The highly anticipated UFC 309 event features a thrilling main event between UFC Heavyweight Champion Jon “Bones” Jones and Stipe Miocic, with the UFC betting lines already stirring up excitement. As Jones puts his title on the line, bettors are eager to dive into the odds and predictions for this high-stakes showdown.
From early odds to fight breakdowns, the UFC betting lines provide insight into who the oddsmakers favor as Jones and Miocic square off in a bout that could define the future of the UFC heavyweight division. Keep reading for expert analysis, free picks, and a closer look at the UFC 309 main card.
UFC 309 Betting Odds for the Jones vs Miocic Bout
UFC Showdown: Can Jones Dethrone the Former Champ?
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic – Ultimate Fighting Championship
Saturday, November 16th, 2024 at 10:00 pm ET at 10:00 pm ET | PPV – Madison Square Garden, New York, New York
Betting UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic
UFC Heavyweight Champion Jon “Bones” Jones puts his strap on the line at UFC 309 when Jones takes on Stipe Miocic in the main event.
Miocic is a massive underdog versus Jones, one of the best mixed martial artists in the sport’s history.
Before Miocic and Jones get it on, Charles Olivera throws down agaisnt Michael Chandler and Bo Nickal gets a chance to build his resume when the undefeated fighter takes on tough Paul Craig.
Which UFC fighters raise their arms in victory?
Check out UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the UFC 309 main card.
Writer’s Picks for UFC 309: Main Card Bouts
Mauricio Ruffy -1000 vs James Llontop +600
The 14-4 Llontop is 7-0 via technical knockout and knockout.
But Llontop got exposed a couple of fights ago versus Chris Padilla when suffering a first round submission loss.
Llontop has lost 2-of-4 via submission.
Ruffy is 10-1 is an exceptional stand up fighter.
He has never won a bout via submission nor has he lost via submission.
Ruffy’s terrific stand up skills should get the best of Llontop.
A first round knockout can happen.
UFC 309 Pick: Mauricio Ruffy
Viviane Araujo +230 vs Karine Silva -280
Since a 2022 loss to Alexa Grasso, Viviane Araujo hasn’t been at her best.
Araujo is 1-3 straight up in her last 4 bouts.
The good news for Arajuo is that she’s lost all 3 via decision.
Karine Silva is 18-4 and on a nice winning streak.
Silva won her last via decision but before that she had dominated her opponents on the mat forcing submission after submission.
The chalk is going to be tough to beat.
Back Silva to win this via a second or third round submission.
UFC 309 Pick: Karine Silva
Bo Nickal -1000 vs Paul Craig +600
No doubt that Paul Craig is going to suffer the same fate as every mixed martial artist that has taken on Bo Nickal.
Craig is a good MMA fighter, no doubt, but the 6-0 Nickal is UFC’s rising star.
Nickal is 2-0 via TKO/KO and 4-0 via submission.
There isn’t much Craig can do to force this to go to the scorecards.
Look for a knockout or submission prop on the chalk.
UFC 309 Pick: Bo Nickal
Charles Olivera -265 vs Michael Chandler +215
Chandler is a terrific mixed martial artist.
But he’s got a couple of physical disadvantages in this.
Olivera has a close to 3-inch reach advantage and is 2 inches taller.
Also, although Olivera has lost 2-of-3, the losses were against two of the best in the division, Islam Makhachev in a title fight and Armen Tsarukyan.
In the first bout, Olivera made quick work of Chandler, knocking him out in the second round.
Olivera makes it 2-0 via stoppage over his rival.
UFC 309 Pick: Charles Olivera
Jon Jones -725 vs Stipe Miocic +450
UFC Heavyweight Title
Nobody will ever question Stipe Miocic’s mixed martial arts abilities or his heart.
But it’s asking a lot for Miocic to step into the ring against a future hall of famer and take him down.
Jon Jones has lost a single bout during his career.
The loss wasn’t even really a loss since Jones got the “L” after a disqualification.
Jones has beaten the best of the best, including Daniel Cormier, Lyoto Machida, and Chael Sonnen.
Jones wins this.
Look for a knockout or submission prop before backing Bones on the moneyline.
UFC 309 Pick: Jone Jones
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^ Top^ TopThings got a bit heated at the UFC 309 press conference when Max Holloway was asked what he would do if Topuria pointed to the ground during their fight. Holloway replied, ‘Just tune in. I don’t think he deserves that kind of moment. He had that moment with Josh Emmett, and… pic.twitter.com/7PujYnZhLz
— Combat Sport Guys (@combatsportguys) October 24, 2024
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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway – A Deep Dive into the UFC Betting Lines
Previous Betting News
The highly anticipated UFC 308 is set to ignite the Octagon with a clash of titans between Ilia Topuria and Max Holloway. As fight night approaches, the UFC betting lines have generated significant buzz among MMA enthusiasts and sports bettors alike.
UFC 308 Betting Odds for the Topuria vs Holloway Bout
Underdog or Favorite: Where Should You Place Your Bet on Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.?
UFC 308: Periera vs Rountree Jr
Saturday, October 26th, 2024 at 2:00 pm ET at 10:00 pm ET | PPV – Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Betting UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway
Ultimate Fighting Championships head to Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates on Saturday for UFC 308.
The main event showcases Ilia Topuria versus Max Holloway for the UFC Featherweight strap.
Before Holloway and Topuria step into the Octagon, Robert Whittaker takes on Khamzat Chimaev an underdog.
Which fighters leave Abu Dhabi with wins?
Check out UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the main events at UFC 308.
Writer’s Picks for UFC 308: Main Card Bouts
Shara Magomedov -160 vs Armen Petrosyan +135
Underdog Amren Petrosyan has a decent 9-3 record.
Petrosyan is 6-1 via KO/TKO.
In his last, Petrosyan suffered his first submission loss.
Armen has zero submission victories.
Magomedov is 14-0.
He’s 11-0 via knockout or technical knockout.
The odds suggest a close fight.
Maybe it will be but there is value on the chalk at -160.
UFC 308 Pick: Shara Magomedov
Lerone Murphy -290 vs Dan Ige +235
Ige has lost 2-of-3, which explains why a mixed martial artist of his caliber is such a big time dog.
Another reason that explains why Ige is the +235 underdog is that Lerone Murphy is 14-0-1 with a draw.
Murphy beat Edson Barboza in his last.
Murphy has some wrestling skill but what he’s terrific at is tying up his opponents and then striking with elbows, knees, and kicks.
The fave gets it done.
UFC 308 Pick: Lerone Murphy
Magomed Ankalaev -380 vs Aleksandar Rakic +280
Aleksandar Rakic is on a 2-match losing streak.
