Brewers vs Mets: MLB Betting Predictions

Brewers vs Mets: MLB Betting Predictions | Cy Young, MVP Favorite deGrom on Mound

Mets ace Jacob deGrom remains the favorite on the MLB odds to win not just the NL Cy Young Award but also the MVP. That’s how dominant the right-hander has been, and he’s back on the mound Tuesday vs. the Brewers. New York is a heavy favorite on the MLB odds.

How to Bet Brewers at Mets MLB Odds & TV Info

  • When: Tuesday, 7 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Brett Anderson/Jacob deGrom
  • TV: ESPN

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

The Brewers will be represented at the All-Star Game by Corbin Burnes, Josh Hader and Brandon Woodruff. It marks the first time in franchise history that the team has had three pitchers selected for the game.  Hader is the sixth pitcher in franchise history to have 20+ straight saves in a season.

The Brewers remain without second baseman Kolten Wong. He’s on the injured list with left calf tightness. This is already the third IL visit of the season for Wong, who missed about four weeks total due to two separate left oblique strains. Otherwise, he’s having a nice season as Wong has a .291/.346/.485 slash line and seven home runs through 214 plate appearances, with a 125 wRC+/OPS+ that would represent the best of his career over a full season.

Center fielder Lorenzo Cain has been out for a while with a right hamstring strain. He probably won’t be back until after the All-Star break. He was originally hurt on May 31. Cain was hitting just .223 but is a very good defender.

It’s lefty Brett Anderson (2-5) here. He’s been on the injured list since June 22 with a contusion on his right knee. He hasn’t been particularly effective with a 4.69 ERA and 5.8 K/9 ratio. Anderson last started on June 21 at Arizona and took a 5-1 loss as he left the game with the injury after just 1.1 innings. On the season Anderson has made just two quality starts. Opponents are batting .284 (55-for-194, 7 HRs) off him. He also on the 10-day injured list from 4/24-5/8 with a strained right hamstring. Anderson has never faced the Mets in the regular season.

The Brewers are a spectacular 10-2-1 in series on the road this year.

Why Bet on New York?

The Mets are getting healthier but remain without third baseman JD Davis. He sprained his left middle finger in early May. The 28-year-old was red hot before the injury, batting .390/.479/.610 over 48 plate appearances. Davis did start a rehab assignment last week so he’s close.

It’s ace Jacob deGrom on the mound here. He would be the leading candidate to start for the National League in next week’s All-Star Game, but because deGrom is also scheduled to pitch Sunday, that would make him ineligible to pitch in the ASG. DeGrom was named to the NL team but may not even go to Denver. He was the only Mets played named to the NL team.

“I’m supposed to throw Sunday, and I don’t think it’s smart to go pitch in the All-Star Game,” he said. “I’ve been a little beat up this first half and obviously missed a few starts that I wish I wouldn’t have missed.”

DeGrom has never started the All-Star Game. He pitched an inning in 2015 (he struck out all three hitters he faced), 2018 and 2019. MLB will likely want a Mets representative in the game, and that leaves Taijuan Walker, Marcus Stroman and closer Edwin Diaz as possibilities to replace deGrom or another player on the National League roster.

DeGrom (7-2) was most recently on the mound last Thursday and struck out 14 Braves in a no-decision. The Braves jumped on deGrom early, scoring three runs in the first inning — the most runs he’s allowed in an opening frame since August 24, 2015 — thanks to an RBI single from Ozzie Albies and a two-run homer by Austin Riley. He gave up back-to-back hits to open the second inning before striking out the side. He proceeded to retire the final 18 batters he faced and notched his sixth double-digit strikeout effort of the season. DeGrom generated 27 swinging strikes and finished with a 45 percent CSW (called strikes plus whiffs). The 32-year-old has microscopic 0.95 ERA, 0.54 WHIP and 136/11 K/BB ratio across 85 innings (14 starts).

Game Trends

  • Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
  • Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
  • Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
  • Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Expert Prediction

  • Mets 5, Brewers 2

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