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The XFL Championship Game is set to take place on Saturday, as the Arlington Renegades and D.C. Defenders will face off in the first championship game in the league since the Million Dollar Game in 2001. D.C. is the favorite heading into this matchup, as their offense has been one of the best in the XFL all season long. But the Renegades have a chance to win the title with a 6-6 record on the strength of one of the best defenses in the league.

Here’s a look at the contenders with the best odds to win the XFL Championship, a quick betting analysis of the teams.

Which team will win: the Renegades or the Defenders?

Renegades vs. Defenders: Analysis and Odds to Win the 2023 XFL Championship

2023 XFL Championship Game | First championship game of the second stint of the XFL
When: Saterday, May 13, 2023 at 8:00 pm EST
Where: Alamodome | San Antonio, Texas
TV / Streaming: ABC

Why Bet on Arlington Renegades to Win Championship

XFL Odds: +6.5 -116 / ML: +208 / O/U: 48
Record: 4-6
Division place: 2nd XFL South

In the semifinals of the XFL playoffs, the Arlington Renegades dominated the Houston Roughnecks despite entering as 7.5-point underdogs. Their defense clamped down on the Roughnecks, who switched quarterbacks early on without any success. But it was the offense of the Renegades that surprised people, as they had their most successful half of the season in the biggest game of the year.

Going into the semifinals, the Renegades had scored just five offensive touchdowns all season. They scored three offensive touchdowns in the first half of the game against the Roughnecks, with Luis Perez throwing multiple touchdown passes to wide-open receivers. Against a team as potent offensively as the Defenders in the championship game, Perez is going to need to be on point once again.

XFL Championship Pick | Bet Arlington Renegades to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Why Bet on D.C. Defenders to Win Championship

XFL Odds: -6.5 -116 / ML: -274 / O/U: 48
Record: 9-1
Division place: 1st XFL North

The D.C. Defenders come into the XFL Championship Game riding high, having beaten the Seattle Sea Dragons in the North Division title game last time out. In what was expected to be a closely contested matchup, the Defenders dominated from start to finish, thanks in large part to their defense. D.C. shut down the league’s leading passer in Ben DiNucci, taking an insurmountable lead to get to the final.

In this game, the Defenders will be looking for a more convincing win than they got against the Renegades during the regular season. D.C. needed overtime to beat the Renegades at home late in the regular season, sneaking away with a two-point victory in a game where their defense struggled to contain Perez. Here, with the championship on the line, it will be interesting to see if the Defenders can step up defensively for a second week in a row.

XFL Championship Pick | Bet D.C. Defenders to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Arlington Renegades at D.C. Defenders Betting Analysis | Keys to the Game

The number one key to this game for the Renegades will be their offensive performance. After struggling to move the ball for much of this season, Luis Perez has helped them to be more effective on that side of the ball. But replicating their performance from the South Division championship game may not even be enough against a Defenders team that has been the best in the XFL all season long.

On the D.C. side of things, the big question going into this game will be whether they can play at a high level in a neutral site game. The game is being held in Texas, which is closer to Arlington than it is to D.C., but there is not expected to be a huge crowd presence in either direction. Whether the Defenders can pile on the points without the energy of their home crowd could determine who wins the title on Saturday night.

XFL Championship | Bet Renegades vs Defenders Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Championship

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