If you have dipped your toe into the world of sports betting but have stuck to one sport, you may want to consider expanding your horizons, like betting on Boxing. It’s not necessarily a bad idea to stick to a sport that you know a lot about, but what do you do when the season comes to an end?
This is particularly true with football, where the offseason stretches on for months at a time. If you still want to stay in the game and get some betting done on a regular basis, you need to start thinking about other sports to wager on.
Before Betting on Boxing: 4 Things You Must Consider
Table of Contents
Fighter Analysis
Understanding the Odds
External Factors
Bankroll Management
With that in mind, we are going to turn our attention to boxing. There are major boxing events happening on a regular basis, so let’s look at 4 things you need to know before you start wagering on the Sport of Kings.
1. Fighter Analysis and Matchup
If you look at the main card of a major boxing event, you will see a ton of matchups that probably mean nothing to you. How can you figure out which boxer has an edge over the other? Let’s get into that now:
How do I analyze a boxer’s fighting style?
You start off by looking at their stance and guard. A fighter that leads with their left hand has an orthodox style, while a fighter that leads with the right hand is a southpaw. Do they hold their hands high to guard their face or rely on head and body movements to dodge blows?
Boxers with a wider stance tend to favor power, while a tighter stance usually belongs to fighters who rely on agility.
You also need to look at footwork and punching style to get an overall picture of how a boxer operates inside the ring.
How does a boxer’s experience level affect the outcome of a fight?
The simple answer is that an experienced boxer will have had to handle a variety of different in-fight situations that a newbie probably hasn’t seen before.
Simply put, their boxing IQ is almost certainly going to be higher, allowing them to take advantage of less experienced fighters who might still be learning their trade.
Inexperienced fighters rush to finish early, while experienced boxers conserve energy, effectively weathering the storm and capitalizing on opponents’ fatigue as they tire.
An experienced boxer holds an advantage over evenly matched fighters due to their extensive ring time and the quality of opponents faced throughout their career.
2. Understanding the Odds and Betting Markets
Now that you have an idea of how boxers match up and how one might clearly have an edge over the other, it’s time to start talking about wagering on individual bouts, so let’s get into that:
How do boxing betting odds work and what do they represent?
There are, generally speaking, 3 different outcomes in any given fight, which are: Boxer A wins, Boxer B wins, a Draw. Only a small percentage of fights end in a draw, so it is not the ideal bet.
In terms of the odds, let’s imagine that Boxer A is at odds of -250 and Boxer B is at odds of +375.
This means that A is the favorite and B is the underdog. So, if you wager on A to win at those odds and place $100 on the outcome, you would get $140 back (your original stake + $40 in winnings). If you bet on B and he wins, you would receive $475 back.
How do I interpret line movement in boxing betting?
It is always a good idea to track odds on any event you want to wager on, as they can change due to a variety of different factors.
If Boxer A’s odds change from -250 to -350 due to his opponent’s weight struggles, a $100 bet would yield less return, reflecting A’s increased likelihood of winning.
3. External Factors and Fight Conditions
There are several factors that can have an impact on how bookies set the odds for a boxing match, as well as how you might choose to wager, so let’s get into that:
How do referee tendencies impact the outcome of a boxing match?
While there are specific rules that need to be adhered to, referees tend to have their own way of calling the shot. For example, some will quickly call a stoppage to check on the health of a fighter, while others will be more lenient.
The same rules apply with clinching. If a referee is quick to break up a clinch, it could have an impact on a fighter who likes to get in close and work the body.
How does the level of competition and strength of schedule affect a boxers record?
Like we mentioned earlier, experienced boxers tend to have an edge over less experienced fighter, but there are also other factors to consider. How much time has passed since their last bout?
Do their fights tend to last longer or do they get the job done quickly. How good are the fighters they have won or lost to in the past? All of these things can have an impact on how a fight plays out.
How does the promotion and marketing of a fight affect public perception and betting lines?
If you have ever watched the buildup to a fight, you will almost certainly have seen that some fighters are more outspoken and confident than others. It’s the same for fighters that have a manager or promoter on their side that likes to hype them up.
It really means little in how a fight will play out, but it can affect how bettors look at a fight. They might well be inclined to go all in on the fighter getting all the hype, even if other factors aren’t quite so convincing.
4. Bankroll Management and Betting Discipline
The focus of this piece is on boxing, but the tips that are going to follow here can be used in any type of sports betting.
If you can stay disciplined and learn how to effectively manage your bankroll, your chances of making money over the long haul will improve. Let’s get into that now:
How do I manage my bankroll effectively when betting on boxing?
The general rule of thumb when it comes to bankroll management is to never bet more than 1-5% of your total bankroll on a single wager.
There are going to be times when a boxer is a heavy favorite and looks like a shoo-in, but all it takes is one punch from his opponent to end that fight.
Resist the urge to wager a chunk of your money on these types of fights. The returns are not worth it and a loss can wipe out a large portion of your bankroll, affecting your future wagers negatively.
What are the common mistakes to avoid when betting on boxing?
