The St. Kilda Crows will be looking to avoid the huge upset when they take on the lowly Adelaide Crows in their round 7 AFL Premiership matchup on Monday. With Adelaide in search of their first win of the season and St. Kilda looking to rebound from a narrow loss the last time out, let’s find out where the best betting value lies in this matchup, along with their AFL odds.
AFL Premiership Betting Predictions – St. Kilda Vs Adelaide Crows
Why Bet On Adelaide
Adelaide is sitting in last place in the 18-team AFL standings with zero points. The Crows come into this matchup off a humbling 67-34 round 6 loss against the West Coast Eagles last Saturday. The defeat dropped the Crows to an ugly 0-6 on the season. Adelaide won the disposal battle 324-284 and tied the Eagles in kicks with 180, but they also lost the Inside 50s matchup 49-24. Jack Darling has a team-high two goals this season while 13 other players have a single goal, including Brendon Ah Chees and Brayden Ainsworth. The Crows are averaging a pitiful 5.5 goals per game while allowing 8.5 goals per contest defensively.
For all of Adelaide’s woes this season, the Crouch brothers have been putting up pretty good numbers. Brad is averaging a smidge under 25 touches per game since the restart, so there is no denying his ability to find the ball even when his team is struggling. Club captain Rory Sloane is out, but Taylor Walker is set to return for Adelaide.
Why Bet On St. Kilda
St. Kilda is sitting in eighth place in the AFL standings with 12 points. The Saints will come into this one ticked off after blowing a six-goal lead in their crushing 79-73 loss against Fremantle last Friday. St. Kilda blew a 35-point lead after putting a whopping seven goals on the board in the first term. Ultimately, they collapsed in allowing an insane 11 goals after quarter-time. St Kilda coach Brett Ratten will need to replace the suspended Ben Long.
General Game Info St. Kilda Saints (3-3-0) vs Adelaide Crows (0-6-0)
- When: Monday, July 20, 2020 at 5:40 AM ET
- Where: Adelaide Oval – Adelaide, South Australia
- St. Kilda Vs Adelaide Crows Live: AFL Global Pass
- Money Lines: Adelaide +227 / St. Kilda -263
Expert Analysis and Prediction
I won’t waste a whole lot of time beating around the bush with my round 7 pick on this contest simply because Adelaide is fighting too big of an uphill battle to avoid losing their seventh straight game. While the Crows have won each of the last five meetings in this rivalry, St Kilda has been one of the best first-quarter teams in the competition this season and I believe they’re going to jump out to an early lead they will never relinquish. Look for Saints young phenom Max King to have his way while St. Kilda takes care of business.
Pick: St. Kilda -263