Florida State has 2 games left in the ACC Regular Season to overtake Louisville and win the conference. The first battle happens on Wednesday, March 4 when the Seminoles head to South Bend. FSU can’t afford to lose to the Irish. If they do, they can kiss the regular season title good by. Will the Seminoles get it done? Check out college basketball odds, a preview, and a free pick for FSU vs Notre Dame!

FSU vs Notre Dame NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

• When: Wednesday, March 4 at 9:00 pm ET
• Where: Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN
• TV: ESPN 2
• ATS Odds: Florida State -1 ½ / Over/Under Total: 147

Gameday from South Bend#MarchOn pic.twitter.com/3s2J4oUHDp

— FSU Hoops (@FSUHoops) March 4, 2020

Why Florida State Seminoles are a good pick -1 ½

As it stands today, the Seminoles are a ½ a game behind the Cardinals in the ACC. Florida State is a ½ game ahead of Duke. A victory on Wednesday night keeps their title hopes alive. In the last head-to-head, Notre Dame pushed FSU. But the Seminoles came out of that game 85-84 victors. Also, FSU has gone 4-1 SU in their last 5. They’re 3-1 ATS in their last 4. They can beat and cover against the Irish.

Team Statistics

• Points/G: 75.7
• Field Goal %: 45.8
• 3-Point %: 35.2
• Free Throw %: 75
• Rebounds/G: 37.8

• Points/G: 64.4
• Field Goal %: 37.8
• 3-Point %: 28.4
• Free Throw %: 69.6
• Rebounds/G: 29.7

Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a good pick +1 ½

The last game between these two was almost too close. Notre Dame had a chance for the upset win on the road. They failed by a point. The venue changes on Wednesday night with the Irish hosting the Seminoles. That could be the difference. Notre Dame has a great 14-3 record on their homecourt. Unless Florida State changes something from the first game to the rematch, Notre Dame should have a big advantage playing in front of their fans.

Team Statistics

• Points/G: 74.5
• Field Goal %: 42.5
• 3-Point %: 34.2
• Free Throw %: 772.9
• Rebounds/G: 34.5

• Points/G: 69.3
• Field Goal %: 41.7
• 3-Point %: 34
• Free Throw %: 71.3
• Rebounds/G: 35.8

NCAAB Betting Trends for Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

• Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600
• Florida State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7
• Seminoles are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 on a Wednesday
• Over is 5-1 in Seminoles last 6 as a favorite
• Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home
• Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5
• Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings
• Over is 6-0 in Fighting Irish last 6 at home

Florida State vs Notre Dame Final NCAAB Betting Analysis

In recent play, neither team has inspired confidence. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5. On Feb. 26, they beat Boston College 62-61 as a -5 favorite. They followed that up with a stunning 73-84 loss to Wake Forest as a -1 fave.

Duke beat Notre Dame by 34, 94-60, on Feb. 15. The Irish are playing their worst basketball of the season. But so is Florida State. The Seminoles faced 15-13 Clemson on Feb. 29. How did FSU fair? The Tigers beat Florida State 70-69.

But although FSU lost to Clemson, they could bounce back with a huge win on Wednesday. Yes, Notre Dame almost upset the Seminoles. Florida State knows what’s at stake, though. They could either allow the loss to Clemson to carry over into this. Or, they could step it up and beat an overmatched squad on the road.

The guess here is that the Seminoles step it up. This season, every time Florida State got knocked down, they picked themselves up for the next round. Back FSU to get the huge win and cover.

NCAAB Free Pick: Florida State -1 ½