AFL 2020 Grand Final Expert Analysis

AFL 2020 Grand Final Expert Analysis

Written by on October 22, 2020

Okay MyBookie Australian Football betting faithful, with the Richmond Tigers and the Geelong Cats set to meet in the 2020 AFL Grand Final, it’s time to find out which team is offering the best value against their AFL odds.

AFL 2020 Grand Final Odds and Predictions

The defending champion Tigers will look to claim their third title in the last four seasons while Geelong looks to win their first since taking home the championship hardware in 2011. The 2020 grand final will feature a pair of firsts as this will be the first grand final not played in Melbourne and the first final to be played at night. Now, let’s find out where the best value lies in this intriguing affair.

Geelong Cats (12-5-0) Vs Richmond Tigers (12-4-1)

  • When: Saturday, October 24, 2020 at 4:30 AM ET
  • Where: Gabba, Brisbane
  • TV: FS1

Why Bet On Geelong

Geelong finished the regular season in fourth place in the AFL ladder. The Cats blew out Collingwood 100-32 in the quarterfinals on October 10 before backing that win up with an emphatic 82-42 smackdown of Brisbane in the semifinals on Saturday.  Geelong has won nine of their last 11 matches, but one of those defeats was a humbling 57-31 loss against Richmond on Sept. 11. Now, fielding the oldest team to ever reach a grand final, the Cats are hopeful they can solve the plethora of problems the defending champions present.

“We are very similar in certain respects but the differences are very stark as well,” Geelong coach Chris Scott said of the grand finalists.

Why Bet On Richmond

The defending champion Tigers finished the regular season in third place. Geelong smacked St Kilda senseless in their 80-49 quarterfinal win on October 10 before following that win up with a hard-fought 46-40 win over league-leading Port Adelaide on Saturday. The Tigers have won a blistering eight of their last nine matchups. Now, they’ll look to cap off their 2020 campaign by repeating as league champions and Richmond coach Damien Hardwick believes his team will get the season-ending win.

“Our game is better,” Hardwick said  after the Tigers’ huge road win over Port Adelaide last weekend. “We’re more consistent … we don’t rely on any one player to dominate like some other sides do.”

AFL Odds

Expert Analysis and Prediction

While Richmond are defending champs and favored to repeat by winning this matchup, I like Geelong to pull off, what to me, amounts as a minor upset. Geelong has been seriously impressive in both of its last two postseason games while Richmond struggled mightily to put away Port Adelaide last weekend. I suspect that the Power took something out of Richmond in that contest and now, the Tigers will be just a bit less energetic in this grand final showdown.

With Geelong averaging 91 points over their last two, I don’t see a way that Richmond can slow the Cats down. This one should be an absolute thriller, but I’m going with the Geelong Cats to take home the AFL Championship hardware!

Pick: Geelong 63 Richmond 58

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