The losses occurred two years apart.
Rakic fell to Jan Blachowicz in 2022 and then lost to Jiri Prochazka in 2024.
Ankalaev is 19-1-1 and knocked out Johnny Walker in his last.
The -380 favorite should have no trouble securing an early round knockout victory.
UFC 308 Pick: Magomed Ankalaev
Robert Whitaker +200 vs Khamzat Chimaev -245
Whittaker is an accomplished mixed martial artist with a lot of skill.
He’s also won 3-of-4 and 2 straight.
But the +200 dog is up against it versus one of the best MMA fighters on the planet.
Khamzat Chimaev does everything well.
Chimaev has gone 13-0 overall, 6-0 via KO/TKO, and 5-0 via submission.
In his last, Chimaev beat Kamara Usman via majority decision.
Chimaev takes his record to 14-0.
Ilia Topuria -245 vs Max Holloway +200
UFC Featherweight Title Fight
Max Holloway is in great form.
The only loss he has had in the past two years was versus Alex Volkanovski in 2022.
Since then, Holloway has beaten Arnold Allen, Chan Sung Jung, and Justin Gaethje.
But Ilia Topuria is 15-0 and knocked out Volkanovski in his last to win the title.
Topuria is 5-0 via knockout and 8-0 via submissions.
He gets the win on Saturday.
UFC 308 Pick: Ilia Topuria
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UFC 307 Betting Odds: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. – What the UFC Betting Lines Say
Previous Betting News
As UFC 307 approaches, the excitement builds around the UFC betting lines for the main event featuring reigning champion Alex Pereira facing off against Khalil Rountree Jr. in Salt Lake City. This clash promises to be a thrilling encounter, as both fighters have shown their prowess in the Octagon.
UFC 307 Betting Odds for the Periera vs Rountree Jr. Bout
Underdog or Favorite: Where Should You Place Your Bet on Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.?
UFC 307: Periera vs Rountree Jr
Saturday, October 5th, 2024at 10:00 pm ET | PPV – Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
Betting UFC 307: Periera vs Rountree Jr.
In UFC 307’s main event on Saturday night in Salt Lake City, champion Alex Pereira steps into the Octagon versus Khalil Rountree Jr.
Pereira is a solid -500 favorite to retain his title.
Before Pereira and Rountree throw down, Raquel Pennington puts her bantamweight strap on the line versus Juliana Pena.
Also on Saturday, Jose Aldo returns to the Octagon in a bout against Mario Bautista.
Keep reading for UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the main card bouts at UFC 307.
Writer’s Picks for UFC 307: Main Card Bouts
Roman Dolidze +125 vs Kevin Holland -150
In his last, Dolidze broke a 2-match losing streak.
The +125 underdog in this had fallen to Marvin Vettori and Nassourdine Imavov but against Anthony Smith, Dolidze got back on the winning track, beating Smith via decision.
Favorite Kevin Holland also broke a 2-match losing streak in his last when submitting Michal Oleksiejczuk.
Holland won’t have as easy of a time submitting Dolidze.
Backing the underdog makes sense.
UFC 307 Pick: Roman Dolidze
Ketlen Viera +750 vs Kayla Harrison -1500
Ketlen Viera is a huge underdog versus Kayla Harrison.
At first glance, it doesn’t make sense.
Viera is in decent form when winning 3-of-4.
The lone loss came via split decision versus champion Raquel Pennington.
Harrison has won 4-of-5.
She has limited UFC experience.
In her last, though, Harrison submitted Holly Holm in the second round.
The favorite takes this and the win should happen before the final bell.
UFC 307 Pick: Kayla Harrison
Jose Aldo +120 vs Mario Bautista -140
Legend Jose Aldo has lost just 8 fights during his illustrious career.
Aldo has 32 wins. The living legend has won 4-of-5 with the lone loss arriving via decision versus the talented Merab Dvalishvili.
Mario Bautista is 14-2.
Bautista’s last loss came in 2021.
Aldo doesn’t often lose to fighters and when he does they’re usually the best in the division.
Give Jose a chance to grab win 33.
UFC 307 Pick: Jose Aldo
Raquel Pennington -175 vs Julianna Pena +145
UFC Women’s Bantamweight Title
Pennington versus Pena should be a fantastic bout.
Pennington, the champ, has won 6 straight.
5 of the 6 victories came via decision.
Julianna Pena hasn’t fought since 2022 when she lost to Amanda Nunes.
The defeat came after Pena had upset Nunes in the previous bout.
Pena is a terrific fighter but the layoff won’t do her any favors.
The layoff is more pronounced because Pennington is equally gifted.
The champ retains her belt.
UFC 307 Pick: Raquel Pennington
Alex Pereira -500 vs Khalil Rountree Jr. +350
UFC Light Heavyweight Title
Champion Alex Pereira has a 3 inches height and a 2.5 inches reach advantage over Khalil Rountree Jr.
Pereira has fought the best of the best, going toe to toe against Jiri Prochazka twice, Jamahal Hill, and Israel Adesanya in 4 of his last 5 bouts.
Rountree Jr. is a good mixed martial artist and hasn’t lost in a while.
But this is a major step up in class from his recent opponents.
Pereira wins via early round knockout.
UFC 307 Pick: Alex Pereira
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UFC 306 Betting Odds: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili – The Ultimate Guide to UFC Betting Lines
Previous Betting News
As UFC 306 approaches, fans and bettors alike are eagerly examining the UFC betting lines for the highly anticipated O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili bout. With bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley set to face Merab Dvalishvili, this matchup pyou will wan to bet on. Check out our analysis, get the latest UFC odds, and free picks for this exciting fight night.
UFC 306 Betting Odds for the O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili Bout
Don’t Bet on UFC 306 Before Reading This: Key Insights on O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili!
UFC 306: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili | Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Saturday, September 14th, 2024 at 10:00 pm ET | PPV
Sphere, Paradise, Nevada, United States
Early Betting Riyadh Season Noche UFC
One of the UFC’s most popular fighters is back in action on Saturday when bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley steps into the Octagon to take on Merab Dvalishvili.
O’Malley is the favorite to retain his belt.
Before O’Malley and Dvalishvili throw down, Alexa Grasso goes against Valentina Schevchenko for the UFC Women’s Flyweight Title.
Which mixed martial artists leave the Octagon winners?
Check out UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the main card at UFC 306 on Saturday night.
Writer’s Picks for UFC 306: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili Main Card Bouts
Ronaldo Rodriguez -140 vs Ode’ Osbourne +110
+110 underdog Ode’ Osbourne has a 1-inch height advantage.
The height advantage isn’t significant but Osbourne’s reach advantage is.
Osbourne has 7 inches on Rodriguez in reach.
