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Missouri vs Kentucky 2019 College Football Week 9 Odds & Expert Analysis

Behind Clemson transfer quarterback Kelly Bryant, Missouri has been a pleasant surprise in the SEC this season and the Tigers are still very much in the East Division race. They are solid favorites on the NCAA football odds Saturday at struggling Kentucky.

How to Bet Missouri vs Kentucky College Football Week 9 Odds & Game Info

Arizona State vs UCLA 2019 College Football Week 9 Lines & Preview

Missouri vs Kentucky Last Meeting

Missouri lost 15-14 at home to then-No. 12 Kentucky last year. Terry Wilson threw a 2-yard TD pass to tight end CJ Conrad on the last play of the game. Missouri led 14-3 midway through the fourth quarter and appeared to have the game in hand after stuffing UK running back A.J. Rose on a fourth-and-goal play from the 2-yard line. But Kentucky forced a punt that Lynn Bowden Jr. returned 67 yards for a touchdown. The Tigers had a chance to put the game away in the final two minutes when it faced a third-and-2 situation from its own 26. But Drew Lock’s pass fell incomplete.

The Tigers have lost four consecutive games vs. Kentucky, including two in Lexington. Three of those four games have been decided by one score.

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 13°C/56°F
  • Humidity: 85%
  • Precipitation: 70%
  • Cloud Cover: 93%
  • Wind: 9 mph S
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why Bet on Missouri?

Missouri comes off a 21-14 upset loss at Vanderbilt last week to snap the Tigers’ five-game winning streak. Vanderbilt took the lead for good in the fourth quarter on a 21-yard pass from Neal Riley to Cam Johnson, and Mizzou was unable to respond.

Tigers QB Kelly Bryant went 13-26 for 140 yards and one TD while rushing for 72 yards on 16 carries. Junior RB Larry Rountree III had a rushing TD, his eighth of the season. Sophomore WR Kam Scott had two receptions and a team-high 69 receiving yards. Tight end Albert Okwuegbunam hauled in his 23rd career TD reception, moving him into sole possession of second place on the Mizzou career TD receptions list.

Sophomore LB Nick Bolton made a career-high 15 tackles and matched a career high with three tackles for loss. He now leads the SEC in tackles per game (8.7) and solo tackles per game (6.0) and is second on the team with 6.0 tackles for loss this season as he is putting together a breakout sophomore season.

More Numbers

Mizzou’s last 13 interceptions have all been converted to touchdowns, dating back to last year’s game at Tennessee. Every interception it has had since that game has been converted to a touchdown, including four pick-six scores. The Tigers have five defensive touchdowns this year, the best in the nation. Mizzou’s opponents have reached the red zone just 14 times this year – that’s the seventh-fewest nationally and the second-fewest allowed by any SEC team, trailing only Georgia (12 through seven games).

Mizzou has one of the nation’s oddest schedules this season. After opening on the road week one at Wyoming, Mizzou then returned home for its next five games and won all five in its longest home stretch since 1908. But now the schedule gets road-heavy as the Tigers will go 35 days between home games. Mizzou is the only Power 5 team to go that long between home games this season.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 38.83
  • Passing Yards: 274.83
  • Rushing Yards: 199.50
  • Yards per Play: 6.17
Defense
  • Points per Game: 15.83
  • Passing Yards: 154.67
  • Rushing Yards: 108.00
  • Yards per Play: 4.04

Why Bet on Kentucky?

Kentucky was a 21-0 loser at Georgia last week. Lynn Bowden Jr. rushed for 99 yards in the slippery conditions, while Asim Rose rushed for 37 yards. Bowden, playing quarterback once again in place of the injured Sawyer Smith, completed just two passes in the game for 15 yards through the air. Kentucky was shut out for the first time since Nov. 12, 2012, a stretch of 83 games in which the Cats had scored. Bowden, a Paul Hornung Award nominee for the nation’s most versatile athlete, ranks 10th nationally and leads the SEC in all-purpose yards, averaging 142.1 yards per game.

The Kentucky defense more than held its own against the powerful Georgia offense. The Bulldogs had just 270 yards of total offense in the game, including just 35 yards passing. Georgia’s longest pass play was 22 yards. Kentucky entered the game as one of only seven FBS teams that have not allowed a pass play of 40 yards this season. UK did not give up a touchdown pass and entered the game tied for first among FBS teams with the fewest touchdown passes allowed, three.

Key Numbers

Kentucky has allowed 34 points or less in 21 straight games, the longest active streak in the nation. The 21 straight games at 34 points or less is the longest for Kentucky since a 45-game streak from 1976-80.

Missouri vs Kentucky is going to be a close one.

