UFC Fight Night Pavlovich vs. Blaydes Betting Analysis

Two of the top heavyweights at UFC clash on Saturday night when Sergei Pavlovich takes on Curtis Blaydes. Pavlovich is a slight underdog versus the popular Blaydes.

Will Sergei pull off the upset win or will Blaydes get it done?

Keep reading for UFC betting odds, analysis, and free picks for the five main card bouts at UFC Fight Night on April 22.

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes Odds | MyBookie MMA Betting Preview

Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
When: Saturday, April 22 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes – Bout Rundown of the Main Card

Jeremiah Wells vs. Matthew Semelsberger

UFC Fight Night Odds: Jeremiah Wells -110 vs. Matthew Semelsberger -110
Weight class: Welterweight
Jeremiah Wells Record: 11-2-1 (5 knockouts)
Matthew Semelsberger Record: 11-4-0 (6 knockouts)

36-year-old Jeremiah Wells heads into this matchup on a nice winning streak. Wells has won 5 straight. He’s won all 3 of his UFC bouts.

Matthew Semelsberger has lost 2 of his last 5. But Semelsberger has more UFC experience. Matthew is also 4 inches taller. This is a tough fight to handicap. At the end, though, we must side with Semelsberger.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Matthew Semelsberger | Bet Jeremiah Wells vs. Matthew Semelsberger Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Iasmin Lucindo vs. Brogan Walker

UFC Fight Night Odds: Iasmin Lucindo -340 vs. Brogan Walker +270
Weight class: Women’s Strawweight
Iasmin Lucindo Record: 13-5-0 (10 knockouts)
Brogan Walker Record: 7-3-0 (8 knockouts)

Underdog Brogan Walker has a decent 8-3 record. The problem if you wish to back Walker is that all 3 losses have happened in Brogan’s last 5 fights.

Walker lost her last bout via third-round TKO versus Juliana Miller. Iasmin Lucindo lost her last as well. However, it came via unanimous decision. Lucindo had won her previous 7 bouts. All the action is going to the chalk. So we must believe this is Iasmin’s fight to lose.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Iasmin Lucindo | Bet Iasmin Lucindo vs. Brogan Walker Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Bobby Green vs. Jared Gordon

UFC Fight Night Odds: Bobby Green -270 vs. Jared Gordon +220
Weight class: Lightweight
Bobby Green Record: 29-14-1 (10 knockouts)
Jared Gordon Record: 19-6-0 (6 knockouts)

The odds suggest Bobby Green has no issues beating Jared Gordon. The underdog in this has a decent 19-6 record. Gordon has lost 2-of-3, though.

Bobby Green has lost 2 straight. Ah, but Green fought much better mixed-martial-artists, champ Islam Makhachev and Drew Dober, in his last two than who Gordon has faced off against.

Still, Bobby is on a 2-fight losing streak. Gordon has a better chance of pulling off the upset than the odds imply.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Jared Gordon | Bet Bobby Green vs. Jared Gordon Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Brad Tavares vs. Bruno Silva

UFC Fight Night Odds: Brad Tavares -165 vs. Bruno Silva +140
Weight class: Middleweight
Brad Tavares Record: 19-7-4 (5 knockouts)
Bruno Silva Record: 22-8-0 (19 knockouts)

Underdog Bruno Silver heads into this on a 2-match losing streak. Alex Pereira beat Silva last March. Gerald Meerschaert beat Silva last August. Silva has an interesting record in the sense that he’s 19-0 via knockout or technical knockout but 0-6 via submission.

Brad Tavares has lost 3-of-5. The key for Tavares to turn around the recent form is to get this fight to the mat. If he does that, he can win. Neither fighter has much of a physical advantage over the other.

Silva also fights off a layoff. That could affect him. Tavares is the pick.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Brad Tavares | Bet Brad Tavares vs. Bruno Silv Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Sergei Pavlovich vs. Curtis Blaydes

UFC Fight Night Odds: Sergei Pavlovich +140 vs. Curtis Blaydes -165
Weight class: Heavyweight
Sergei Pavlovich Record: 18-17-1 (14 knockouts)
Curtis Blaydes Record: 21-17-3 (12 knockouts)

Curtis Blaydes is on a 3-match winning streak. Not only is Blaydes fighting great, but he has an inch height advantage.

Pavlovich has a 4-inch reach advantage. Also, Pavlovich hasn’t lost since a knockout defeat against Alistair Overeem in 2018.

This should be an excellent bout. Blaydes, though, offers underlay odds. Curtis is attracting action because he’s the name fighter. Backing the underdog is the play.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Sergei Pavlovich | Bet Sergei Pavlovich vs. Curtis Blaydes Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Complete UFC Fight Night Pavlovich vs. Blaydes Fight Card

Main Card (ESPN+)
Weight class
Heavyweight	Sergei Pavlovich	vs.	Curtis Blaydes
Middleweight	Brad Tavares	vs.	Bruno Silva
Lightweight	Bobby Green	vs.	Jared Gordon
Women’s Strawweight	Iasmin Lucindo	vs.	Brogan Walker-Sanchez
Welterweight	Jeremiah Wells	vs.	Matthew Semelsberger
Preliminary Card (ESPN+)
Lightweight	Ricky Glenn	vs.	Christos Giagos
Bantamweight	Rani Yahya	vs.	Montel Jackson
Women’s Featherweight	Karol Rosa	vs.	Norma Dumont
Heavyweight	Mohammad Usman	vs.	Junior Tafa
Featherweight	Francis Marshall	vs.	William Gomis
Women’s Flyweight	Priscila Cachoeira	vs.	Karine Silva
Bantamweight	Brady Hiestand	vs.	Danaa Batgerel