With the Seattle Storm already having booked their ticket into the 2020 WNBA Finals and the Las Vegas Aces and Connecticut Sun tied at 2-2- as they set to throw down in a pivotal Game 5 showdown on Tuesday night, it’s time for some expert WNBA betting predictions. Let’s take a look at the Game 5 odds for Tuesday’s semifinal clash so you can wager on their WNBA odds.
Connecticut Sun Vs Las Vegas Aces Analysis | WNBA 2020 Semi Finals
- When: Tuesday, September 29, 2020 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: IMG Academy
Why Bet On Connecticut
The seventh-seeded Suns have split four games against the top-seeded Aces by stunning Vegas 87-62 in Game 1 on Sept. 20 and taking Game 3 by the score of 77-68 on Thursday. Even in losses in Games 2 and 4, Connecticut has clearly given Las Vegas a tough way to go. Over the last 10 meetings between these two, Connecticut has won five times while going 5-5 ATS along the way.
Last but not least, Connecticut has seen veteran point guard Alyssa Thomas perform like the best player in the series by scoring 15 points or more in three games while scoring 18 or more in both of the Suns’ series victories. Over her last 10 games Thomas has scored 18 points or more six times while topping the 20-point plateau four times.
Connecticut Trends
- Sun are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Semi-Finals games.
- Under is 6-1 in Sun last 7 Semi-Finals games.
- Under is 4-1 in Sun last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Sun last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Why Bet On Las Vegas
The top-seeded Aces have shown some championship grit in coming back from 1-0 and 2-1 series deficits. Vegas has gone an impressive 8-2 over their last 10 games overall, though their only losses during the span have come against Connecticut. The Aces are led by league MVP A’ja Wilson who has scored 18 points or more in each game in this series while putting 29 points on the board in the Aces’ pivotal Game 2 win. Over her last 10 games, Wilson has scored 20 or more seven times while not scoring fewer than 18 points in any contest.
Las Vegas Trends
- Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Aces last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-1 in Aces last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 6-2 in Aces last 8 Tuesday games.
Expert Analysis and Prediction
With Connecticut and Las Vegas alternating wins and losses through four games in this semifinal showdown, I like the Sun to get back in the win column on Tuesday night to finish off Vegas in what has been an absolutely thrilling series. Despite facing the top seeds in the playoffs, Connecticut has not flinched and I genuinely believe that, outside of A’ja Wilson, the Sun have the better overall squad.
- Spread: Las Vegas -3½
- Money Lines: Connecticut +145 / Las Vegas -170
- Total: 158
Connecticut has gone 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Conversely, Las Vegas has gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and a disappointing 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite. With the Over going 9-4 in the last 13 meetings, I’m going with Connecticut to win while the game’s final score finishes over the 157.5-point total.
Pick: Connecticut 82 Las Vegas 77