However, Rodriguez is 7-0 via TKO/KO and 5-0 via submission victories.
Osbourne has lost 3-of-4 and is 4-4 via submission wins.
The chalk gets this fight to the mat and then forces a tap out.
UFC 306 Pick: Ronaldo Rodriguez
Daniel Zellhuber -235 vs Esteban Ribovics +190
Although both have decent records, Ribovics is 13-1 and Zellhuber is 14-1, it’s obvious why the odds have landed the way they did.
Zellhuber is 3 inches taller and has an 8-inch reach advantage.
The -235 favorite has also won 3 straight and 4-of-5.
But although Zellhuber has the advantages, Ribovics might have a slightly better high kick.
That could be the difference in this.
Taking a shot on the dog makes sense.
UFC 306 Pick: Esteban Ribovics
Brian Ortega +150 vs Diego Lopes -180
Brian Ortega hasn’t fought since February this year.
When he did, it was versus Yair Rodriguez, one of the top mixed martial artists in the featherweight division.
Ortega’s submission victory over Rodriguez is a sign he has a chance versus Lopes.
At the end, though, Lopes should lift his arms in victory.
Diego is on a 4-match winning streak.
He has a height advantage and is a ridiculous 10-2 via TKO/KO and an even more ridiculous 12-0 via submissions.
The chalk prevails.
UFC 306 Pick: Diego Lopes
Alexa Grasso -140 vs Valentina Schevchenko +120
UFC Women’s Flyweight Title
Champ Alexa Grasso faces a tough challenger in Valentina Schevchenko.
The +120 underdog improved in the second bout against Grasso, forcing a draw.
In the first bout, Grasso submitted Shevchenko.
So if Valentina takes another forward step in the third bout between these two, she’ll score the victory.
This could go either way.
For now, that makes the fighter offering the better odds, Schevchenko, the play.
UFC 306 Pick: Valentina Shevchenko
Sean O’Malley -135 vs Merab Dvalishvili +115
UFC Bantamweight Title
Dvalishvili is a terrific mixed martial artist.
He’s got a 17-4 record and has fought the best in the division.
Most of Dvalishvili’s victories, though, have come via unanimous decision.
Trying to pile up points against Sean O’Malley is going to be tough.
The favorite is taller by 5 inches and has a 4 inches reach advantage.
It’s difficult seeing Dvalishvili doing enough to win this.
At the odds, O’Malley is a great bet.
UFC 306 Pick: Sean O’Malley -135
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UFC 211 Miocic Vs Dos Santos 2 Main Card Predictions
Previous Betting News
We are now just a couple of days away from UFC 211 at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, and the main card for this event is one that has fight fans buzzing. Every fight on this cad has the potential to be a good one, with many of the fights coming with implications for the weight class. There are 5 fights listed on the main card, so let’s take a closer look at them all, including the rematch between Miocic and Dos Santos. Find out more about the updated UFC betting odds here.
Analyzing The UFC 211 Miocic Vs Dos Santos 2 Main Card Predictions
Henry Cejudo Vs Sergio Pettis
Cejudo entered the flyweight division with a bang, winning his way to a title fight with Demetrious Johnson in April of last year. It did not end well for Cejudo, though, as Johnson once again proved that he is the class of this division. This will be another tough match-up for him, as Pettis is in great form, winning each of his last three fights. The turning point in this fight could come from Pettis’ inability to defend the takedown, which Cejudo is a master of. I’m going with Cejudo to win this one.
Frankie Edgar Vs Yair Rodriguez
It’s a battle of experience versus youth in this one, with these fighters very much at different stages in their career. Rodrigues is 11 years younger than Edgar, and is on the brink of a title fight. At 35, Edgar is in the twilight of his fighting career, but he is a wily veteran who is very tough to beat. It’s worth remembering that Edgar has never been stopped in his career, and if this one goes the distance, he may just find a way to use his experience to his advantage.
Demian Maia Vs Jorge Masvidal
You need to feel a little bit of sympathy for Maia, as he was passed up in favor of Stephen Thompson when Tyrone Woodley’s last title challenger was selected. At 39 years of age, Maia is running out of time, but is still on fire, having won 6 straight. Masvidal is moving up from the lightweight division, but has proven that he is willing to go toe to toe with the best in this sport. This promises to be a great fight, and I am giving the slight edge to Maia.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk Vs Jessica Andrade
With Ronda Rousey now seemingly out of the sport, there is a space waiting to be filled by a dominant female fighter, and that lady may well be Polish sensation Joanna Jedrzejczyk. She is unbeaten in 10 fights, and will defend her strawweight crown against Jessica Andrade, an incredibly talented fighter who comes in with a 16-5 record, with 11 of those wins coming via KO or submission. Another excellent match-up, but I like Jedrzejczyk to hold on to the title.
Stipe Miocic Vs Junior Dos Santos
These are two men who know all about power and standing toe to toe in a fight. Miocic, the current champion, is going to feel as though he has something to prove here, as Dos Santos was the last man to beat him in the octagon. Injuries and uneven performances have slowed down Dos Santos since that battle, though, and he looks to be up against it here. While Dos Santos may well rise up for this one, I believe it will be Miocic who gets the win.
UFC 211 Main Card Betting Predictions & Picks
Previous Betting News
How strong is Saturday’s UFC 211 card from the American Airlines Center in Dallas? In his last fight, Eddie Alvarez was the headliner of a big card as he defended his lightweight title against Conor McGregor. Alvarez lost and now he’s not even part of the main card Saturday when he faces Dustin Poirier. And it’s Part II between Stipe Miocic and Junior Dos Santos for the Heavyweight Championship. Here’s a glance at the five main card events, which should begin at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per- view.
UFC 211 Main Card Betting Predictions & Picks
Stipe Miocic vs. Junior dos Santos
Miocic, a -140 favorite, puts his heavyweight title on the line in a rematch vs. dos Santos, himself a former heavyweight champ. Their first matchup at UFC on FOX 13 in 2014 was a back-and-forth battle that ended in a close but unanimous decision for the Brazilian. Now the tables have turned, as Miocic is the champion and hopes to retain his belt against the last person to defeat him. In the first meeting, all three judges sided with dos Santos: 48-47, 49-46 and 49-46. Both men had their moments in the fifth despite being bloodied and exhausted, closing out a memorable 25-minute confrontation. Miocic (16-2) would go on to win his next four contests, including a first-round knockout over Fabricio Werdum to claim the title last May. Dos Santos (18-4) has been limited to just two appearances since that 2014 win over Miocic, due to injury.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. Jessica Andrade
The co-main event features Jedrzejczyk defending her women’s strawweight title a fifth time and she’s a -160 favorite. Jedrzejczyk (13-0) has been dominant since signing with the UFC in 2014. She is 7-0 inside the Octagon, with three knockouts. Most rank her the No. 2 pound-for- pound female fighter in the world, behind only Cris “Cyborg” Justino. Andrade (16-5) is a perfect 3-0 since dropping to the 115-pound division last year. She is coming off a decision win over Angela Hill in February.