This is coach Mark Stoops’ seventh season in Lexington and the Wildcats have either matched or exceeded the previous season’s win total in each of the past six seasons, making them the only program in FBS to accomplish that feat. That’s going to end this year, though.

Kentucky has played five true freshmen (M.J. Devonshire, Taj Dodson, Moses Douglass, DeMarcus Harris and Tra Wilkins) and 14 redshirt freshmen in at least one game this season. UK is 9-5 in its last 14 SEC home games, best since a 9-5 stretch from 1953-57.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 23.50
  • Passing Yards: 192.00
  • Rushing Yards: 192.33
  • Yards per Play: 5.57
Defense
  • Points per Game: 23.67
  • Passing Yards: 207.50
  • Rushing Yards: 173.17
  • Yards per Play: 5.89

Missouri vs Kentucky College Football Week 9 Betting Trends

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
  • Tigers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
  • Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri’s last 6 games played in week 9
  • Wildcats are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games played in week 9
  • Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on a Saturday
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky’s last 5 games played in October

Expert Final Score Prediction for Missouri vs Kentucky

Missouri 23 – Kentucky 19

 

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University University of Kentucky
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Missouri vs Kentucky 2019 College Football Week 9 Odds & Expert Analysis

Behind Clemson transfer quarterback Kelly Bryant, Missouri has been a pleasant surprise in the SEC this season and the Tigers are still very much in the East Division race. They are solid favorites on the NCAA football odds Saturday at struggling Kentucky. How to Bet Missouri vs Kentucky College Football Week 9 Odds & Game Info When: Saturday, 7:30 PM Read More
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Kentucky vs Georgia 2019 College Football Week 8 Odds & Game Preview

One of the things that makes college football the toughest sport to bet on is that we see upsets occur at a rather alarming rate. If you follow the top 25 rankings every week, you will see a ton of moves being made in both directions. Dark horse teams rise after going on a winning streak, while the top teams Read More
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Kentucky vs Penn State 2019 Citrus Bowl Odds & Expert Pick

It’s rare you will see Kentucky’s football team ranked higher than its men’s basketball team. That’s the case right now, though, as the No. 14 Cats had one of their best-ever seasons on the gridiron. They look to close it out in style against No. 12 and NCAAF Betting favorite Penn State on New Year’s Day in the Citrus Bowl. Read More
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Kentucky vs Louisville NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Analysis

No team has been as unimpressive this season as the Louisville Cardinals. The Cardinals have been so awful that the university rid itself of coach Bobby Petrino before Thanksgiving. Can Louisville salvage one of the worst seasons its ever had by beating #15 Kentucky? Will Louisville even hang with the Wildcats? Kentucky vs Louisville NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Read More
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Middle Tennessee vs Kentucky NCAA Football Week 12 Odds & Pick

After reaching the national rankings just a few weeks back, the Kentucky Wildcats have dropped two straight heading into Week 12. On the flip side of the coin, the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are playing their best football of the season at just the right time. If you’re wondering whether or not the Wildcats can snap their losing streak Read More
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How to Bet Kentucky at Tennessee NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Pick

Kentucky can’t win the SEC East for the first time ever following last week’s loss to Georgia, but the No. 12 Wildcats do have major bowl aspirations. Tennessee, meanwhile, needs a strong finish to just make a bowl. UK is a solid College Football Betting favorite in Knoxville.   Kentucky at Tennessee NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Pick Junior Read More
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Georgia vs Kentucky NCAA Football Week 10 Odds & Game Preview

Terry Wilson and the 12th-ranked Kentucky Wildcats will look to get their biggest win of the 2018 season when they host Jake Fromm and the visiting, fifth-ranked Georgia Bulldogs throw down in a huge Week 10 showdown that will almost assuredly have College Football Playoff implications for both teams. If you want to know whether the Cats can hold it Read More
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Kentucky vs Missouri NCAA Football Week 9 Odds & Expert Pick

You may not have been paying attention, but the University of Kentucky is ranked 12th in the AP Poll and tied for first in the SEC East! And I don’t mean basketball but football. The Cats can win the division but can’t get caught looking past Missouri on Saturday ahead of a big game with Georgia. UK is getting no Read More
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Vanderbilt vs Kentucky NCAA Football Week 8 Spread & Expert Pick

The Kentucky Wildcats have undoubtedly been one of the most impressive teams in the nation this season, but the SEC championship hopefuls will be looking to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they host the visiting Vanderbilt Commodores in an intriguing SEC showdown on Saturday. If you want to know whether the Wildcats can not only Read More
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2019 NCAA Football
Kentucky Wildcats | College Football Playoff National Championship

 

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