One of the most common mistakes made when wagering n boxing is overvaluing the record of a particular fighter.
You may look at a guy who is 15-0 and think that he is at the top of his game, but it is not uncommon for fighters to pad their stats with bouts against lesser opponents.
Once they reach a point where a more experienced fighter is their opponent, that record might mean nothing.
You also really need to pay attention to the condition of a fighter and how soon they are going back into action after their last fight.
Even if they have trained hard and appear ready, not taking enough time between fights can have an impact on their stamina that could mean trouble if the bout goes into the later rounds.
How do I avoid emotional betting and chasing losses?
Once you get into boxing, you are going to find certain fighters that you love to watch. That is all well and good, but betting on a fighter just because you like him is never a bad idea.
Betting with your head over your heart is the only way to go if you want to be successful with sports betting.
Similarly, it is never a good idea to chase your losses. Even the most successful bettors experience losing streaks.
Stick to the 1-5% of your bankroll wagers and you will be able to ride out those losing skids without going broke. Staying disciplined can be tough to do, but it’s the only way to stay in the game for a long time.
Table of Contents
Fighter Analysis
Understanding the Odds
External Factors
Bankroll Management
Another Tips to Consider
We have 4 Things You Must Consider Before Betting on Boxing
Making money betting on boxing comes down to a keen consideration of four fundamentals. First, you have to be knowledgeable about the boxing event you intend to wager on.
Second, an astute knowledge of boxing betting types required. Third, there are much boxing betting tips and strategies that must be followed and inculcated in your wagers.
Fourth, and very notably, your unbridled focus should be on placing value boxing bets rather than just wagering on the boxing lines for the hell of it.
In this boxing betting guide, we will be expounding on these four elements and how to use them to encourage long-term profitability in the sport.
1. Betting on Boxing Events
Boxing fights generally come in three classes–lightweight, middleweight and heavyweight– and each of these boxing classes has a championship belt that is contested by all boxers in that group throughout the year.
These championship title fights constitute the majority of the year-long events that we have in every boxing calendar year.
There are, however, other boxing events besides the championship fights. These include, but aren’t limited to Olympic boxing during Olympic events, feature fights involving big-name fights and promotional boxing events for special causes.
How fighters approach title fights is usually different to how they approach other events like Olympic fights.
For example, most championship events are scheduled such that some fighters participate in two or three bouts in a year, which means plenty of time for preparation for the contestants as well as the boxing bettors.
In contrast, the Olympic events are usually held for a short duration (roughly in a two-month span), so the fighters and bettors have little time to prepare for the event.
In brief rest periods between Olympic boxing matches, it’s crucial to compare fighters and assess who may have the advantage, often facing many unfamiliar competitors.
2. Boxing Betting Types
Knowing how to choose a given type of boxing bet or wagering on the odds of a given fighter is just as important to winning as knowing the event to bet on.
And as you probably know already, there are several types of boxing bets, including:
- Who will win fight outright
- What will be the fight outcome
- What will be the method of victory
- How many rounds will the fight go
- Will there be odd/even number of rounds in the fight
- What will be the judge’s scorecard totals
In addition to common boxing bets, prop bets allow wagering on various aspects, such as who lands the first punch or the total knockdowns in the fight.
Special bets differ across sportsbooks. Bettors should identify their preferred betting areas and choose a boxing sportsbook that meets their specific betting requirements for optimal experience.
3. Boxing Betting Strategies and Tips
There are so many dynamics involved in boxing betting, but you can wade through them all and encourage profitability in boxing betting by arming yourself with solid boxing betting strategies and tips.
Analyze fighters’ styles, performance, injuries, condition, and motivation to understand potential fight outcomes.
A key consideration of other miscellaneous factors such as location of the fighter, tale of the tape (standard listing for things like age, height, weight, reach, experience and record) is also crucial when handicapping boxing fights.
By learning about such factors and considering them in your bets, you are more likely to find a useful edge that will often lead you to more wins than losses in your boxing bets.
4. Value Betting in Betting on Boxing Odds
While elements like the nature of the boxing event or boxing betting strategies are fundamental to success in boxing betting, it’s hard to guarantee profitability—especially over a long term—if you do not consider the importance of value betting.
As a pivotal rule, you should only bet when there is an angle for value in that wager.
Finding value in boxing betting involves identifying situations where you believe the actual outcomes are more probable than the provided odds indicate.
For example, if you feel that OVER/UNDER bet of a 12-round fight is more likely to be on less than 10 rounds as opposed to going more than 10 rounds, then the value betting rule advises you to look for the best UNDER 10 rounds odds and bank on that.
Still on placing value boxing bets, you should always ensure that you compare the lines from one site to another to find which book offers the best odds for what you are interested in betting on.
Alternatively, you can source such information from the many boxing odds comparison sites that are abundantly available on the internet.
And above everything, avoid laying too much juice on the betting lines by wagering on heavy favorites.Taking risks with minimal reward is unwise; it’s better to wait for profitable betting opportunities on favorites or underdogs.
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