Demian Maia vs. Jorge Masvidal
This welterweight bout between former UFC middleweight championship challenger Maia (24-6) and Masvidal (32-11) was originally targeted to headline UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov. However, in late February it was announced that the bout was moved to this event. Maia, who challenged unsuccessfully for the middleweight belt in 2010, has found a new life at welterweight, where the 39-year-old Brazilian grappler had won his past six fights. Three of his past four victories – over notables Neil Magny, Matt Brown and Carlos Condit – have come via submission. Masvidal, the former Strikeforce and Bellator fighter, has earned three consecutive victories and is the -120 favorite.
Frankie Edgar vs. Yair Rodriguez
The 35-year- old Edgar, a former lightweight champion, underwent surgery on a torn groin muscle in January. He has won six of his past seven fights, with the only loss coming in an interim title fight against Jose Aldo at UFC 200 last July. Rodriguez (10-1) has stormed through the featherweight division since debuting with the UFC in 2014. He’s 6-0 inside the Octagon, with two knockout wins. Edgar is a -140 favorite.
Henry Cejudo vs. Sergio Pettis
It’s a flyweight bout between Americans. Cejudo (10-2) is looking to turn around a two-fight skid, which began last April when he suffered a TKO loss to defending champion Demetrious Johnson. He then dropped a split decision to Joseph Benavidez in December. Pettis (15-2) is riding a three-fight win streak, but has not yet fought the quality of competition Cejudo has. Pettis is the younger brother of former lightweight champion Anthony Pettis.
UFC 210 Main Card Betting Picks
Previous Betting News
A highly-anticipated rematch for the light-heavyweight championship of the world headlines Saturday’s UFC 210 card in Buffalo, N.Y. The event is the first to be held in Buffalo since the state of New York lifted its ban on professional mixed martial arts in early 2016. Here’s a look at the main fights and their MMA odds.
UFC 210 Main Card Betting Picks
Daniel Cormier vs. Anthony Johnson
Cormier (18-1) is the light heavyweight champ but a +100 underdog, while Johnson (22-5) is the No. 1 contender and a -120 favorite. These two met in May 2015 at UFC 187 with Cormier winning the fight and the vacant title via submission in the third round. Johnson was originally supposed to challenge longtime champion Jon Jones on that card, but Jones was pulled and stripped of the title after he was arrested on a hit-and- run charge. Cormier replaced Jones on the card and submitted Johnson via rear-naked choke in the third round. He didn’t have it easy against Johnson, getting knocked down by an overhand right and taking several kicks to the head. This rematch was originally scheduled to take place at UFC 206, but Cormier pulled out due to a groin injury and the bout was scrapped. Johnson has been on a roll since falling to Cormier. In a little more than seven minutes of Octagon time, “Rumble” has dispatched Jimi Manuwa, Ryan Bader and Glover Teixeira. Pick: Johnson.
Chris Weidman vs. Gegard Mousasi
It’s a middleweight bout with Mousasi at -120 and Weidman at +100. After winning his first 13 career fights, Weidman found himself twice on the wrong end of bad results. He is looking to regroup after suffering back-to- back losses. He lost his title to Luke Rockhold in a fourth-round TKO in late 2015, then suffered a third-round TKO loss to Yoel Romero at UFC 205 in November, his only appearance in 2016. Mousasi is on the final fight of his UFC contract. He is riding a four-fight winning streak and has knocked out three consecutive opponents. He avenged a September 2015 loss to Urijah Hall last time out with a first-round TKO. Pick: Mousasi.
Cynthia Calvillo vs. Pearl Gonzalez
It’s a women’s strawweight bout with Calvillo at -265 and Gonzalez +215. Calvillo (4-0) is coming off a first-round submission win over Amanda Bobby Cooper earlier this month at UFC 209. The California native has finished all but one of her career victories. Gonzalez (6-1) was recently signed by the UFC and is on a six-fight winning streak. She has not fought since a second-round submission win over Katie Klimansky-Casimir in April 2016. Pick: Calvillo.
Thiago Alves vs. Patrick Cote
Welterweight matchup with Cote at -165 and Alves at +140. Following an unsuccessful cut down to the land of 155 pounds, the one-time UFC title challenger Alves returns to the welterweight division to take on Canadian veteran Cote. Alves (21-11) will look to rebound after losing back-to- back fights against Carlos Condit and Jim Miller in his most recent outings. Cote (23-10) has won five of his seven fights since making the drop from middleweight in 2013. The pick: Alves.
Will Brooks vs. Charles Oliveira
Lightweight bout with Brooks at -270 and Oliveira at +220. Brooks (18-2), a former Bellator champ, is coming off just the second loss of his career. He succumbed by second-round TKO against Alex Oliveira at UFC Fight Night 96 in October in a fight in which the Brazilian came in significantly overweight. Charles Oliveira (21-7) will enter the event having lost three of his past four fights. Those losses came against elite competition in Ricardo Lamas, Anthony Pettis and Max Holloway. The pick: Brooks.
UFC 210 Main Event Prediction
Previous Betting News
It stands to reason that when you have a great title fight, the demand from the public for more, not to mention the money that can be made, will make a rematch inevitable. That is what we will get on Saturday, April 8 at the KeyBank Arena in Buffalo when Daniel Cormier and Anthony Johnson lock horns for the second time. Their first fight was a great one, and it’s fair to say that either man could have come out on top. Johnson had Cormier down with a stunning strike in that previous battle, but Cormier was able to use his brilliant ground game to get back on top and deliver the win via submission.
The contrasting styles of these two fighters is what makes this such a great match-up, and this one promises to be a deserving main event for what is a very solid main card at UFC 210. Let’s now take a closer look at both fighters, and end it all up with an UFC betting prediction as to how this one might play out.
Here’s A Closer Look At The UFC 210 Main Event Prediction
Fighters: Daniel Cormier Vs Anthony Johnson Where: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY When: Saturday, April 8 TV: PPV UFC Odds: TBAWhy Bet on Daniel Cormier
At 38 years of age, Daniel Cormier is starting to get up there in years, but is still definitely one of the best fighters in the Light Heavyweight division. He comes into this fight with an 18-1 record, with that lone defeat coming at the hands of Jon Jones. Since that loss, Cormier has reeled off three straight wins, including the takedown of Anthony Johnson in their last meeting. It’s fair to say that Cormier is at his best when he can get opponents to the mat, although he also has excellent striking power and accuracy. It was getting Johnson to the mat in the first meeting that saved Cormier, as he had been put down earlier with a vicious strike. Cormier can beat opponents in several different ways, as he is a balanced, versatile fighter, but the mat is where he needs to be here, as that is Johnson’s weak spot.
