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XFL South Division Semifinal Betting Analysis: Arlington vs Houston

XFL South Division Semifinal Betting Analysis: Arlington vs Houston

The South Division championship game in the XFL will be the first XFL playoff game since the league’s inaugural season in the early 2000s. In this game, the Houston Roughnecks enter as favorites against the Arlington Renegades, as Houston looks to make the championship game after going a combined 12-3 in this league between the 2020 and 2023 relaunch seasons. To do that, they will need to find a way to put points on the board against a stingy Arlington defense.

With the XFL football odds for the South Division Semifinal game, do some follow up handicapping to make a final decision regarding the team you like to win straight up and cover the spread and move on to the XFl Championship.

 

XFL South Division Semifinal Betting Analysis: Arlington Renegades vs Houston Roughnecks Odds | MyBookie XFL Preview

XFL Odds: Renegades -1 | Renegades -115, Roughnecks -105 | O/U 41.5
When: Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX
TV / Streaming: ESPN+ / ESPN2

 

Bet Arlington Renegades to Win the Game

The Arlington Renegades found their way into the XFL playoffs on the final week of the regular season. A loss by the San Antonio Brahmas on the final Saturday of the season clinched the Renegades a spot with a 4-6 record, with the Renegades losing to this same Houston team in Week 10. Arlington is 0-2 against Houston so far this season, and will need to find a way to break through against them if they want to make the title game.

The question all year for the Renegades has been whether or not they can put points on the board to win games. Bringing Luis Perez in at quarterback has not done much to help them be more effective on offense. But points will be needed against a Roughnecks team that can beat their opponents in multiple ways when they are in possession of the ball.

 

Bet Houston Roughnecks to Win the Game

There was not any real competition for the Houston Roughnecks in the XFL South Division this season. They were the best team in the South all year long, clinching the South title weeks before the end of the regular season. Here, the Roughnecks will aim to close out South Division competition with a win over Arlington to claim a spot in the championship game against either the Seattle Sea Dragons or D.C. Defenders.

This season, the Roughnecks were the only team in the South Division to post a positive point differential. With Arlington, San Antonio, and Vegas all struggling behind them in the standings throughout this season, Houston took full advantage of playing six games against those subpar teams. But all of the positives from the regular season would be for naught if the Roughnecks don’t win this game to reach the final.

 

Renegades vs Roughnecks: Keys to the Game

The top key to this game for the Arlington Renegades is finding a spark with their passing attack through QB Luis Perez. Perez is a competent but unspectacular quarterback, who has led two middling offenses in Vegas and Arlington so far this season. But one big game from him could mean an upset that would give the Renegades a chance to win an unexpected championship.

On the Houston side, the biggest key to this game is going to be not folding under pressure. They are expected to win this game handily, but getting caught up in the moment and letting nerves get the best of them could ruin their season. Running the ball and playing defense should stabilize this team as they begin their postseason.

XFL Odds: Renegades -1 | Renegades -115, Roughnecks -105 | O/U 41.5
XFL Lines | Bet Renegades vs Roughnecks Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

 
Houston vs. Arlington: Who Will Take the Championship Throne? | XFL Today
 
 

XFL 2023 Season Standings

North Division
Team Overall PF PA Vs. Div. Vs. South Home Away

y-D.C. Defenders

9-1

298

240

6-0

3-1

5-0

4-1

x-Seattle Sea Dragons

7-3

243

177

3-3

4-0

3-2

4-1

St. Louis Battlehawks

7-3

249

202

3-3

4-0

3-2

4-1

Vegas Vipers

3-7

175

224

0-5

2-2

2-3

0-4


South Division
Team Overall PF PA Vs. Div. Vs. North Home Away

y-Houston Roughnecks

7-3

247

182

6-0

1-3

4-1

3-2

x-Arlington Renegades

4-6

146

194

3-3

1-3

2-3

2-3

San Antonio Brahmas

3-7

169

183

3-3

0-4

1-4

2-3

Orlando Guardians

1-9

204

310

0-6

1-3

1-4

0-5

 
 

XFL 2023 Semifinals Games

April 29th | TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX | 7:00 pm EST
Arlington Renegades
vs.
Houston Roughnecks
ESPN2,ESPN+
Renegades -1, Roughnecks +1 / Renegades -115, Roughnecks -105 /O/U 41.5
Bet XFL
April 30th | Audi Field, Washington, DC | 3:00 pm EST
Seattle Sea Dragons
vs.
D.C. Defenders
ESPN2,ESPN+
Sea Dragons -1.5, Defenders +1.5 / Sea Dragons -125, Defenders +105 / O/U 46.5
Bet XFL
 
 

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