AFL Preliminary Final Betting Breakdown: Top Picks and How to Win with Betting AFL Lines

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Four AFL teams are one step away from reaching the Grand Final. Two promising preliminary-final matchups are sure to provide excitement for league fans. Collingwood won the Minor Premiership and played well for most of the season but will have a stiff test against GWS.

Brisbane and Carlton will also have an intense matchup. Let’s take a look at these top matchups in this coming AFL Preliminary Finals matchups with the top AFL Premiership lines offered by MyBookie.

2023 AFL Preliminary Finals Odds to Win for Each Game | MyBookie Aussie Footer Preview

2023 AFL | 127th season of the Australian Football League
Thursday, September 21st – Friday, September 22nd, 2023
Preliminary Finals of the AFL season

Collingwood Magpies vs. Greater Western Sydney Giants

AFL Odds: Collingwood -9.5; GWS +9.5 / Collingwood -188; GWS +119 / O/U 175.5
Thursday, September 21st, 2023 at 5:50 am
Melbourne Cricket Ground, East Melbourne, Australia

Collingwood has played excellent defense all season. While the Magpies have seen some struggles during the last month, they have still played solid football overall. Collingwood will get a boost when 20-year-old star Nick Daicos returns to the lineup. Daircos is one of the favorites to win the Brownlow Medal and has been sidelined since Aug. 5 with a fractured right knee.

Daicos has kicked 18 goals this season and averaged over 20 disposals per game. The Magpies also have plenty of players to support Daicos. Brody Mihocek leads the team with 45 goals, while Jamie Elliott has 38, and Bobby Hill has scored 28 times.

Collingwood smothered Melbourne last week, but GWS has a different attack level. The dynamic Toby Greene has led the Giants’ attack. Greene has kicked 64 goals this season and averages nearly 18 disposals per game.

Greene didn’t play in the first meeting between the two teams during Round 9. Collingwood proceeded to pound GWS 120-55 during the first meeting between the two sides. This one is expected to be more competitive. Collingwood is a 10.5-point favorite. The Magpies are -175 on the moneyline, while GWS is +130. The over/under has been set at 169.5 points.

AFL Preliminary Finals | Bet Magpies vs. Giants
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Brisbane Lions vs. Carlton Blues

AFL Odds: Brisbane -9.5; Carlton +9.5 / Brisbane -188; Carlton +119 / O/U 175.5
Friday, September 22nd, 2023 at 3:15 am
The Gabba, Queensland, Australia

The match between Brisbane and Carlton will be an exciting matchup. The Blues’ fanbase has been invigorated by Carlton’s first run to the preliminary final in 23 years.

But Carlton will have to protect the ball better than it during its last-second win over Melbourne last round. The Blues gave the ball away 92 times, significantly higher than the AFL’s average of 69 giveaways per game.

Carlton has been one of the most in-form teams in the competition. The Blues have won 11 of their last games. The Blues’ lone defeat during that stretch was a 105-73 loss to GWS during Round 24.

Brisbane is a team that thrives on opponent’s mistakes. The Lions average 54.8 points per game off turnovers. Brisbane has proven to be a team with plenty of offensive punch. The Lions are second in the AFL in points scored. Brisbane also is second for points scored on inside 50s.

The Lions have a dynamic pair of scorers at the top of their lineup. Joe Daniher leads Brisbane has a team-high 56 goals, while Charlie Cameron has scored 55 times. Brisbane is a 19.5-point favorite. The Lions are -255 on the moneyline, while the Blues are +185. The over/under has been set at 165.5 points.

AFL Preliminary Finals | Bet Lions vs. Blues
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Previous Betting News

The AFL Finals series are upon us, wrapping up one of the most closely contested seasons in recent memory. Geelong earned the top spot on the ladder with 72 points, but Melbourne, Sydney, and Collingwood had to go to a tiebreaker as they all finished bunched up for the two through five seeds.

Carlton was the hard-luck loser of last week’s regular-season finale, finishing in ninth after a one-point loss to rival Collingwood. The Blues’ season is over, but let’s focus on the teams who still have grand finals aspirations so you can continue betting against the AFL Odds.

Top 2022 AFL Qualifiers Betting Games for the Finals Series

Brisbane Lions (-107) vs Richmond Tigers (-145), September 1st 3:20 AM ET

Brisbane is the lone home team that isn’t an overwhelming favorite in the qualifying round of the finals, but they do have the advantage that the home team has won eight of the last nine head-to-head games in this series. The Lions don’t exactly come into this contest with momentum, though, suffering a 58-point loss to Melbourne in the finale.

Richmond, on the other hand, is hot as winners of four straight. Brisbane finished the season six points higher on the ladder, but Richmond is favored on the road due to their recent strong play.

Melbourne Demons (-250) vs Sydney Swans (+154), September 2nd, 3:50 AM ET

Sydney has won seven in a row, but they face a very tough test as underdogs at MCG. The away side has won eight of the last 11 in this series which gives the Swans some hope, but Melbourne is coming off a big 58-point win over Brisbane in the regular season wrap-up.

The two teams finished tied with 64 points on the ladder, so the odds discrepancy is somewhat surprising here. The Dees are the defending Premiership winners, though, so they know how to pull out victories this time of year.

Geelong Cats (-312) vs Collingwood Magpies (+184), September 3rd, 12:35 AM ET

It’s a rough draw for Collingwood up against the ladder-leading Cats in the qualifying opener as this is a matchup of two of the hottest teams in the AFL. Geelong is the winner of their last 13 matches to close out the season, but the Magpies are nearly just as hot coming out victorious in 12 of their last 13.

Geelong lost only four games all season, and they’re experienced making their seventh straight trip to the finals.

Fremantle Dockers (-232) vs Western Bulldogs (+144), September 3rd, 4:20 AM ET

Either Fremantle or the Bulldogs will see their season end on September 3rd. The Dockers made a run at the top four as winners of their last three of the regular season, but they ended up two points short of Collingwood on the ladder.

That still lets Fremantle avoid a qualifying matchup with Geelong, and it lets the Dockers host this game against the Dogs, who barely edged out Carlton for the last finals spot.

We shall see if the excitement of the regular season carries over into the finals round.

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