Why Bet on Anthony Johnson
Johnson is a fighter who brings a ton of power to the Octagon. He has a record of 22-5, with no less than 73% of those wins coming via knockout. It certainly looked for a moment as though that power was going to work in his favor the last time out versus Cormier, but his main weakness was exposed when he ended up on the mat. If Johnson can steer clear of the takedown and keep the fight more like a boxing match, that would definitely play into his strengths. If he loses this one, he may need to wait a while for another shot at the title, so expect him to be ready.
Expert Prediction
Johnson will have learned from his last meeting with Cormier, and will use his considerable reach advantage to keep his opponent at bay. I think he might just win by KO late in this about.
Cormier vs. Johnson UFC 210 Prediction, Odds & TV Info
Previous Betting News
If you plan on betting on the intriguing UFC 210 headline fight between Daniel Cormier and Anthony Johnson and you want to know which fighter is offering the most value in their upcoming matchup, then look no further. The expert MMA betting odds analysis and prediction that you’re about to get is sure to please. Now, let’s get started.
Analyzing The Cormier vs. Johnson UFC 210 Prediction, Odds & TV Info
When: Saturday, April 8 2017 at 7:00 PM ETWhere: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, New York
TV: PPV
UFC 201 Odds: Daniel Cormier -115 / Anthony Johnson -115
Why Bet on Daniel Cormier Odds at -115
Daniel Cormier has won three consecutive fights since suffering his only career loss via unanimous decision against Jon Bones Jones at UFC 182 in January of 2015. Cormier beat Anthony Johnson via a third round submission (rear naked choke) in his first bout following that loss at UFC 187 in May of 2015 to win the then vacant UFC Light Heavyweight Championship in a Performance of the Night outing.
Since then, Cormier has beaten Alexander Gustafsson via split decision
at UFC 192 in October of 2015 before beating the legendry Anderson Silva in a non-title bout via unanimous decision at UFC 200 last July. Cormier has recorded six wins via KO, five by way of submission and seven via decision.
Why Bet on Anthony Johnson Odds at -115
Anthony Johnson clearly didn’t like losing to Daniel Cormier the last time they met. Since then, Johnson has beaten Jimi Manuwa at UFC 191 in September of 2015 via second round knockout, before following that up with first round KO victories over Ryan Bader (punches) at UFC on FOX in January of 2016 and Glover Teixeira at UFC 202 (punch) last August. Johnson has recorded 16 of his career wins by way of knockout and six via submission while suffering one KO loss and four via submission.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
Daniel Johnson may have one career loss to Johnson’s five, but he hasn’t looked particularly god in any of his last three fights and many believe he lost to Alexander Gustafsson on their split decision at UFC 192.
Conversely, Anthony Johnson has been fighting like a man possessed since losing to Cormier, leading me to believe he’s not only looking to extract some big-time revenge, but that he’s going to get it. Lest anyone forget, when the two met in their first fight, Johnson became the first man to floor Cormier in a UFC bout when he dropped the current champ early in the opening round.
The pair were scheduled to rematch at UFC 206 in Toronto earlier this year, but Cormier was forced to withdraw from the fight due to a groin injury. For this bout, I’m thinking the odds surrounding this title fight say it all. Despite being the reigning light heavyweight champion, Daniel Cormier is not listed as a favorite and there’s a reason for that, seeing as how he hasn’t been very impressive recently while Anthony Johnson has been absolutely phenomenal in his last three fights.
Not only that, but Anthony Johnson is now, the more physically imposing specimen in this bout and has the height and reach advantage in this matchup. Believe it or not, Johnson also has the power advantage with a 73.0% knockout rate as compared to Cormier’s 39% KO rate. Daniel Cormier doesn’t look like he’s the fittest fighter in the world and I believe he’s going to lose to Anthony Johnson via a third round KO.
My prediction is Anthony Johnson via Third-Round KO
UFC 210 Main Card Picks
Previous Betting News
UFC 210 is set to go on Saturday, April 8 at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY, and we have a fantastic main card to look forward to. The final piece of that card was put in place recently with the addition of the Cynthia Calvillo vs. Pearl Gonzalez fight, which means we now have a total of 5 great bouts on the main card. We will have an in-depth look at the Cormier/Johnson headliner in another piece, but for now, let’s quickly break down all 5 main car battles, making a few predictions as we go. Find the latest UFC betting odds here.
Here’s A Closer Look At The UFC 210 Main Card Picks
Will Brooks Vs Charles Oliveira
Oliveira is coming into this one in need of a win having lost 3 of his last 4 fights, including a November tilt versus Ricardo Lamas. To get the win, Oliveira is going to need to get Brooks to the mat, as over 60% of Oliveira’s 21 career wins have come via submission. Brooks is 18-2 in his career, but lost his last bout in November. This is a guy who makes a habit of fights that go the distance, and I like him to get the decision here.
Thiago Alves Vs Patrick Cote
This is a match-up that is sure to look more like a boxing match than a UFC fight, as both of these guys are better on their feet than they are on the mat. Both men possess knockout power, which makes this one unlikely to go the distance. Alves has been a little inconsistent in his recent matches, while Cote has the edge in striking accuracy. I like Cote to come up with the killer punch later on in the fight.
Cynthia Calvillo Vs Pearl Gonzalez
This one was added late to the main card, but it looks like a match-up worthy for such high billing. Calvillo is 4-0 in here UFC career, and has already shown that she has some real power. Gonzalez comes into this fight with a 6-1 record, and while more comfortable on the mat, she has the skills to win in several different ways. Calvillo is the hot fighter right now, and I like her to get the win in this one.
Gegard Mousasi Vs Chris Weidman
These are a pair of fighters heading in very different directions right now. Weidman (13-2) has lost back to back bouts, with the latest defeat coming at the hands of Yoel Romero in November. Mousasi (41-6-2) is a man in form, winning 4 in a row and 6 of his last 7, with each of his last 3 wins coming via KO. If Weidman can get Mousasi on the canvas, he could steal this one in front of his home New York crowd.
Daniel Cormier Vs Anthony Johnson
It’s the rematch that we have all been waiting for, with Cormier looking to get revenge on Johnson after falling by submission in their last fight. It’s easy to forget that Cormier put Johnson down with a powerful strike in that one, but failed to finish the job.
