We take a break from our regularly scheduled sports programming to talk about US politics, which I’m sure is not everyone’s cup of tea.
Even when you try to block out as much of the political madness as you can, it tends to become impossible when you are in an election year, which is exactly where we are now.
My Analysis
This election is perhaps a little tougher to predict than in recent years, as it seems as though something new hits the headlines every day, causing voters to question their decision.
There are, of course, plenty of people who will vote one way or another regardless of what happens, but for those on the fence, these are strange times.
Let’s see if we can answer some of the important questions.
^Will Biden Stay In The Race?
Republicans have spent the last 4 years claiming that Biden is too old and mentally fragile to run for President again.
There were certainly some reasons to feel that this might be true given his performance in the first debate of the election season, but you also cannot argue with all the good that he has done in his last 4 years.
Was that an off night or a sign that he is indeed too old? Biden seems intent on staying the course, but if he were to step down, what would happen?
^
Who Could Replace Biden?
Some Democrats have suggested that Biden should indeed step away, but that could prove to be a logistical nightmare at this stage of the game.
If he did indeed decide that it is time to quit, the most likely replacement would be Vice President Kamala Harris.
It’s the logical choice, but logic seems to be missing in US politics at the moment, so we could also see someone like Gavin Newsom or Michelle Obama step in.
Stranger things have happened, so we will be watching this closely.
^What About Trump?
There is no debating that Donal Trump is one of the most divisive people to ever have stepped into the political ring.
The question here is whether the American public is going to be willing to cast their vote for a man that is a convicted felon.
We will have to wait a little while longer for the sentencing on that case, but what impact will it have on the voting public.
His MAGA Followers are not going to be swayed, regardless of the sentence, but it may have an impact on undecided voters.
Trump may have garnered some support on the heels of the recent attempted assassination, but again, things tend to change quickly in the weeks leading up to an election.
^Who Wins the Election?
The answer to that question is the ultimate coin flip, as the polls seem to change on a daily basis, with some of them contradictory to others.
Right now, Trump is the favorite with the bookies at odds of -300.
Interesting enough, Kamala Harris (+200) is ahead of Joe Biden (+800) on the bookies board, but I am just not convinced that the Democrats will make that change this late in the proceedings.
Either way, the choices here are not particularly great, so we can only hope that the eventual winner gets the nod based on their policies and platform as opposed to anything else.
^Bet Elections Odds 2024
When: Tuesday, November 5
Inauguration: January 20, 2025
Top 10 Odds to Win Presidential Elections 2024
- Donald Trump -300
- Kamala Harris +200
- Joe Biden +800
- Michelle Obama +1800
- Gavin Newsom +1600
- Esther Gretchen Whitmer +3300
- Robert Kennedy Jr. +5000
- James David Vance +8000
- Hillary Clinton +8000
- Nikki Haley +10000
Former first lady Melania Trump entered the Republican National Convention floor wearing a red suit as a Beethoven symphony played after rarely being seen on the campaign trail.
— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) July 19, 2024
📸: Jasper Colt & William Glasheenhttps://t.co/jvAYA3WDYD pic.twitter.com/dCnstdazE2
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Updated 2020 U.S. Politics Odds
The Emmy’s happen on Sep. 20 while wagering on the U.S. Presidential Election on Nov. 3 has heated up! Check out updated Emmy odds and U.S. Politics odds in our weekly entertainment and politics blog.
U.S. Politics Odds and News
U.S. Presidential Election
- When: Tuesday, Nov. 3
Trump becomes favorite
States have sent out absentee ballots. Whatever the reason, Democrats, by a large margin, have asked to vote by mail more than Republicans. Will that work in Trump’s or Biden’s favor?
As we head into the final six weeks, Donald Trump has taken over as the favorite to win the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. Donald offers -125 odds while Joe Biden is a -105 close second choice.
The reason for Trump’s ascension? Some cities in the United States continue to have non-peaceful protests. Not only that, but Joe Biden has also made some mistakes on the campaign trail. For example, the other day, Joe said that “6,000 U.S. troops” had died from the coronavirus. The actual number is 7. There’s a massive difference between 6,000 and 7.
As much as people hate Donald Trump, and he is a much despised individual in the United States, many are questioning if Joe Biden has the mental alertness to run the nation.
State electoral college winner odds have also changed. Biden is down to a -125 favorite to win Arizona. Obama’s Vice President is down to -125 to win Florida while Trump has increased his lead in Texas to -375.
A lot should happen in the rest of September. Also, expect, like in most U.S. Presidential Election years, an October Surprise to shake up the race. In 2016, the October Surprise came when former FBI Director James Comey said the department had found that Hillary had deleted more emails, many of which were listed as confidential, from her home server.
What October Surprise will land in the next month? Stay tuned!
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