2019 College Football Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks

2019 College Football Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks

It’s always a little daunting to look at the upcoming weekend schedule in college football and try to figure out what games you should wager on. I find that it’s always best to take some time to narrow down those options to a few good plays that you really like. That is how I go about things every week, and what we have here are a selection of my favorite O/U picks for Week 4 of the college football season.

If you don’t regularly play the point total, we will also have ATS and SU picks out there for you, too, so be sure to be on the lookout for those. For now, let’s get to my O/U College Football Week 4 betting picks.

2019 College Football Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks

Southern Miss Eagles at Alabama Crimson Tide (OVER 61)

Every year, coach Nick Saban is questioned about the schedule that his team plays in the lead up to the start of their SEC conference games. While Saban consistently defends the weak schedule, he does have a point in that it must be tough finding teams looking to get pasted by the Crimson Tide.

We should have another lopsided win for Alabama this weekend, with the Southern Miss Eagles preparing to be served up on a platter. The Crimson Tide have seen the OVER hit in each of their last 2 games, scoring a combined 109 points on the process. They should do enough to get the OVER again this week.

Betting Trends

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss’ last 5 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 9 of Alabama’s last 10 games played in September

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (UNDER 48 ½)

This is a match-up that has very much gone the way of the Gators in recent years, with Florida winning 9 of the last 10. While you would certainly expect the Gators to win again in their own building, there is definitely something to consider in terms of the point total.

Feleipe Franks, the starting QB for Florida, went down with a brutal season-ending injury in Florida’s win last week, which makes you wonder just how effective their offense will be this weekend. 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two have gone beyond the point total, but I think this one goes UNDER.

Betting Trends

• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee’s last 8 games played in week 4
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference

Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats (UNDER 39 ½)

If you are a fan of wide-open football and lots of points hitting the board, this game may well prove to be one to avoid. On the face of it, an average of over 39 PPG looks decent enough, but the Spartans scored 51 in an easy outing against Western Michigan. Take that out of the equation and you have a team managing just 17 PPG.

Northwestern are not much better, so not a lot of offense likely here. In fact, each of the last 7 games that Michigan State has played against Big Ten opposition have gone UNDER.

Betting Trends

• The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Michigan State’s last 11 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 10 conference

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns (OVER 74 ½)

This game is likely to be the polar opposite of the last game on our list here, as these are two teams that certainly know their way into the endzone. Lat’s week’s 40-point outing against Tulsa was the Cowboys lowest offensive output of the season, which should tell you a little something about what they can do when the offense has the football.

For Texas, all 3 of their games this season have gone OVER, which should be the case this weekend, as I expect this thing to turn into a shootout from the opening whistle.

Betting Trends

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas’ last 6 games against Oklahoma State

Top College Football Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks

No college football betting totals out as of this writing, but I can speculate on these games and they will quite likely be the two highest-scoring games of the week so I would go over whatever high number is posted later Monday on NCAA football lines.

Here’s a Look at the Top College Football Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks

Oklahoma State at No. 16 Baylor (-9.5)

