It could be a letdown game for the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Bucs on Sunday vs. Miami off their much-hyped matchup last Sunday in Tom Brady’s return to New England. However, the Bucs are still double-digit favorites on the NFL odds over the struggling Dolphins.
How to Bet Dolphins at Bucs NFL Odds & TV Info
- When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
- Where: Raymond James Stadium
- TV: CBS
- Radio: http://www.siriusxm.com/nfl
- Stream Option: NFLSUNDAYTICKET.TV
- Opening NFL Lines: Bucs -10 (total 48)
Series History
The teams will meet for just the 12th time in the regular season and Tampa Bay holds a 6-5 edge in the series. The Buccaneers have won the last two meetings, in 2013 and 2017, and five of the last six overall.
Why Bet on Miami?
The Dolphins are really in an offensive funk in a three-game skid and still without starting QB Tua Tagovailoa. Miami was beaten 27-17 at home by previously winless Indianapolis in Week 4 and most of the Fins’ offense came with the game out of hand.Jacoby Brissett completed 20-of-30 passes for 199 yards and two touchdowns. Both of Brissett’s touchdowns came in the fourth quarter after the Colts had already taken a three-score lead. Through a little less than three games of action, Brissett is averaging just 4.9 yards per pass attempt and is getting sacked three times per game.
To make matters worse, big free-agent addition and receiver Will Fuller left with an injury and is now on injured reserve with a broken finger – he has been a bust. Fuller missed the first week of the season while serving the end of a six-game suspension and then missed Week 2 for personal reasons. In the last two games, he’s caught just four passes for 26 yards. Miami traded another receiver and former Pro Bowl kick returner, Jakeem Grant, to Chicago in exchange for an undisclosed draft pick.
Wideout DeVante Parker has come alive for Miami in the fourth quarter of games. He has seven catches for 120 yards (17.1 avg.) and one touchdown in the fourth quarter and overtime this season. His 120 receiving yards after the end of the third quarter is tied for eighth in the NFL.
Tight end Mike Gesicki has 12 TD receptions in his past 25 games, which is fourth-most by an NFL tight end in that span. His 18 receptions in four games this season are tied for sixth among all NFL tight ends and he leads all tight ends with 122 receiving yards in the fourth quarter and overtime this year.
The Dolphins have played the defending Super Bowl champions in three of the past four seasons and defeated the defending champion Patriots in 2017 and 2019.
Why Bet on Tampa Bay?
The Bucs won a much-hyped 19-17 game at New England last Sunday in Tom Brady’s return there. Brady completed 22-of-43 passes for 269 yards but didn’t have a TD pass. The Bucs were lucky to come away with the win, with the Patriots missing a game-winning field goal. Brady struggled in the red-zone without the injured Rob Gronkowski, and he missed on back-to-back deep shots to Antonio Brown late in the game. After throwing nine touchdowns the first two games, Brady has just one touchdown over the past two weeks. Gronkowski will not play his week, either.
The Buccaneers lead the NFL with 327.5 passing yards per game. Since the start of the 2020 season, Tampa Bay has scored 30.7 points per game, which ranks second in the NFL during that span.
Tampa Bay got more bad news in the secondary as cornerback Carlton Davis left against the Patriots with a quad injury. Davis had a non-contact injury while covering a punt in the second quarter. He was carted off the field and quickly ruled out. With Jamel Dean and Sean Murphy-Bunting already sidelined, the Bucs had Davis, their No. 1 corner, playing special teams. The Buccaneers played much of last Sunday’s game with Richard Sherman and Pierre Desir as their outside cornerbacks; neither was with the team three weeks ago. Dean could play this week.
Outside linebacker Jason Pierre-Paul has already missed two games while dealing with a shoulder injury. Running back Giovani Bernard was held out of last Sunday’s game due to a knee ailment. Both are questionable this week. Safety Antoine Winfield Jr. suffered a concussion on Sunday night.
Chris Godwin has recorded 50-or-more receiving yards in six consecutive games, which stands as the fifth-longest active streak in the NFL. In Week 4 vs. New England, Godwin surpassed Keyshawn Johnson (3,828) for the seventh-most receiving yards in franchise history, with his 3,836 receiving yards.
Game Trends
- Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
- Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Expert Prediction: Bucs 27, Dolphins 17
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