The thing about sports betting systems, whether simple or complicated, is that some of them work and some of them don’t. The easy part about the betting systems is that most of them come with straightforward rules and regulations, making it easy for bettors to implement them rather effortlessly. The hardest part, though, is learning about each one of them and getting to figure out the ones that work and those that don’t. Here’s a sweeping look at some of the most popular betting systems worth adding to your betting arsenal and those that you should avoid.
Betting Systems That Work And Betting Systems That Don’t
The Martingale and Other Progressive Betting Systems
There is some logic to the fact about betting systems such as increasing stakes when you win and decreasing your stakes when lose. These progressive betting systems can increase your winnings on a short term and make you money from the right sequence of spins while you minimize your losses. In the long run, however, most of these systems don’t add value to your winnings or affect your overall chances of winning in future bets. An example of this type of system, and one you should avoid, is the Martingale betting system.
Gambler’s Fallacy
Also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the doctrine of the maturity of the chances, the gambler’s fallacy falsely assumes that the betting world has some mythical self-regulating nature that balances sequences in a game. For example, if a team has been churning OVER totals in its last 10 games, this fallacy assumes that the next game will end in an UNDER total as a balancing act. Several betting systems have been invented by gamblers on the basis of this fallacy, and sportsbetting books often encourage the use of these systems because they know that the bettors will eventually fail and lead to profits to the house.
“Foolproof Systems” and Computer Simulations to Beat House Edge
For starters, you should know that there is nothing like a foolproof system, so keep away from all those magazines and so-called gurus that profess of being able to guarantee wins. All those systems are bunk. If they did really work, they wouldn’t be charging you hundreds of dollar only to lead you to one win in five picks.
Rejoinder on Good vs. Bad Betting Systems
If you know what’s good for you, study teams, athletes, betting trends, and keep in mind factors such as injuries, weather patterns, coaching personnel, motivation and momentum; and then make your sports betting picks based on such tangible handicapping elements rather than trusting these publicized systems that don’t work. The same advice goes for bettors that trust computer simulations. Most projections from computers don’t take account of all crucial factors in a game or event, but rather rely on arbitrary numbers like SU and ATS trends, along with offensive and defensive numbers that are not fully representative of potential outcomes.
