedov +105

It’s not often Abus Magomedov goes off the underdog.

Odds movement suggests he may not go off the dog in this one.

Abus opened a +130 underdog and has since fallen to +105.

That’s a huge line move in a few days.

Periera remains the favorite but lost via knockout in his last.

Many believe Magomedov is facing the fave at the right time.

It’s difficult to argue against the massive line move.

UFC Pick: SAbus Magomedov

Giga Chikadze +150 vs David Onama -180

Here’s a bout on Saturday night where the line hasn’t moved at all.

Onama opened a -180 favorite and remains the -180 chalk.

Chikadze has lost 2-of-3, including his last.

So the lack of action on Giga makes sense.

Also, Onama is on a 3-match winning streak.

The favorite prevails.

UFC Pick: SDavid Onama

Anthony Smith +375 vs Zhang Mingyang -550

The line hasn’t moved on Smith versus Mingyang, either.

The chalk remains at a big number, -550, which suggests he has no trouble taking down Smith.

Mingyang won his first 2 UFC bouts via knockout.

Smith has lost 3-of-4.

This bout may not go to the second round.

UFC Pick: SZhang Mingyang

Ian Machado Garry -125 vs Carlos Prates +105

Welterweight – Main Event

The main event is as good as it gets.

Both Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates are in excellent form.

Machado Garry goes into this off a loss but it was via unanimous decision.

There’s a big difference between losing a UFC bout via decision and losing via TKO/KO or submission.

Decision losses often happen by the lack of a sound strategy.

Prates, though, is on fire.

Carlos hasn’t lost since 2019.

Since then, he’s won 11 straight.

Not only has Prates won 11 straight but he’s won 10 via knockout.

It’s tough to knock the slight dog after seeing how he viciously took out his last 3 UFC opponents.

Give Prates a chance to hand Machado Garry a second straight loss.

UFC on ESPN Picks: SCalos Prates

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