The Connecticut Sun and Washington Mystics start their quests for the Women’s National Basketball Association Championship on Sunday, Sep. 29. The 5-game finals series pits the two best teams in women’s basketball against each other. Who has the edge when the Sun and Mystics throw down? Check out the 2019 WNBA Finals series odds, analysis and a free pick!
2019 WNBA Finals Series Odds, Preview & Pick
- When: 29 – Oct 10
- TV: ESPN/ABC/ESPN2
- Live Stream: ESPN+
- 2019 WNBA Finals Series Odds: Washington Mystics +110 / Connecticut Sun +325
The Connecticut Sun made it to their first WNBA Finals in 14 years after sweeping the Los Angeles Sparks 78-56 in Game 3. Jasmine Thomas led the way with 29 points, but Connecticut is much more than just Thomas.
Four players on Connecticut’s squad score in double-figures: Jasmine Thomas with 11.1, Jacqueline Thomas with 11.6, Courtney Williams with 13.2, and Jonquel Jones with 14.6. The Sun allow 77.9 points per while averaging 80.8 points per. They’re on a roll after sweeping L.A. in the semifinals.
The Washington Mystics advanced to their second straight WNBA Finals after beating the Las Vegas Aces 94-90 in Game 4. Kristi Toliver scored 10 third quarter points to key the Mystics victory.
Although Toliver will be counted on to provide the Mystics with points, rebounds, and assists, the real star on Washington’s squad is WNBA MVP Elena Delle Donnne. EDD averages 19.5 points, 8.3 boards, and 2.2 assists per.
She leads a group with four other players that score in double figures: Emma Messeman scores 13.1 points, Kristi Oliver 13, Aerial Powers 11.4, and Ariel Atkins 10.3. Opponents average 77.3 points per while the Mystics score 89.3 points each game.
2019 WNBA Finals Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Betting Analysis
The key for Washington beating the Aces was the return of Kristi Oliver. In addition to averaging 13 points per game, Oliver also averages 6 assists. Oliver’s return from injury gives the Mystics a major boost in this series.
Not only can Oliver score and dish the rock, she can dish it to the best player in the WNBA. Elena Delle Donne ranks second in points per, fifth in rebounds per, and fourth in 3-point percentage. Delle Donne shoots 43% from behind the arc.
Connecticut’s advantage in the series will be on the boards. Jonquel Jones averages 9.7 rebounds per game to lead the league. The Sun will likely try to slow the games down and count on Jones to establish position in the paint. If they can do that, they’ll have a shot to pull off the upset.
The chances of that happening aren’t great. The Mystics thrive on forcing their opponents to play their style of basketball, an up and down game that involves lots of three-points attempts and fast breaks to the hoop.
If Oliver were injured, the Sun might have a shot. With Oliver in the backcourt dishing to Elena Delle Donne, Washington looks close to unbeatable in a 5-game series. Connecticut gets a victory while Washington takes this in four.
2019 WNBA Finals Series Pick: Washington Mystics in four games