MMA Top Expert Picks For UFC 209
Previous Betting News
With the UFC back in action with this weekend’s UFC 209 Woodley vs. Thompson 2 card, it’s time to offer up a trio of expert picks on the top three fights on the intriguing fight card.
With that sad and fight night quickly approaching, let’s get started with the updated MMA betting odds here.
Analyzing The MMA Top Expert Picks For UFC 209
Tyron Woodley (16-3-1) vs. Stephen Thompson (13-1-1)
Analysis: Tyrone Woodley used a smart game plan the first time he faced Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson and exposed Thompson’s lack of offense early on. Woodley also nearly finished the bout with a powerful strike that knocked Thompson back against the cage and on the ground where he nearly finished off Thompson with a guillotine choke hold.
I’m going on record to say that if Tyrone Woodley can get Stephen Thompson to the ground, which I believe he will, then it’s going to be lights out this time around. However, if Thompson can keep this fight upright, he could expose Woodley with his superior kick-boxing skills.
I believe that Woodley is going to see where he failed to finish off Thompson in their last fight and that he’ll make a few changes to make sure he finishes this time around. Tyrone Woodley is the bigger, much stronger fighter in this matchup and the only one with one-strike knockout power. Stephen Thompson won’t go down easily, but he will go down, in a third round KO.
Pick: Tyrone Woodley via Third Round KO
Khabib Nurmagomedov (24-0) vs. Tony Ferguson (23-3)
Analysis: While I really like Tony Ferguson and believe he’s going to give Khabib Nurmagomedov a really tough way to go in this bout, in the end just can’t go against the undefeated title hopeful. I know Ferguson represents arguably the stiffest test of his UFC career, but Nurmagomedov has been able to figure out each of his eight UFC opponents and I believe he will figure out Ferguson as well.
While Ferguson is undeniably one of the greatest wrestlers on the face of the planet, Nurmagomedov is the more versatile fighter with more tricks in his bag. I like Khabib Nurmagomedov to get the third round submission win.
Pick: Khabib Nurmagomedov via third round submission
Rashad Evans (24-5-1) vs. Daniel Kelly (12-1)
I’m a huge Rashad Evans fan, but the fact of the matter is that he’s receding faster than LeBron James’ hairline. Oops, my fault, James has his hairline magically back this season, but Evans is still fading like a pair of well-worn blue jeans. I know Dan Kelly isn’t exactly a spring chicken, but he’s been the more consistent fighter in recent times and has the big edge in grappling. Kelly wins via third round KO.
Pick: Daniel Kelly via Third Round KO
UFC 209 Main Card Betting Odds & Predictions
Previous Betting News
Arguably the best mixed martial arts card of the year thus far is on tap Saturday night from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas with two championship bouts: welterweight champion Tyron Woodley and No. 1 contender Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson as well as an interim lightweight title fight between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Tony Ferguson. Let’s take a look at the current MMA odds for the event.
UFC 209 Main Card Betting Odds & Predictions
In the Woodley-Thompson main event, the challenger is a -150 favorite on MMA odds. The over/under is 2.5 rounds for the scheduled five-rounder. In their first meeting at UFC 205 on Nov. 12, Woodley and Thompson engaged in a memorable Fight of the Night battle that left fans at Madison Square Garden on their feet and three judges unable to come up with a winner. It was ruled a majority draw, with Woodley thus keeping his title.
Thompson emerged as a contender on the strength of seven straight wins in one of the toughest divisions in the game. Woodley had to deal with Thompson’s awkward and fight-finishing striking, but he passed the test. Woodley had a tremendous opening round, scoring a takedown and working Thompson over from top position with a mix of powerful punches and elbows.
In the second and third, Thompson took over, as he kept Woodley backpedaling, often against the fence, and darting in and out with well-mixed combos. But in the fourth round, Woodley landed a right hook to the forehead of Thompson that rocked the challenger, who was able to survive the ensuing onslaught as well as a deep guillotine submission.
After inexplicably pulling ring announcer Bruce Buffer out of the cage, the commission incorrectly read the fight result as a split-decision victory for Woodley. But the scores — a pair of 47-47s and a 48-47 for Woodley — was a majority draw. Woodley (16-5- 1) stayed unbeaten in his past four at 3-0- 1 and Thompson (13-1- 1) unbeaten in his past eight and 7-0- 1.
The UFC lightweight champion is Conor McGregor, but it’s not clear when or even if he will return to the UFC. McGregor is taking an extended break as he awaits the birth of his first child. McGregor has also demanded a meeting with the UFC’s new ownership at WME-IMG as he wants a piece of the company. Then you have the whole Floyd Mayweather fight potential.
Nurmagomedov (24-0) is coming off a one-sided submission victory over Michael Johnson at UFC 205 in November. Ferguson (22-3) is riding a nine-fight winning streak, including a decision win over former lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos. Nurmagomedov is a -200 favorite for Saturday with an over/under of 3.5 rounds. I actually think he would beat McGregor. Nurmagomedov and Ferguson had been scheduled to fight twice previously, but each guy had to pull out due to injury.
Also on the card is a heavyweight fight between third-ranked Alistair Overeem (41-15) and No. 8 Mark Hunt (12-11- 1). Hunt has not fought since a decision loss to Brock Lesnar at UFC 200 on July 9. After that bout, it came to light Lesnar had failed multiple drug tests around the event, including one taken June 28. Overeem is coming off a first-round knockout loss to Stipe Miocic in a heavyweight title fight at UFC 203 in September. Before the loss, Overeem had won four consecutive bouts. Overeem beat Hunt way back in 2008 in Japanese promotion DREAM in 2008.
UFC 209 Main Card Betting Predictions:
Woodley, Nurmagomedov and Overeem are your winners. None are likely going to points. will have a full preview up for this one in the next day or two.
UFC 208 Betting Preview And Picks
Previous Betting News
2016 was a big year for UFC, and they are looking to keep the action rolling by giving us a pretty stacked card for UFC 208, which is scheduled to go this coming Saturday, February 11 in New York. There are a lot of great fights to pick from, so let’s quickly run down the card and take a look at the UFC betting odds for each bout as we go.
UFC 208 Betting Preview And Picks
Phillippe Nover (+170) vs Rick Glenn (-200)
Glenn is coming off the back of a bit of a beating at the hands of Evan Dunham, but in fairness, he was not fighting in his preferred weight class in that one. He is back in the 145-pound class for this bout, and should have little difficulty taking care of Nover.
Roan Carneiro (+225) vs Ryan LaFlare (-275)
These two welterweights were once top contenders, but now find their careers on the downside. LaFlare has the definite age advantage over 38-year old Carneiro, and while the older fighter is the better finisher, it should be LaFlare who wins by decision.
