Las Vegas Vs Seattle Game 3 Expert Analysis – WNBA Finals

Written by on October 5, 2020

With the Seattle Storm up 2-0 on the Las Vegas Aces in the 2020 WNBA Finals and Game 3 set for Tuesday night, it’s time to take a look at the latest WNBA Finals odds. With top-seeded Vegas looking to rebound from their humbling Game 2 loss and Seattle looking to clinch their title hopes with a win in Game 3, let’s find out which team is offering the best betting value against their WNBA odds in their respective quests for championship success.

WNBA 2020 Finals Odds & Predictions – Aces Vs Storm

Las Vegas at Seattle for Game 3

Why Bet On Las Vegas

While Vegas was on the wrong end of a 93-80 Game 1 loss against Seattle and suffered an identical 13-point loss in their 104-91 Game 2 loss on Sunday, there’s still some good reasons to believe the Aces could rebound in a big way on Tuesday night. Las Vegas has the league’s reigning MVP in superstar forward A’Ja Wilson. In seven playoff games this postseason, Wilson is averaging 21.1 points per game to go along with 9.3 rebounds. Veteran guard Angel McCoughtry is averaging 16.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 3.0 assist per game. More importantly, Vegas led the league in scoring in the regular season (88.7 ppg) while ranking third in fewest points allowed (80.1 ppg). The Aces have gone a stellar 19-6 SU in its last 25 games.

Trends

  • Las Vegas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Las Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Las Vegas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
  • Las Vegas is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Why Bet On Seattle

There are a bunch of great reasons to back Seattle to complete the three-game sweep, but no reason is bigger than the fact that 2018 league MVP Breanna Stewart has been the best player on the floor through two games – while veteran point guard Sue Bird – has had the second biggest impact in this year’s WNBA Finals.

Stewart, who finished as the league’s MVP runner-up this season, out up a stupendous 37 points and 15 rebounds in Game 1 to become the first player in WNBA Finals history with a 35-point, 15-rebound double-double. Jewell Lloyd added 28 points while Bird dished out a finals record 16 assists.

During the regular season, Stewart averaged 19.7 points and 8.3 rebounds per game, but she’s upped those figures to 26.5 points and 9.8 boards per game this postseason.

“I’m definitely excited for the big moment and the big stage,” Stewart said. “Also the fact that I expect to be here. I’ve been here, whether it’s been college, WNBA or USA [Basketball]. Continuing to embrace that moment and take advantage of it. This is why we play basketball.”

In Game 2 on Sunday, Stewart had a team-high 22 points while Natasha Howard and Alysha Clark both added 21 points in the win. Bird dished out 10 assists and the Storm never looked back after taking a seven-point lead after one quarter. Seattle dished out a whopping 33 assists in Game 2 to set a WNBA finals record.

“Having high assists isn’t abnormal for us. Thirty-three is amazing, goes to show the unselfishness of everyone on the floor and the confidence we have in one and another,” said Clark. “Pass up a good shot to get a great shot. When you do those things 33 assists happen, wow.”

Seattle heads into Game 3 having won 11 of its last 12 games.

Trends

  • Seattle is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games
  • Seattle is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home

Expert Analysis and Prediction

I know Vegas has the league MVP on their roster and that they have been outstanding all season long, but right now, the Aces are facinf a Seattle Storm team that is on a mission that just won’t be denied. Simply put, heading into Game 3, Seattle is firing on all cylinders

“Our performance today was better than Game 1 having a balanced approach,” Stewart said. “Game 1, Piph, Jewell (Loyd) and I were the only ones in double figures. It was more balanced when we needed it.”

Not only have the Storm gone a blistering 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 home games against Las Vegas, but Seattle is also 19-5 SU in its last 24 home games against the Aces. While the 2020 WNBA Finals are being played on a neutral court, right now, I don’t think it matters one iota where these two teams suit up. Seattle and Breanna Stewart clearly want to send a message to A’ja Wilson and the Aces, that they are the best team in the league – and they have the league’s best player in Stewart! I like the Storm to win and cover the chalk in Game 3.

“This is our moment to really finish the series and take home the championship,” Stewart said.

Pick: Seattle 94 Las Vegas 85

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