The Bears now carry the weight of the entire Big 12 as they are the only 3-0 team in the conference. But Baylor also has played an incredibly easy non-conference schedule. The Bears closed their non-Big 12schedule with a 38-10 win over Rice. The pass-and- catch combo of Seth Russell and KD Cannon were the headliners. Russell completed 22-of- 38 passes for 337 yards and three touchdowns, including nine for 213 yards and two TDs to Cannon. Terence Williams and JaMycal Hasty combined for 184 yards and two rushing TDs. Shock Linwood’s 57 yards rushing were the fourth-best on this night. But it was enough for him to finally supplant Walter Abercrombie at the top of Baylor’s all-time career rushing list with 3,675 yards. Russell improved to 11-0 as the starting quarterback, threw for 337 yards on the day and passed a milestone himself, becoming just the 12th player in program history to pass for over 4,000 career yards (4,096). Baylor has now started 3-0 in each of the last 6 seasons. Baylor has won 53 games since 2011, most in the Big 12 Conference. Baylor has rushed for a touchdown in 31 consecutive games, the longest active streak among Power Five conference teams. Baylor improved to 11-0 in September games since 2013 — the Bears’ last September loss was on Sept. 29, 2012 at West Virginia (70-63). Baylor is 44-2 since 2010 when allowing less than 35 points and 15-20 in that span when allowing 35+ points. OSU (2-1) beat Pittsburgh 45-38. Mason Rudolph connected on an 86-yard pass to Jhajuan Seales, then Rennie Childs scored on a 1-yard run — his fourth rushing touchdown of the game — with 1:28 remaining to lift Oklahoma State to the win. Rudolph was 26 of 46 for 540 yards and two touchdowns, while James Washington pulled in nine receptions for 296 yards — the most in the nation by anyone so far this season — and two touchdowns. Childs gained 101 yards on 10 carries. OSU set a school record for total offense in a half with 467 yards in the first half. The previous record of 424 was set in the first half vs. Savannah State in 2012. Rudolph set an OSU record for passing yards in a half with 372 in the first half. The previous record of 328 was set by Brandon Weeden vs. Tulsa in 2010. Rudolph finished with 540 yards passing, ranking as the most in a game in OSU history and the most since Brandon Weeden threw for 502 yards against Kansas State in 2011. Rudolph’s total matched Texas Tech’s Patrick Mahomes (vs. Arizona State) for the best single-game tally this season. Washington set an OSU record for receiving yards in a half with 231 yards receiving in the first half. The previous record was set when Adarius Bowman had 219 in the second half at Kansas in 2009. Washington finished with 296 yards receiving, ranking as the second most in a game in OSU history, trailing only Adarius Bowman’s 300-yard outing at Kansas in 2006.

No. 17 Arkansas at No. 10 Texas A&M (-6)

Arkansas (3-0) is off a 42-3 win over Texas State, improving the Hogs to 2-0 vs. Texas teams this year after also beating ranked TCU. Quarterback Austin Allen threw for a career-high 241 yards on 16-of- 21 passing with two touchdowns. Allen spread the ball around to seven different receivers, finding Keon Hatcher and Jeremy Sprinkle for the two scores through the air. Running back Rawleigh Williams led all players with 121 yards on 19 carries, scoring twice. Freshman Devwah Whaley saw his largest output of his young Razorback career with 11 carries for 50 yards. The Hogs held the Bobcats to only three points on 105 yards of offense, 26 in the first half. It was the lowest offensive output for an Arkansas opponent since the Hogs held Texas to only 59 yards in the 2014 Texas Bowl. Arkansas is now a winner in nine of its last 10 games. It is the second 3-0 start under head coach Bret Bielema and seventh 3-0 start to a season since 1998. Texas A&M (3-0, 1-0 SEC) beat Auburn 29-16 on Saturday. A&M freshman running back Trayveon Williams sealed the victory with an 89-yard touchdown run with 6 minutes, 52 seconds left for a 29-10 lead. It was the longest rush by an Aggie since Christine Michael’s school-record 97-yarder against Baylor in 2009. It was the longest rush by an Aggie since joining the SEC in 2012. That came two plays after A&M senior defensive end Daeshon Hall tackled Auburn’s John Franklin III for a 1-yard loss on fourth-and- 3. It was one of 13 tackles for a loss by the Aggies. Trevor Knight passed for 247 yards and Daniel LaCamera had five field goals. Junior DE Myles Garrett was a monster against the Tigers with two QB sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss and a QB hurry. With his two QB sacks, Garrett moved within one of the SEC’s career sacks list with 27 sacks in the first 28 games of his career. The Aggies sacked Auburn four times and made 13 tackles behind the line of scrimmage. It was the sixth time in 16 games under John Chavis that the Aggies have piled up 10 or more TFLs in a game. Definitely like the over in NCAAF betting in both games.