Jarred Brooks (-110) vs Ian McCall (-110)
McCall’s career has stalled a little because of injury, but he is still very much considered a contender for the flyweight crown. His original opponent, Neil Seery, pulled out due to a family bereavement, and Brooks serves as a tougher opponent. Giving McCall the slight edge in this bout.
Nik Lentz (+150) vs Islam Makhachev (-180)
Lentz is a good fighter, but there are questions as to whether the lightweight division is where he should be. A victory over submission expert Makhachev may make things a little clearer, and I think Lentz will pull this one out by decision.
Ulka Sasaki (+445) vs Wilson Reis (-595)
Sasaki must feel a little hard done by, as he is just a few months off a title shot that ended up being cancelled due to an injury to Demetrious Johnson. This is a fight he should get done with quickly, and we can only hope that his next bout will be something more substantial.
Jim Miller (+295) vs Dustin Poirier (-370)
Poirier was on a great run at the 155-pound weight level before taking a devastating loss at the hands of Michael Johnson. He will be looking to rebound at UFC 208, and should be able to get back to winning ways against an in-form Jim Miller.
Jared Cannonier (+145) vs Glover Teixeira (-170)
On paper, this looks like a win for Glover Teixeira, simply because we don’t really know that much about Cannonier, whose 9-1 record has come against lesser opposition. Teixeira can beat opponents in several different ways, and should have more than enough to win this one.
Tim Boetsch (+380) vs Ronaldo Souza (-510)
It’ll be interesting to see if Souza will have any rust after fighting just once in 2016. If he can shake it off early, he should not have any real difficulty taking care of Boetsch.
Anderson Silva (+130) vs Derek Brunson (-150)
You get the sense that Silva was added to the card to add a little star power, but you have to question whether the 41-year old still has anything left in the tank, especially when you consider that his last win came in 2012. Gotta go with Brunson here.
Holly Holm (+105) vs Germaine De Randamie (-125)
It may be Holly Holm who is the better known of the two fighters, but she is in for a tough battle against a very talented De Randamie. This looks set not be a brawl that goes the distance, with Germaine winning it by decision.
UFC 207 Main Card Betting Prediction
Previous Betting News
It’s been a while, but UFC fans are finally going to get to see Ronda Rousey back in action when she steps into the Octagon to face Amanda Nunes in Las Vegas on Saturday night. That is the bout that everyone is waiting to see, but the main car for UFC 207 is a good one, so let’s break it all down and make some predictions as we do so.
UFC 207 Main Card Betting Prediction
Louis Smolka (+115) Vs Ray Borg (-135)
This looks to be a great flyweight bout, as both fighters are coming off unexpected losses and need a win to get back on track. Expect to see a lot of grappling in this one, as these two may be heading to the mat on a regular basis. Taking some of the shine off this one is the fact that Ray Borg missed weight, which may well be a sign that he is not as ready to go as we would hope. I think this swings things in the favor of Smolka, who I believe will win by submission in the 3rd.
Dong Hyun Kim (-145) Vs Tarec Saffiedine (+125)
These two guys may be a ways off from getting a welterweight title shot, but the only way to move closer to a bigger bout is to win on a regular basis. Neither man possesses a lot of stopping power, so it would not be a surprise to see this one go the distance. The slight edge in fighting prowess has to go to Kim, so look for him to win this one my unanimous decision.
TJ Diilashaw (-195) Vs John Lineker (+165)
There are no real guarantees in this sport, but there is a very good chance that the winner of this bantamweight bout would get a title shot at the winner of the Cruz/Gabarandt fight later in the night. If Lineker is to score the upset in this one, he is going to have to connect with one of his big punches. If he can’t, the more likely outcome is that Dillashaw will do enough to come away with the unanimous decision.
Dominick Cruz (-220) Vs Cody Gabarandt (+180)
This bout is going to go one of two ways: the first will see Cody Gabarandt come out firing in the first round in an attempt to take down Cruz with his superior power. The second sees Cruz survive that early blitz and go on to use his excellent movement and boxing skills to wear Gabarandt down. I see the latter of the two scenarios being what happens, with Cruz winning by decision.
Ronda Rousey (-170) Vs Amanda Nunes (+140)
Rousey has been out of the octagon for a while now, and there have been some questions about her mental state heading into this fight. That said, she looked composed and formidable at the weigh-in, and that could be bad news for Nunes. I think this will be a strong return for Rousey, and I like her to win by submission in the early rounds.
UFC 207 Amanda Nunes vs. Ronda Rousey Betting Prediction
Previous Betting News
The UFC usually stages its biggest cards on Saturday nights, just like they do in boxing. But this Saturday night is New Year’s Eve and also the night of the College Football Playoff second semifinal between Ohio State and Clemson. So smartly, the UFC is staging its 207 card from Las Vegas on Friday night and it’s the biggest bout in women’s MMA history as it marks the return to the Octagon of arguably the most popular MMA fighter on the planet, male or female, in American Ronda Rousey. She is the -150 favorite on MyBookie MMA odds against current bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes, who is +130. The over/under rounds total is just 1.5. The main event should start somewhere around 11:30 p.m. ET and will be shown on pay-per- view.
UFC 207 Amanda Nunes vs. Ronda Rousey Betting Prediction
There are no female divisions in the UFC right now most likely without Rousey, who has become one of the biggest female athletic stars in the United States not just because of how dominating she had been in the Octagon but also her personality and looks. There’s a reason that Rousey also appears in movies.
Friday could well be her last fight as more movies are likely in Rousey’s future. And she admitted thoughts of suicide when she lost her title to then-unknown Holly Holm last November in Australia in the biggest upset in MMA history. Rousey was completely battered in the fight. She clearly wasn’t ready to fight a female boxer like Holm was. The first female to ever sign with the UFC, Rousey had recorded six consecutive title defenses, five of which ended in the first round, prior to the loss.
Rousey (12-1) has been out of the media limelight ahead of this fight but has posted some pictures on Instagram and she looks totally ripped compared to when she fought Holm. Then again, in combat sports, unlike in Hollywood, fights aren’t always won by the athlete with the most shredded physique (Fedor Emelianenko is an example of that).
“The Lioness” Nunes (13-4) has been a mainstay in the bantamweight division since 2011, fighting in Strikeforce and Invicta Fighting Championships before making her UFC debut in 2013. Nunes won the title by submitting Miesha Tate in the first round at UFC 200 in July. The Brazilian was dominant on her feet with a flawless display of boxing. She bloodied Tate’s face with stiff jabs and overhand rights before taking her to the ground and securing a rear-naked choke.
Nunes is on a four-fight winning streak and has 12 career finishes in 13 wins. A win over Rousey will put her in the “Fighter of the Year” discussion. It should be noted that Rousey also beat Tate twice earlier in her career.
At 28, Nunes is one year younger than Rousey and she’s an inch taller at 5-foot- 8 and has an inch of reach at 69. The additional inch of height and reach that Nunes has represents a small edge, especially since her physicality plays into her technical game. The most noteworthy difference is in their layoffs. Nunes has fought twice already this year. Rousey has not fought in over a year.
If Rousey doesn’t get Nunes on the ground, Rousey will lose again. Nunes is the better striker. In her UFC/Strikeforce career, she has built a 1.42 striking differential, which is significant strikes landed per minute minus significant strikes absorbed per minute. Rousey has managed only 0.69 in her combined UFC/Strikeforce career.
The ground is Rousey’s wheelhouse. There’s a reason she lost to Holm as she couldn’t get her off her feet. Rousey attempts one more takedown per round than Nunes and completes more than three times the amount per round. In her UFC/Strikeforce career Rousey has earned seven of her 10 wins via submission. Nunes has not been submitted since her professional debut in 2008. In the UFC, she has allowed only three submissions.
UFC Fight Amanda Nunes
The Rousey myth has been blown up. Take the underdog Nunes to send Rousey into retirement.
UFC 206 Main Card Betting Predictions
Previous Betting News
The UFC has packed up the Octagon and headed north to Toronto, Canada, which is where UFC 206 will take place this coming Saturday, December 10. A little bit of the shine has been taken off this one with Daniel Cormier pulling out through injury, but there are still plenty of fights to keep UFC fans happy. Let’s do a quick breakdown of the fights on the main card, whilst also making predictions for each.
A Closer Look At The UFC 206 Main Card Betting Predictions
Nikita Krylov (21-4), Misha Cirkunov (12-2)
A light heavyweight bout that is guaranteed to deliver some sparks. These are two guys who are all-action, and I would be stunned if this fight went the distance. Both guys can finish the bout off on the mat or on their feet, and they are both very evenly matched. Give the edge to Misha Cirkunov, winning it in the 4th.
Cub Swanson (23-7), Dooho Choi (14-1)
Swanson is on the comeback trail after losing two in a row at the hands of Max Holloway and Frankie Edgar. He is in for a tough one against Choi, a young fighter on the rise who could well crack the top 10 with a win here. This is another bout that promises a lot of action, and I believe that Choi will get the win with a TKO.
Donald Cerrone (31-7 (1)), Matt Brown (20-15)
This is a fight featuring a pair of guys at very different stages in their careers. Cerrone is hot right now, and is probably just 2 or 3 more wins away from a title shot in the Welterweight division. Brown, on the other hand, has seen his career start to slide, losing 4 of his last 5. This looks like a bit of a mismatch, and I like Cerrone to get the job done in the early rounds.
Rashad Evans (19-5-1), Tim Kennedy (18-5)
This is a Middleweight bout that was originally slated to be on the UFC 205 card, but which was mysteriously cancelled just days before the event. It’s on now, though, and Kennedy will be looking for a way back after losing 4 of his last 6. Tim Kennedy has had issues with the UFC brass and has fought sparingly over the last couple of years. This is likely to go the distance, and I think Kennedy will shake off some early rust to get the win.
Max Holloway (16-3), Anthony Pettis (19-5)
With the cancellation of the Cormier/Johnson bout, this one moves to the headliner spot on the card. Holloway did not get off to a particularly auspicious start in the UFC, but he is coming into this fight riding an astonishing 9-fight winning streak. He has a tough one on Saturday against Pettis, a former champion in the Lightweight division. Pettis bounced back with a win over Charles Oliveira in his last fight, and could jump right into featherweight title contention with a win here. The smart money would be on Holloway in this one, but Pettis is a fighter that should never be overlooked.
UFC 206 Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis Betting Prediction
Previous Betting News
UFC 206 is staged at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto on Saturday and the card was to be headlined by a light-heavyweight championship fight between current champion Daniel Cormier and Anthony Johnson. However, Cormier had to pull out due to injury and Johnson didn’t want to fight anyone else. So the new main event features former UFC and WEC lightweight champion Anthony Pettis taking on Max Holloway for the interim UFC featherweight title formerly held by Conor McGregor. Holloway is a – 190 favorite on the MMA odds with Pettis at +160 and the over/under rounds at 2.5. The card is available on pay-per- view.
UFC 206 Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis Betting Prediction
There have been reports that McGregor voluntarily relinquished the featherweight belt after beating Eddie Alvarez for the lightweight title at UFC 205 last month. Recently, the UFC announced McGregor had “relinquished” the featherweight title, which he won by knocking out Jose Aldo in 13 seconds last December. Yet McGregor denies he did that. Now Aldo is considered the undisputed champion and should fight the Pettis-Holloway winner next year.
Before Holloway was matched up with Pettis at UFC 206 in Toronto, the Hawaiian featherweight had been rumored for a matchup with Aldo instead. According to Holloway, he heard that a fight with Aldo was potentially coming together for either UFC 205 in New York or UFC 206 in Toronto but then all of a sudden neither actually happened. Holloway has hinted that Aldo is ducking him.
Pettis (19-5) was the lightweight champion but then went on a three-fight losing streak. He responded to that in August by moving down in weight, and he looked spectacular in his featherweight debut by choking out Charles Oliveira. Pettis’ saving grace throughout his losing streak was that all three defeats came by decision. To that end, he was able to pinpoint a couple of small mistakes that cost him in each fight.
Holloway (16-3) goes after his first UFC title. McGregor beat Holloway by decision at UFC Fight Night 26 in August 2013. It was Holloway’s most recent loss – and the only McGregor win in the UFC to go the distance. Holloway said the thought of going up to lightweight to challenge McGregor if he beats Pettis and then Aldo to become the lineal featherweight champ is appealing.
When Holloway entered the UFC, he was 20 years old and 4-0 as a professional. He went 3-3 in his first two years in the promotion, with his three losses coming against the highest-ranked, most well-known opponents he faced. But each of those losses provided formative lessons for the young fighter that have helped him achieve the longest winning streak in the UFC featherweight division’s history. He comes off an entertaining three-round decision over Ricardo Lamas at UFC 199 in June.
Holloway is numerically even with, or superior to, Pettis in most measured areas of striking. FightMetric shows he is more active, better defensively and just as accurate. Pettis absorbs less damage overall, but he’s hit almost as often as he lands, while Holloway lands far more than he absorbs.
UFC 206 Main Event Pick: Max Holloway
Holloway is on a nine-fight winning streak and is younger and bigger than Pettis. Holloway wins by TKO on MMA odds.
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